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1st-16th January Weather Forecast W Yorks and Yonder

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1-9th January 2012
I expect some fine sunny and dry weather generally and 3-5th will have some refreshing atmospheric conditions prevailing, but there will be some windiness as well with tornado potential for 8th ( not in our region probably to south of us) when southerly flows clash with north westerlies. Some static release either thunder or lightening is also likely for some UK regions from the outset of this phase.

Some unusual daytime seasonal wintry ‘highs’ can offset the more frosty conditions expected. There is potential for precipitation to be snow or sleet for this phase. I’m only 90% confident of this forecast as there are a few conditions that could bring blizzards, and with some of the features present in my maps we have seen floods previously, though not in the West Yorkshire region, and I don’t expect any after the 2nd of January……famous last words perhaps! Generally a quarter Moon phase at this time of year should not arouse severe weather……

However, seismicity is high on 8th and regions vulnerable are E of China Japan regions and N Aus area Timor island area

1st Strong gusty westerlies, temps seasonally moderate with hail, sleet and snow showers around 1-2 am, and again 1-3pm but clearer skies by evening but some sunshine to brighten in between.

2nd Easterly wind flows with muggy conditions and potential for more sleet and hail showers 3-4pm Clouds and mists around by evening, especially in the Aire Valley, but by midnight stargazers should get a good clearer glimpse of the world beyond ours…photographers would also get good midnight scene shots.

3rd Breezy spells with moderate temps and some sunshine with cloud but the air will be refreshing and outdoor pursuits more enjoyable in this kind of atmosphere. Even with winter showers which could be around for some localities further east of ours, not ours I don’t think, the air will feel exhilarating and bracing with these kind of conditions.

4th Strong westerlies continue, sun with cloud but clearer skies late at night.

5th Sleet or localised hail showers to the west of us around mid day, but we seem to remain dry. Cool temps greet us in the morning, but it looks like from today until 10th January they begin to go higher than is seasonally usual bringing in some new records. Westerlies turn southerly which also indicates milder temps for the season.

6th Sunny day, some cloud and nebulous breezes. Any winter showers would arrive between 7-9am and if I’m right we see snow to west and rain to east of us by 1-3pm

7th Southerlies and some fogs and mists around from outset with sun breaking through after sunrise quick icy showers likely 10-11pm, strong easterly outlook and a snow bringer harbinger for intermittent winter showers

8th-Should be some sunshine around with strong southerlies seasonally mod-high temps. Fast windy outbreaks likely, Tornado conditions created as mentioned earlier as southerlies conflict with some icy cold strong N Westerlies that can bring snow blizzards. Very nippy conditions in exposed and shaded areas, warmth from sun in sheltered areas. EQ headline expected on 8th—+/- 1 day.

Read on for 9th….the N Westerlies will be strong and icy from 11th onwards on so wrap up warmly. High winds and blizzards are likely to be prominent features weather wise till 21st January t/out UK regions but our main focus is on W Yorks and yonder……

9th- 16th January

Watch the weather change abruptly after 12th this week……..
A sudden jolt arrives by 12th when very icy lows arrive bringing a sudden change in temperature for our region. N W winds are still active on 12th also but these will blow away unwanted cloud leaving some sun and a fresh atmosphere, icy temp pockets in exposed or shaded regions.
Snow is almost guaranteed for 14th and beyond
Blizzards look likely to affect UK regions disrupting traffic and power lines from 8th-21st January.

9th-12th Overall for these days I do expect sunshine along with some unusually rising seasonal temps around, but these also indicate extra cold frosty nights when we see lovely crisp clear skies, but these combinations can also give birth to some freezing fogs and mists as well….winds as outlined above….

11th Frosty start but some sun during the day after early morning clouds and mist. Frost and potential for snow by 23:15 with southerlies active,
12th The warmth begins to be drawn southwards later today leaving us with breathtaking lows and a turn around from the temperatures on previous days. Freezing fogs can cause travel problems from early morning, clearing around mid day for some sun to come out during the afternoon but cold nippy gusty westerlies keep everyone on their toes.
13th Sun with cloudy start, south easterlies bringing in some mugginess and snow clouds forming. Winter showers likely 5-7am looks like snow or sleet blizzards.
14th Cold temps continue with some hope of sunshine during the day but snow bearing clouds release their load by evening with northerlies around late evening to clear up some of the muggy air.
15th Snow likely to continue till early this morning. Looks gloomy for first part of day, clearing slightly during the afternoon, with betters conditions for late evening, cold temps continue.
16th Winter showers around from 6-7 am, and 2-3pm with some sun attempts in between, but still some muggy air around leading to a slight rise in temps on previous days……. 5-6pm brings in a better outlook.
Read the full winter 2012 season long range forecast at  www.amazingweather.wordpress.com
or follow more in depth weather forecasting info at www.starsite.org.uk

Fortnightly forecasts will continue your regular W Yorks and Yonder weather predictions for 2012. Please sign up to have them delivered to your inbox and do leave a comment about the blog before you leave. Thanks for reading!

Written by tricia astro meteorologist

January 3, 2012 at 9:02 pm

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