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Archive for December 2011

18th December -1st January 2012 Long Range Weather Forecast for W Yorkshire and Yonder

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18th Some N Westerlies active icy temps, winter snow showers highly likely with snow bearing cloud coming over but some sunshine around between         showers.
19th Fogs/mists around especially in low lying valleys, clearing mid morning but returning late evening combining with nebulous breezy twirls.
20th Frosty or foggy outlook. Snow clouds again from very early in the morning could bring more wintry fall during afternoon, clearer skies around mid day                some mists fog by evening and S Easterlies flows for us with poorer weather to the W and SW of the country.
21st S Easterlies unsettle the outlook and bring scattered winter showers and more snow for high ground. Frosty start with sudden hail or sleet outbursts  from          7-8 am for our region clearer skies with    some sun mid day, and potential for snow flurries  mid afternoon and evening coming in from over western                  regions.
22nd Icy cold outlook brings in some mists and fogs, very unsettled outlook for today for sure, but some sun outbreaks can keep us optimistic for better days               ahead. There will be ice around but also some thawing during daytime so take care of slippery conditions when travelling.
23rd N Westerlies, strong at times, clear away some of gloom and better conditions begin to arrive with sunshine but cold temps during the day. Fogginess                  around overnight 23/24th
24th Some fair outdoor weather again conditions similar to yesterday but N Westerlies turn into some southerlies  making it moist and cooler to North UK,         slightly more temperate to S England. Could be a few quick ice sleet or snow outbursts in the afternoon coming in from the West.  Looks like we get some sunshine also to herald Christmas Day.
22nd for this phase is cold enough to snow and heralds a few days to follow that are lovely sunny, cold with the bluest of skies…get your camera out…but freezing fog outbreaks could arrive in the evening and overnight with icy or oily conditions on roads and footpaths.
24th December -1st January
This is a Full Moon for Christmas day and on such a day we can generally expect the daytime to be fairer with any poorer weather arriving at night.

Everyone wants to know if it will snow on Christmas Day and in October I was in the local BBC radio studios with one of the TV mets who was asked to say whether snow would arrive today. No answer arrived, and I had to say we both wouldn’t expect snow in Leeds on Christmas Day as it is a highly unusual occurrence. However, I also said I hadn’t yet done the charts for this time of year and now that I have……..well I’m not so sure!

Certainly there is some white stuff around from the start and that is likely a leftover from the previous phase. Some snow can be seen to be forming off the coast of SW Iceland on 24th and definitely heading our way, it’s likely to hit NW Scotland by 25th so they are the lucky ones. or not…! It could arrive here by the afternoon on 25th.. so Santa Klaus looks like sending us a nice timely white gift wrapping…or not if I’m way off the mark. I am 100% sure this is snow arriving however, by the time it reaches us in the afternoon the sun could be strong enough to turn it into sleet or rainy weather, so don’t hold your breath….I only give a 95% forecast that it will snow in Leeds on Christmas Day, and do wish I could be more certain.

25th Brings potential for snow flurries  around 3. 45 am , then again another try  around  10 30 am, with cloud/mists in valleys but clearer skies by afternoon with sunshine and some southerly flows around. By around 20:15 it is likely that winter snows hail and sleet showers will be around to West and N West of England

26th Some sun and cloud in the morning, mists in low lying areas, clearer skies  by 5-6pm. Southerlies are still active but temps take a plunge when N Easterlies join in the affray and snow likely again today localised and scattered late evening 22:00 approx. Boxing Day can often be a sunny outdoor day and this looks set to follow the pattern..

27th Potential for snow to continue falling into the early hours 1 am onwards this morning leaving a cold frosty outlook to start the day, sunshine likely by late morning with temps less cold than previous day

28th No precipitation expected here, and it should clear to be a sunny day with some N Westerlies around

29th Slightly milder temps but similar to yesterday some  S Easterlies which often make the atmosphere a little muggy.

30th Some frostiness with a quick sharp showery micro and localised outlook potential for mid afternoon, cold nippy temps Strong winds, though variable at times, for the next three days mostly NW clearing the atmosphere.

31st Showery from around 4pm with winds as described yesterday intermittent rain throughout is likely.
1st January 2012 More moderate temps with sunshine during the day but windy conditions as described on 30th.

My FULL Weather Forecast for the 2012 Winter Season is now uploaded onto my website www.starsite.org.uk and is also produced on my blog at  amazingweather.wordpress.com

 

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Feedback 10-18th December

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FEEDBACK 10th-18th December

To be honest this forecast was so accurate I am not going to waste time writing up results that will only show…..how accurate the forecast was, the forecast says exactly what weather came our way……and I forecast it in July! Who says astrology can’t predict the weather?
The blizzards I promised for the 16th hit the north of us on the day I said they would potentially break out, hitting the Midlands, as well as Scotland and the North west as well as Wales bringing snowy outbreaks, but we missed out on all the excitement, though some snowy attempts hit us and icy pavements ensured we had to walk carefully and traffic had to watch their speed on icy roads.

Read http://amazingweather.wordpress.com for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for AUTUMN 2011 or go to https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting
visit … http://www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html for more discussion astro meteorology and access FREE lessons in weather forecasting and lots of free book downloads with much more..

10-18th December Weather forecast West Yorkshire and Yonder

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10-18th December

 

Just a reminder that my forecast for Autumn weather was done long range  in July this year using the ancient system of astro meteorology, used in possibly prehistoric times when earthlings first started tabulating lunar phases on reindeer horns to keep
ack of the seasons.

 

Unsettled conditions again fogs and mist around probably freezing…some frost and snow still lying around from last phase. 10th could be too cold for the snow to arrive as forecast……..but if it does then mid day is likely time to expect it. Temps plunge even further so wrap up warmly

11th Some freezing mists and fog potential across valleys clearer skies by evening but icy weather, snow looks to be arriving to North of Scotland coming down from the Arctic area….Bbbrrrrr….. and is travelling south
12th Cold, mist even drizzle and mizzle frost or snow late at night with transport routes struggling to do their job especially to NW Scotland
13th Icy hail sleet and rain arrive by late morning looks like blizzards are likely for some UK regions….North and West most likely to be affected……..Wet day generally potential for more snow attempts late afternoon, but clearer skies by late evening but this means cold and icy conditions on the road….
14th Clearer skies, sunny some southerlies bringing in changing conditions turning south early later gusty by 15th
15th Intermittent outbreaks after a frosty start, short showery spells coming in with S Easterlies some thawing likely late afternoon but temps create potential for more snow to arrive….cold enough to snow…..
16th Looks like more snow for 17 35 temps icy though but right for snow late afternoon eve and winds turn South westerly strong at times with potential for more blizzards
17th continues unsettled showery from 1-3 am and sunny spells later freezing cold winds northerly and nippy
18th Winter showers after 4 am more travel disruptions expected………………

Read     http://amazingweather.wordpress.com     for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for AUTUMN 2011 or go to                    

https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read     http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com    to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting
visit …    www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html                          for more discussion astro meteorology and access FREE  lessons in weather forecasting and lots of

free book downloads with much more..

FEEDBACK 2nd-10th Dec W Yorkshire and Yonder

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The general description for arctic conditions came in at the outset, though weren’t as severe as last year, but icy nontheless overnight for first couple of nights.
The blizzards for Scotland I didn’t look at and the winds generally for this phase, back in July, due to lack of time, though of course Scotland was hit badly as was the north of England and Ireland with hurricane winds swirling anti clockwise around Scotland’s arena on the globe.

2nd We had early frost, sunny day followed with some spray attemps by 1 15pm cloudy later a little breezy
3rd Frost very early soon disappearing, sunny am very windy and pouring it down by 3pm then again at 10pm the rain came again filling up low levels on lakes. Very windy today.
4th Intermittent rain, heavy at times as expected, drier outlook by 3pm SNOW by 8pm only a light and patchy covering but snow as forecast..90% accurate forecast..I expected a heavier snowfall…but the snow forecast was bang on the target.
5th Light coverings still on ground, more flakey outbreaks failed aroun 9am sunny with icy temps and no breeze at all. More snow 12pm with breezes kicking up but gone again by eveing when it was drizzly. This was a very icy cold day today so a good outcome temp wise.
6th Sunny start with icy patches on paths and roads, very slippery then icy showers from 4-5 pm and again 10-11 pm when the winds revved up again.
7th 5am brought in some nasty rain conditions that proved very noisy, winds still strong and blustery overnight , dry am but very wet ground, hailstorm 3 45 pm with strong winds accompanying to form a min blizzard that caught me outside, and this continues overnight again….
8th Winds still strong 165 to Scotland overnight and 55mph to some parts of Yorkshire and yonder, very fast and noisy here intermittent rain and sleet showers t/out continuing overnight into 9th
9th Some sun around after break of day but rain hail and sleet arriving 10 am approx, snow outbreak by 11 55 till 11 05, with winds intermittently strong but not 55mph.

Read http://amazingweather.wordpress.com for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for AUTUMN 2011 or go to

https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting
visit http://www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html for more discussion astro meteorology and access FREE lessons in weather forecasting and lots of free book downloads

with much more..

Written by tricia astro meteorologist

December 9, 2011 at 12:46 pm

W Yorks and Beyond Weather forecast 2nd Dec-10th

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2nd December-10th
Oh what a shame it isn’t May 2010 when these significations brought fab hot weather….dream on……..if you thought the weather was cold ……then you need to wise up to the Siberian conditions I expect to come our way….but my sheepskin boots should now come in handy….My note say ARCTIC for 5th….
Brief tour, expect snow…I do…..At outset snow already lying on ground frost for some regions if not snow, and this will be added to significantly for 4th and 7th when  there looks to be more risk of heavy snowfall……
2nd Nice day after snow/frost early morning
3rd Too cold for anything should be sunny though
4th Heavy snow expected
5th Arctic conditions reign
6th Bright day freezing cold
7th Frosty or snowy start, heavy snow likely by mid morning, some easterlies kicking in
Snow looks to be moving west from 7th some northerlies add to cold on 9th more snow and icy conditions possible on 10th……..wrap up warm, buy a sled, get the ice skates out  and enjoy the outdoor life………some lovely skies around in spite of the ice and snow…..
Read     http://amazingweather.wordpress.com     for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for AUTUMN 2011 or go to                     https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read     http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com    to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting
visit www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html  for more discussion astro meteorology and access FREE  lessons in weather forecasting and lots of free book downloads with much more..

 

 

Written by tricia astro meteorologist

December 2, 2011 at 5:39 pm

FEEDBACK W Yorks and Yonder 25th Nov-2nd Dec 2011

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FEEDBACK 25th Nov-2nd Dec

Although I warned of only 80% confidence in this phase forecast I have to say it worked out better than I expected with Scotland getting hit by the gales and winds at Tay Bridge and Edinburgh closing roads. Scarborough and Whitby had flood warnings due to high tides flooding sea fronts on 26th and on 28th two weeks usual measure of rain fell in Firth of Clyde fulfilling my forecast for high levels of precipitation. Roads to Glasgow were blocked due to high levels of rain. By 29th very heavy rain was expected to hit the NW region as I anticipated it would in the intro to this phase forecast done in July this year.

Our region was less volatile being inland, but the winds did rage from 24th-29th taking a respite on 28th. Here is a breakdonw of daily events:-
25th Brought strong winds to our local streets at 1 09 am waking me up and sounding like an airoplane passing but a look out of the window saw a strong wind tunnel rolling down street throwing rain around as it passed by…. The day continued windy sun with cloud and showery around 1-2pm, heavy to light icy showers with some hail and sleet mixed in
26th A drizzly day, icy temps and windier by 7pm intermittent icy showers throughout, more shoery outbreaks than expected but generally not wrong for today and yesterday
27th Highly accurate a dry sunny day as forecast. very windy as well
28th Overcast am no winds today, icy cold temps with some sun spells, again a good forecast for today..the risk of icy showers didn’t arrive
29th Not happy about the forecast for today where we had very cold temps, this was correct, so was the sunhine for the morning, but by afternoon the weather deteriorated and we got intermittent showers, with a very dark sky by 2pm onwards and lights were needed indoors due to the darkening of the heavens above, very unusual. Blustery winds continued and brought rain and colder temps. Dry by evening but a heavier downpour and stronger winds by 8pm
30th Icy cold temps again, some evidence of frosting attempts overnight in shady areas, no outbreaks of showers though today, and winds less strong. (Severe windy weather warnings were out for Scotland again for today, winds with rain warnings for Tayside and Lothian borders)
1st Light frost from start of day, spit and spot attmept 9 30 am, dry with sunshine and nippy temps, less wind around today, more cloud later in eve.
2nd Same as yesterday with no breezes at all in the morning….some attempts at spray 9 30 am spits and spots, then again 13 30 ….quick showr in Bingley, cloudier pm after sunny morning

Written by tricia astro meteorologist

December 2, 2011 at 5:30 pm