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Archive for May 2012

Weather Forecast 28th May-19th June 2012 W Yorks and Yonder

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28th May-4th June
 Windy, cold but drier phase but t/storms could break out to some regions, west looks likely area. Short spells of showery outbreaks interrupt dry sunny weather.

28th Sun with cloud and cold temps mists and mizzles near watery places in valleys but any poor weather is moving fast so shouldn’t stay around to spoil things too much. Some sunshine expected during the day. Any static outbursts will soon be over.
29th Today is hard to convey as conditions forecast isolated and heavy downpours for some localities. This is a day when you set off to Otley/Bolton Abbey etc from Horsforth/Yeadon in fine weather only to find you end up in a downpour, then get back home to find it was a lovely day  and you missed out on the good weather!! Some sunshine and blue sky expected but cloudier evening. Temps moderate though cooler in localities where rain falls.
30th A fairer day average temps with cold pockets in shade, ground may be wet but gusty wins should be drying things out.
31st Could be a shower after midnight but sunnier by sunrise with whippy westerlies lashing your face in exposed areas.
1st More muggy trends southerly breezes keep things getting too cool but brining in cloudiness. Scattered showery conditions but sunny as fast moving cloud travels over.
2nd Watery Neptune stations today but seems to be bringing mists mizzles and haziness to western regions beyond ours. Mod temps with some scattered showery spells but some sunshiny bits as well
3-4th Gusty easterlies arrive for three days sustaining a static outlook and more showery outbreaks. Showery late 3rd and into early 4th. Sun with cloud for 4th which looks like a better day

4th June-11th
A FINE WEATHER WEEK HURRAH! VENUS SUN conjunction.

GET OUT THE BBQ! I’m booking away days for this phase which looks like the best of the weather for us for Spring so far. When looking at these charts I always have an eye on the best weeks to book away days and so far have felt that no week looked good enough to guarantee long lasting warmth and less humidity and consistent good conditions. This week ticks all the boxes. A Full Moon usually brings good evenings with fine skies that sees everyone heading for bistro or bar by the river or canal and this week should be no exception. For many days to come it looks like flaming June lives up to its reputation………………..( Quick note and update:-  remember I wrote these forecasts and published them early Jan-Feb but happily the hot sunshine arrived earlier than forecasted, and luckily I managed to getaway to enjoy it, hopefully this forecast will also turn out sunnier than expected)
Some exciting astronomical event for this week will hit the headlines and it will be Venus retrograding over the Sun in the sky which you may recall also occurred in 2004. For us this is extra special as it combines with a sensitive position in one of the charts I use for forecasting temperatures, and augurs a high for our region especially.

2004 saw many floods for the Yorkshire region but a staggeringly dramatic flood for Boscastle by August 16th, in the west peninsular which I had only visited a few weeks before the landslides and huge torrents of water ravaged the tiny village. I’m watching events following this years Venus Sun conjunction on 6th June.

4th Cool but sunny, some easterlies still hovering, but the worst of the mists and mizzles look to be near Dundee, Carmarthen, Lewis and Cork areas not ours.
5th A hot day and some great weather in following days it is only once we get to 10th that some mists and haze or even precipitation around 12-2pm can break up the nice weather.
11th brings in some gusty NW but temps rising high so we’ll see what is coming up for the next phase….read on….

4th June-19th

This week continues the good weather trends and summer really settles into some lovely temps and dry weather with some high ozone coming over with blue skies and heady outlook for some fine days. Some gusty winds and breeziness but I doubt they will spoil the outdoor activity and although some scattered spray and showers can be released by the static conditions created by the highs I doubt they will spoil outdoor activity until later in the phase.

11th Slightly unsettled atmosphere can lead to some scattered showers around, some gusty cold NW around but also some blue skies with wool packed clouds temps increasingly warmer as the day progresses
2nd same as yesterday with some gusty westerlies keeping things lively a slight cooling till sun gains strength at mid day
13th Wholesome outdoor conditions along with some easterly flows, some cloud around but higher temp range expected today
14th Temps remain higher range scattered showers over as soon as they begin and quite refreshing
15th -16th weather of previous days should continue with some northerlies around on 15th
17th Brings a high with rising temps and high ozone and some blue sky expected but some warning of a scattered showery outlook after sunrise along with gusty westerlies from today could be some mistiness around near water and in valleys due to higher temps over previous days.
18th Some more cloud around and breezy conditions continue, strong at times
19th A very wet front seems likely to pass over to the eastern parts and could be prolonged precipitation that creates mists and fogs as it travels. High levels of precip expected and the high temps can be a little muggy today, but who cares….summer is clearly on the way and we have just been reminded of that in the previous days…..

 

Enjoy the weather whatever it may be and wherever you are

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FEEDBACK 20th May -28th

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FEEDBACK 20th May -28th
20th No showers for us it was mostly dry and sunny by mid day with ave to cool temps.
21st Overcast but dry no breeze with sunshine out late afternoon and evening
22–28th and continuing…..FABULOUS GLORIOUS WEATHER, blue skies with temps rising to highs earlier than I forecast for 28th for many regions of UK……..yes some mists around from 23rd and strong breezy to windy for some areas by 24/25th but generally with none of the cold hail outburst I had forecast, thank goodness.

Well that was easy, and so glad the weather turned out better than I forecast HURRAH!  Hope you managed to enjoy it as much as I did after all those early May forecasts in the press warning of the coldest May for over 100 years…..at least I wasn’t that wrong….!!

Weather W Yorks and Yonder 13th May-28th

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12th-20th May

Sometimes you come across configurations that just defy interpretation and I have to confess to being nearly beaten into submission by this quarter moon chart! So many conflicting messages and some of which are new in my experience of looking at charts for the past nine years.
Usually a 3/4 Moon can bring a stormy outlook and this one could be no exception, but whether it hits the W Yorks region is the real issue in my forecasting.
First of all there are many indications of some fine hot weather for this phase, but then again Saturn is casting a glance that seems to break that fine weather showing some gloominess and cloud, spoiling the fine front that otherwise would rule for every day.
On previous occasions the chart display I am looking at has brought  one half of high temps and the other half with lower temps, some charts such as in 1st June 2011 brought 1 whole months precipitation to the SE region in 1 day!
2nd December 2009 Severn and Gloucestershire also had floods just prior to the 2nd Dec chart began to be relevant. I can’t see that much rain falling for us this phase, and I do expect some highs, but I don’t rule out some heavy rainfall to some parts of the UK and I think this will be to the western regions perhaps Cumbria or Wales. There will be a t/storm outbreak but again I found this difficult to time or locate, it may not happen in our region.

There will be some mists and haze around as well but the winds are strong at times and any cloud around will not be left to linger long, and mostly I expect some blue skies with some wool packed cloud.

An overview shows low pressure to the south which means the worst of the weather centres down south and the better weather is to the north…

12th as previously described with some occasional gusty NW
13th looks like the hot spot with temps high and a lovely sunny day expected. famous last words perhaps…..some whippy westerlies occasionally gusty and strong from today turning southerly by evening auguring some warmth but also some muggy conditions even mistiness to some parts
14th Temps stay high  but it could be a little muggy with easterlies around by late evening. Today is a seismic day so will be watching out for major earthquake to be reported…usually 300 a day around the globe but have you noticed only a few make it to the media.
15th If any rain does arrive then late evening looks like a fairly safe bet after 9pm. Westerlies get gustier and more erratic today for the next three days It does seem as if some high pressure helps us remain dry in our region, but I could be wrong about this, there will be some cloud around.
16th looks fine with some winds as described would continue from yesterday
17th around 9 am another scattered showery outbreak could keep everyone alert but generally it seems to remain a fair outlook with wins still active and easterly flows by late evening brining in some muggy trends. Another rain indicator for around 10-11 pm 

18th -20th look drier with temps cooler by 19th and less windy weather, till 20th when some NW come to clear up the confusion and northerlies very strong by late on 20th! Nothing like a northerly for clearing up bad atmospherics! Any rain over these days could be heavier to the east, missing us out completely hopefully but they will provide a fresh atmosphere and even if rain does arrive here it is the kind of rain you like to feel on your face when outdoors.

I shall be watching how this forecast works out very intently and probably wishing I hadn’t continued with the rest of the spring forecast as a result I expect!!

20th May -28th
At first glance I thought this would be a straightforward weather outlook but after reading it the weather turned out to be very busy indeed! This is a phase when normally we could expect nice daytime conditions and any poorer weather to turn up at night but the planets are very active so we can’t take anything for granted just by using one phenomenon alone in forecasting. Here goes, don’t worry I have some lovely weather news for June when you can get the BBQ out and celebrate summer coming in….
20th Expect some sporadic intermittent showery outbreaks at various intervals at start and end of the day especially, hopefully not all day. High humidity and dampness as a disturbed atmospheric outlook prevails. Some sun could break out between cloudiness while the sun is high in the sky. Moderate seasonal temps but rain can lower this to average as it cools the atmosphere
21st Some misty muggy conditions before sunrise but more temperate weather arrives today with temps rising higher than yesterday. Easterlies agree adding to the muggy trend but dryness should prevail.

22nd Some rain around from the morning along with cloudiness and occasional sun spells, but generally fair but windy outlook as day progresses.
23rd Some blue skies around today, moderate to cooler temps range and some clouds also along with some nebulous breeziness.
24th A little breezier than yesterday similar weather to 23rd any rain is expected to come late a night and continue in intervals from early tomorrow.
25th looks like rain arrives in sporadic intervals during today from very early morning and continuing into evening. Lower range temps but high humidity potential for mistiness as well with winds getting stronger
26th Wind is the theme today with gusts whistling around nooks and crannies as cold air brings an abrupt fall in temps and gusty spurts of NW can travel quite speedily at times, especially on exposed areas for the next five days.
27th Cloud muggy start better by mid day but returns by evening which looks like a less volatile weather world. Some sudden outbreaks of static in form of sleet or hail could break up finer spells by evening with temps cooler and skies clearer. Winds strong N Westerlies and gusting to high speed sporadically
28th Temps are set to rise today but winds hand out some cold conditions, some easterlies clash with southerlies and NW, so very blustery air flows. Potential for rain around sunrise, scattered showers likely, but I don’t expect too much precipitation to spoil the day.

 

FEEDBACK 1st-12th May W Yorks and Yonder Weather

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FEEDBACK 29th April -12th May
My forecast for a UK EQ around 3rd came true by 7th The quake occurred just before midnight (7th Monday)and its epicentre was in the Bristol Channel 25 miles (40kms) west of Bude on the Cornish coast, with another one reported for 7th May EQ CENTRAL MID ATLANTIC RIDGE Magnitude mb 4.7 12:21:25.0 UTC In addition the wild windy weather turned out to be an unusual storm cell producing the tornado I forecast for West Oxfordshire region and beyond by 6th, taking some tiles off rooftops. For our locality there was some windy outbursts 2nd -5th during the evenings.

1st Mild temps with a dry start but ground very wet with downpours of earlier days, mists to tops at Baildon and higher ground, more rainy from 3pm onwards
2nd Dry and occasionally sunny with some cloud around, windy by evening.
3rd Grey day, but dry cold temps and windy evening.
4th Cold temps after a clear night some sun patches to the region, some spray attempts 11-12 pm windy evening.
5th Light occasional spray outbursts, icy temps cloudier pm, some brightness rather than grey skies, breezy day brisker outbursts by evening.
6th Lovely sunny day, some cloud, cool temps occasional thin spartan showery outbursts and some breeziness.
7th Sun spells and cloud, breezy then showery by 1pm ave-cool temps. Very heavy rain from 9-10pm continuing overnight

8th Winds got blustery as the day wore on after wet start from rain starting last night. Heavy shower mid morning for half hour then lovely sunny day with temps warm in sun
9th Some showery outbursts, more like April than May, but not extreme cold as forecast for May in news headlines, but some sun spells to brighten us up
10th Not here to report weather during the day and arriving back to Keighley in the evening was surprised to find the ground dry after passing through flooded roads to north Yorkshire during the daytime, and passing by flood plains. Bolton Abbey area was flooded, Bradford had a showery outbreak but some localities in the W Yorks region got less rain than others…so much for micro climates which as I said before are impossible to foreast without taking up mountains of time and space to look at more minutely. As I said in the intro to this phase there was mistiness due to moisture rising as sun tries to breakthrough and certainly on high ground clouds and mists were reigning
11th Ave temps with sun spells some showery intervals but not enough to spoil outdoors as they soon passed over, though occasionally heavy but brief, breezy conditions around all day.
12th Lovely sunny day with some cloud around
13th…….will be warm and sunny as promised and forecast by me, and not icy cold as forecast in many newspapers and on some weather sites………..nice to know others get it wrong, not just me:-)
Read http://www.amazingweather.wordpress.com for the full season forecast, and Spring season is already posted if you want to plan ahead…Summer is now posted keep coming back to find out what awaits us in the summer season….go to http://www.starsite.org.uk if you would like to know more about the growth of astrometeorology down the centuries…

Written by tricia astro meteorologist

May 12, 2012 at 8:28 pm

Posted in Uncategorized