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Archive for October 2011

Weather Forecast W Yorks and Yonder 26th Oct-2nd November

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 26th Oct-2nd November
Winter makes its presence felt with cold temps and icy conditions by 2nd. Less eventful wind wise though some breezy conditions around at start and end ofphase with potential t/storm 31st. 29th-30th seem the best days of this phase in UK

 

 

27th Mists fogs cloud likely early morning winter showers, heavy at times. Quick outbursts 4-6pm clearer outlook from lat evening though more precip expected after midnight
28th Early mists fog cloud around could clear later, quick winter showers with high levels of precipitation expected between 4-6pm
29-30th Seem better days with sunshine expected along with drier conditions…westerlies blowing things dry but on 30th
winter showers again 6-9pm,
31st Could be thundery at break of day with prolonged heavy rain but clearing as day progresses.
1st Showers from early 2-3 am, rainy or cloudy sunrise give way to sun spells later in day with nebulous breezes blowing
2nd Quick heavy showers expected. Unsettled system flowing our way could even be snow on high ground Very cold conditions but some sunny outbursts as well to ward off the cold. Breeziness prevails…..

NEWS NEWS NEWS Winter Weather is about to be compiled and will be posted over the coming weeks, the weather for Christmas season is going to be published on my website www.starsite.org.uk today and at  www. amazing weather.wordpress.com today

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FEEDBACK 20-26th October W Yorks and Yonder

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FEEDBACK 20-26th October

99.9% accurate for the phase!

Remember in my intro to Autumn Weather on http://www.amazing weather.wordpress.com and on http://www.starsite.org.uk I warned of the supermoons this season and EQ connections? Well on 23 rd Oct we got news of this EQ coinciding with the run up to 26th Perigean Spring Tide moon :
Powerful 7.2 earthquake in eastern Turkey
Turkey’s Kandilli Observatory said the death toll could be between 500 and 1,000.
It struck in the Van province near the Iranian border on Sunday. The epicentre was south of the village of Tabanli, near the city of Van.
Turkey had EQ in 1999, when 18,000 people were killed by two powerful ones that struck north-west Turkey.

The bad weather here arrived as predicted for this phase, as I forecast LONG RANGE IN JULY this year, and the Met issued severe weather warnings on Sunday 23rd for parts of England and Wales for 24th, as heavy winds and rains were predicted to hit some areas like Northern Ireland, Wales, West Midlands, South-West England, London and South-East England.
Areas likely to be hit the hardest by the extreme weather are Cornwall, West Devon, Pembrokeshire and Northern Ireland, according to the Met Office, which said there could also be the possibility of some flooding. Torquay closed down the front due to tidal floods and Bridlington to Barmston in the East of us also had warnings out for 24/25th. ”The weather service’s website said: “Periods of heavy rain, accompanied at times by strong winds, will affect parts of western Britain during Monday.”

Our local weather for W Yorks was as follows but equally as accurate:-
20th No spartan showers here, may have been some for other parts of W Yorks, we were dry with mdoerate temps and though some light frost at around sunrise we had a sunny day.
21st nice sunny day, dry breezy as forecast.
22nd Nice sunny day lovely skies little cloud nippy temps on exposed ground and breezy as forecast
23rd Cloudy no rain, breezy conditions not a sunny day but didn’t stop outdoor activity.
24th Nice day, sunny mod temps in sunshine clar skies mostly and breezy wafts in trees
25th Some rain very early morning but dry by 8 am approx in these parts some sun attempts around mid day, breezy

Read http://amazingweather.wordpress.com for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for AUTUMN 2011 or go to

https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting
visit … http://www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html for more discussion astro meteorology and access FREE lessons in weather forecasting and lots of free book downloads with much more..

 

STOP PRESS Winter WEATHER BEING PREPARED  NOW< WILL POST IN NEXT FEW WEEKS Christmas Weather will be pulbished today on www.starsite.org.uk and in www.amazingweather.wordpress.com

Weather Forecast W Yorks and Beyond 20th-26th October

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Weather Forecast W Yorks and Beyond 20th-26th October

Some fine outdoor weather, cool but windy with more destructive outbreaks expected for 24-25th onwards so take care if on high ground, near trees or driving across high areas. Any rain attempts will be sudden often spartan in nature ad not long lasting with skies clearing soon afterwards..This phase heralds  with a ‘supermoon’ or perigean spring tide moon on 26th …..so expect some coastal areas to be exposed to rough weather, there

20th Temps seasonally warm, quick spartan showery attempts 12-3pm sun with cloud strong S Westerlies and some rain potential late at night.
21st Sun with cloud around mod to brisk lively westerlies.
22nd Still Breezy,  sun with cloud today
23rd Cool but clearer skies, some cloud and variable winds continue
24th Rain early from outset of day, speedy NW winds, clear clouds away during the day
25th Sunny day, cool but strong if not violent winds NW and record breaking around this date…
26th Some static outbursts from midnight to early morning, these accompany seasonal warming with likelihood of heavy levels falling. Winds look set to continue but be less volatile. Outlook is stormy, clearing as day grows older when the system moves to the far east of UK Not a nice day….Potential for snow cloud formation but also some extreme temps recorded for today…. weird weather outlook!

With this spring tide New moon in Scorpio you do need to check local weather forecasts if you are going sailing or potholing or caving as underground caverns, boggy areas, drains and sewage locations and deep watering holes are also sensitive to this moon’s pull on the atmophere. Yes, the moon really does have a pull on tides…..

Read     http://amazingweather.wordpress.com     for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for AUTUMN 2011 or go to           https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read     http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com    to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting
visit …    www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html  for more discussion astro meteorology and access FREE  lessons in weather forecasting and lots of free book downloads with much more..

FEEDBACK W Yorks Weather 12-20th October

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FEEDBACK W Yorks Weather 12-20th October

W Yorks and beyond  was battered by strong winds as forecast so I do hope you didn’t plan a long journey over the Pennines and high altitudes  for this phase. Some heavy showers did arrive as forecast, in Durham, and NW as forecast accurately,  but it was Scotland that got the worst of the weather disruptions as I expected, and we got less severe conditions.

12th brought mists and mizzles with more over the Aire valley for late evening and early morning as forecast.
13th more mists around early morning in Aire valley and it was cloudy but direr with sun breaking out late afternoon as forecast with temps reamaining moderate for the season.
14th Stillcloudy mizzly outbursts spartan precipitation mod temps and vreeziness arpinmd with sun attempts 3-4pm
15th early mists again in valleys to 8am, but glorious blue clear skies  as forecast, no rain for this region …..
16th Some spray or dampness wet ground early am when it remained cloudy here till  mid day cold temps but warmth from sun, no rain though even though I forecast it might arrive.
17th Floods hit Scotland which I did expect for this phase, but we escaped such high levels of rain but we did get brisk breezes turning blustery and strong by 2 pm and I didn’t notice any thundery outbursts here……. 11:15 am we did have strong blustery Southerlies along with some westerly flow blowing high branches around in  a wild manner….Stronger winds by evening and rain coming in with it across our region.
18th Blue skies and intermittent cloudy rainy spells today t/out, sleet 12 30 pm, more showers later between blue sky outbursts, and stronger winds turning strong and blustery.
19th Lovely blue sky start with no rain around our region and the sun is shining with some light clouds around as well as strong blustery breezes……but it’sonly 11 30 am and some wintry showers could arrive later in the day…will let you know later….
Read     http://amazingweather.wordpress.com     for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for AUTUMN 2011 or go to                    https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read     http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com    to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting
visit …    www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html  for more discussion astro meteorology and access FREE  lessons in weather forecasting and lots of free book downloads with much more..

Written by tricia astro meteorologist

October 19, 2011 at 10:31 am

Forecast 12th-20th October W Yorks and Beyond Forecast

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12th-20th October
Cool and breezy phase with some freaky windy weather extremes hitting the headlines, Durham and NW looks vulnerable to this system and headlines could come in from those regions as well as SE.
 W Yorks singled out to be battered by strong winds and we could see some wind damage here and overturned vehicles as well. Try not to plan a journey across exposed regions at this stage….Heavy showers expected but weather more settled to second half of this phase..

12th Potential for showery outbreaks 10-11 am less cloudy later in the morning with some hope for sunshine during the day with better skies by night time though some mists/fog in low lying places late evening. Temps seasonally cool but clouds keep conditions muggy
13th Rain around sunrise, intermittent showery weather, heavy but refreshing, temps variable with rain cooling things down but some sun spells bring warmth by mid day and beyond. Winds could begin to rev up today becoming gusty if not violent and destructive….north westerly…over next few days…
14th Fluctuating temps again, with cold from wind and rain passing over UK regions west to east reaching our region from beginning and end of day but some clearer skies possible 10 am – 5pm but we’re likely to be watching some freaky windy weather unfold today and tomorrow. Seismic conditions are also high over the coming days to 23rd…
15th Sun with cloud cool temps but clearer skies, sudden showery outbreaks 5-7pm Lovely overnight clear skies.
16-17th Clearer outlook southerlies bring in more moderate temps, sun with cloud, and risk of sudden showers late afternoon and evening could even be quick thundery outbursts by 17th when northerlies attempt to purge the bad weather.
18th Clearer skies, spartan outbreak attempts early morning 18th but sunny by afternoon, later afternoon outbreak spartan, on 19th. Temps rising moderately
20th Could be showery….read on to see next blog….

You can read the following online account of how well  my weeklyweather forecast from 4th-8th Oct fared in a test of skill between myself, leading met John Kettley the Met Offfice AND……a penguin and a baby……yes really a penguin and a baby…………..http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/features/3862336/You-better-ask-a-baby-about-weather.html here….

Read     http://amazingweather.wordpress.com     for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for AUTUMN 2011 or go to                     https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read     http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com    to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting
visit …    www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html  for more discussion astro meteorology and access FREE  lessons in weather forecasting and lots of free book downloads with much more..

I would like to add at this point that many people have said the weather varies in their locality to my forecast. This is because we have micro climates and while it can be sunny outside your window you will often find in our region that it rained at the end of the street. You would be overwhelmed if all outbursts wee reported in a forecast, but be assured the generally trend should prevail over the phase forecast for W Yorks and beyond

Written by tricia astro meteorologist

October 11, 2011 at 11:37 am

Feedback 4th-12th October West Yorks and Beyond

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FEEDBACK 4th-12th October
4th Tuesday Rain had moved to far east regions today leaving us still cloudy but bright, breezes turning to very strong windy weather by 2 30pm, seasonally moderate but cool temps by evening, with conditions for thunder reported from Staffordshire region from 3rd and northern parts of Scotland for today.
5th Wednesday Very strong winds, sunshine with cloud spells, sudden spartan showery condtions from 7-7:30pm onwards
6th Thursday Showery conditions from last night continue for short intervals throughout the day, heavy at times, sun with cloudy spells with scattered showers across the region keeping temps cool. Fast icy hail outbreak around 4 pm.
7th Friday scattered showers continue across the region till around 6-6:30 am fizzling out to very spartan leaving us with longer sunny intervals today, light cloud and still very windy.
8th Saturday No sun at all, just rain bearing clouds and intermittent drizzle throughout the day, along with nebulous breezes, rain continues into evening but no thundery outbreak in immediate locality, temps seasonally moderate
9th Overcast day again with sun a temps around 4pm but only fleeting. S W winds around, drier day than yesterday.
10th Blustery winds drizzly mizzly day ground wet and cloudy day. Strong overnight winds 12 am onwards into 11th
11th Blustery strong winds from 1am, calmer as day wore on, to breezy by mid day, ground still wet and muggy mizzly drizzly rainy outbursts during morning, settling to drier weather for afternoon with breeziness prevailing. Mistiness down in valleys and near canals rivers during morning to mid day…as forecast in my predictions…good forecast for today

You can read the following online account of how well part my weeklyweather forecast fared in a test of skill between myself, leading met John Kettley the Met Offfice AND……a penguin and a baby……yes really a penguin and a baby…………..  http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/features/3862336/You-better-ask-a-baby-about-weather.html

 

Read http://amazingweather.wordpress.com for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for AUTUMN 2011 or go to https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting visit … http://www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html for more discussion astro meteorology and access FREE lessons in weather forecasting and lots of free book downloads with much more..

Weather Forecast 4th Oct-12th W Yorks and Beyond

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4th Oct-12th
Some good outdoor weather expected but some rainy conditions as outlined. Mostly dry, sunny with breeziness The record breaking weather looks to be to SW

regions of the UK at the outset of this phase….could be windy conditions that attract attention…..but some unsettled weather for this phase made it difficult to be confident of the forecast at this stage……..(well it is only July when I’m doing these)

4th Some precipitation moving over the far east from outset, breezy-very windy condition for some regions Cooler outlook but still seasonally average conditions and thundery outbreaks likely to some parts of UK.
5th-7th Sunshine with clouds, noisy winds and sudden spartan showery outbursts especially on 7th
8th Rain bearing cloud formations moderate temps, nebulous breezes and potential for rain/thundery showers by evening
9th Warmth in mid day sun, more sunshine around for us today.
10th A bit unsettled today.  Sudden showery outbreaks by evening, some hail and sleet and potential for snow on high ground. Brisk westerlies and sometimes strong along with some southerlies.
11th Strong easterlies blow in some mugginess could even be the white stuff coming over with this unsettled air, early hail sleet outbursts possible from around sunrise Clearer skies after 6pm

12th….read on….