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Archive for August 2012

Weather forecast to end of August W Yorks and Yonder

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24th-31st August

I expect t/storms and rain, with most likely dates for us to be 24th and 28th but also some good outdoor weather as well with sunshine. Springs and streams in the region should be at capacity offsetting the drought conditions other regions may be experiencing. Winds are westerly for the first half, gustier by 25/26th, turning NW by 28th and easterly for 29th/30th, strong and blustery at times, especially to the NW for 28/29th.
Cast your mind back to the equinox week when we had a t/storm for 17th March, but some lovely if blustery breezy conditions following the precipitation. A similar outlook for this phase, but a rule of thumb is the better weather arrives mid day to midnight so plan outdoor activity for then to try and beat the weather blues as they waft over…

24th Increased humidity and cloud around if not mistiness and haze, could be static outbursts as well before 2pm. Finer outlook by 9-10pm but don’t get lulled into a feeling of great weather tomorrow…
25th This is the most likely day for rain to blot the weather outlook with humidity and cloud around as well as haze to lowlands near watery places, but rain looks set to cover most of the UK today so plan some indoor activity for the kids…
26th More static and hazy conditions and some mugginess, but some warmth around as well and there should be some sunshine for some in our region, but some mists could hover for some localities.
27th Should be more settled with sunshine and outdoor weather summery but seasonally ave temps, cooler to north, some cold pockets to exposed areas.
28th t/storm outbreak potential for today, but not to worry I don’t expect the rain stop play all day and night, and once it has gone we get better days ahead. Currently timefields for most likely occurrence are 3 am approx, and 8-9 and the weather gets warmer during the mid morning with sunshine and colder pockets around late afternoon, some milder temps for evening. The north and NW look to be encountering stronger windy weather around this date.
29th a cool day but lovely and sunny and this outlook should continue over next few days….with some easterly breezes around turning NW and gusty westerly by 31st when temps should be milder. 30th looks cool.

Apologies for any errors in this forecast write up but I still have to decode the amazing anomalies in this environment that prevent me from being able to transfer from one notepad to another. Also I have had serial problems trying to upload my usual photos so apologies if none show up for this one.

I wont be posting feedback for August due to time and work constraints, so apologies for those who return regularly to read these, though I am pleased to say the forecasts were on target and accurate. Sadly I notice that TV regional forecasts seem to be getting vaguer for our locality which is why my forecasts are even more essential than ever.

I am unable to post the Autumn season forecast at this stage, but hopefully normal service will be resumed by the end of September.

Enjoy the rest of summer and as forecast in February this year I expect a late Autumn so make hay while summer continues, though of course we have had some of the washouts I expected!

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Written by tricia astro meteorologist

August 29, 2012 at 7:21 am

Posted in Uncategorized

Long Range Weather W Yorks and Yonder 2nd August – 24th

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2-9th August
The low temps for the south continue to make themselves felt and this phase brings potential for high levels of precipitation, but having examined where this is going to be most felt I have arrived at the conclusion that a new business could now be established with a water carrier going out to sea to collect the massive amounts of rain water about to fall mid Atlantic for this phase…contact me for further details about where this new enterprise could be…..

Conflicting warmth and dryness with cool wetness defied teasing out for daily forecasts, so I decided to just stick to a tour of weather outcomes for the phase, though I think the cool wetness lies to the lower south and warmth and dryness is above Midlands and beyond to the north, though East Anglia looks like seeing more warmth and sunshine than we do…

Remember it is a Full Moon that brings barbecue time but this is a rather risky time (March2012) to forecast for consistency in weather outlook to support it. Usually a Full Moon does clear up bad weather, and we can expect better evening  than daytime weather…I’m not happy with this forecast at all….We usually get cooler nights for this time of the month as there is less cloud around overnight, but there is a lot of cloud and mist around for this phase.

2nd A sporadic showery outlook some sunshine between clouds. Temps climbing but humidity is high bringing mistiness near watery places. Seems like a calm before the storm develops today
3rd Mists and mizzles around especially near valleys and watering places, even fogs. Humidity is high  and thick hazes mists and fogs cause travel problems high humidity continues.
4th Similar outlook continues from yesterday but some some sunshine expected.  Scattered showers or mizzles potential around sunrise, but clearer outlook by evening
5th More settled now till 6th when at the start of the day some rain and heavy showers looks likely, the evening looks clearer

7th a quick downpour around sunrise again cool temps  sun with cloud and another showery outlook more prolonged by evening 7pm time
8th Temps look set to be warmer today and tomorrow  rising temps with southerlies

 

9-17th August

I had to track back a long way to see a similar chart to this rare display of weather outcomes..I also had to return to 1982 to see what Saturn battling with Mars brought while in fair weather sign Libra. I got lucky and found a brilliant account of severe thunderstorms from May till late summer accompanying this outlook and a wonderfully detailed account on the net,  of how bad weather battled with some high temperatures to create thunder and lightening during July 1982. However, in 1982 there were lots of other planets joining in the affray, and this isn’t happening this time around, though I do expect something exciting by the end of this phase in the form of t/storms and even high levels of precipitation to some parts of the UK with weather warnings in place….The first half of this phase is good but the change comes in from 12th when the air begins to get unsettled.

9th Looks like some showery weather coming in from the west but the air is generally refreshing and good for outdoors, we may escape with a few spits and spots blown in on wind, southerlies are strong with some mists to watery areas and still air, higher temps range and some sultry conditions by evening.
10th Should be a lovely serene summers day
11th Temps still seasonally high with wool packed clouds, any rain coming in should be out of the way 2-3am if it does wend its way here, some whistling breeziness could start up heralding some changes to come in the fair trends
12th Conflicting air currents between hot and cold begin to make themselves felt. There is humidity and static around and lightening strikes can begin to break out from today, warning of rain threats.
13th I expect our region to encounter some heavy outbreaks of rain today from early morning. Temps are still on the high if muggy side and mistiness is hogging some watery and lowland areas marring visibility Ipswich looks most affected by misty mizzly and drizzly conditions so I’ll be catching up with their weather outlook for this phase to check my forecast result.  The weather continues to remain unsettled as temps are on the rise again by the afternoon which is generally a fair outcome.
14th Some highs expected for 14th creating more static, while my money is on 15th for more lightening and thunder strikes which for some regions beyond ours will be awesome. Some lowland areas can expect windstorms
16th Seems like the weather is less unsettled with temps rising and some nice woolly cloud around. Some westerly breezes prevail.
17th brings another very high temperature day and some good weather but check any modifications to this in my next forecast…….
17th-24th August
This phase is unsettled and it took a while to decide that its migrating droughts hitting the headlines at this time of the year. I expect headlines similar to the ones we got for January this year when an avalanche hit Zermatt and Bosnia and beyond had the coldest temps on record to east of Europe…..I only wish I could spend more time analysing the trends across Europe to see how this will manifest weather wise for this summer, though I do expect the drought will be heavy to those parts, as will temps reaching viciously high levels……..
We have the conflict of highs and lows continuing, though I am trying to stay communicative in plain English rather than resort to obscure messages used by many forecasters. In a nutshell it seems that there is the threat of stormy outbursts, but somehow the planets prevent these from breaking out into too much rainy stuff and we get some high temperatures and fair weather, though breezes and gusty winds can interfere with smooth sailing….or help it along!
The conflict in fair and foul conditions centres over the middle of England from north to south and going across east coast of Scotland. It seems to convey that the drought for the eastern quarter, East Anglia especially, will continue to cause problems at this time of year. The fair is weather we all enjoy; the foul is a trend to parching conditions that isn’t good for harvests and farmers. 
Astro mets will know that the drought conditions are peaking now and won’t return to increasing heavy rainy wet conditions until 2017/19 when the planetary cycle reverses the trend for migrating droughts.

17th Fair weather around with high temp range, dry conditions but some risk of scattered localised showery conditions 5am and 5 pm time wise approx. Temps cooler slightly by evening.
18th Some gusty breezy/windy conditions NW for north Eng and Scotland especially and high ground, we will get gusty breeziness ad risk or more localised hail showery outbreaks, but this also goes with blue skies and fluffy cloud conditions.
19th Cloud with sunshine spells, cloudier outlook for morning  with more risk of scattered showers, some cloud coming over mid afternoon but clearer overnight skies into tomorrow morning, temps on seasonally warm. Windy from last night N Westerly
20th rising temps, abnormally dry conditions ruling, with clear skies risk of some scattered showers and southerlies blowing. Looks like an uncomfortably warm night as well….
21st Muggy conditions around today, haziness and static atmosphere, some breezes to keep things aired, some cloudburst potential late at night and into following morning
22nd Cloud and mizzles potential but a finer outlook for the afternoon, warmth from sun and night skies look clear.
23rd Moon is perigee today, close to the earth so exerting a strong pull on tides, cloudy start if not haziness for watery areas, temps still seasonally high today. The afternoon looks better than the morning for clearer skies and sunshine.
24th Hazes mists and cloudiness around today especially to lowland areas, southerlies active and gusty, warm temps and high humidity. Clear overnight skies

 

You can read the full summer season to end of August on  http://www. UKweatherbrief.wordpress.com

You can find out more about astro meteorology down the ages on my website at www.starsite.org.uk

FEEDBACK Long Range Weather Forecast 19th July – 2nd August

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FEEDBACK 19th-26th August

19th brought heavy showers in the early monring with sun and cloud later and warm temps but some breezy conditions, a dry day though some localised showers were widespread as I expected.
20th Very early light showers but another dry day for us cludy though with sun spells as forecast
21st Sunny and dry day as forecast
22nd light early shower, cloudy but a sunny day develpping by mid day, windy but hot in the sun as forecast, but no showers for us.
23rd Very windy conditions blue skies wool packed cloud with temps ave to high depending on how sheltered or in shade you were, given a cool windy outlook.
24th-28th Generally the weather turned out to be be fair to good but I wasn’t in my usual locality though given I foecast good weather to the east coast, I have to say I was delighted to find my foecast, given early this year, was correct as the east coast was enjoying excellent summer conditions in spite of the met giving poor conditions to the North of England. I was at Whitby where folk were saying they had enjoyed fantastic highs and sun from Saturday 21st……….and notice my foecast, delivered in February said that the East Coast of Yorkshire would have good place for highs from the start of this pahse…so an excellent result for this phase forecast. Thursday 26th was the one to watch out for as the met forecast t/storms for this day and these didn’t materialise at all instead there was just a break in blue sky conditions with rain arriving early on Wednesday but only in drizzles that didn’t spoil outdoor pursuits.

An excellent long range forecast for this phase.

26th July- 2nd August FEEDBACK
26th-28th as above, lovely weather
29th cluody, some sun and some brief localised showers around W Yorks
30th Cloudy day with occasional sun spells cooer temp[s due to breezes and windiness.
31st Cloudy all day, cooler temps, some few sun spells drizzles by late evening leading to mistiness and fog patches late at night
1st August Cloudy start, sun attempts by mid day, sun and showers in the afternoon and evening soradic as forecast.
2nd Sunny generally though a quick showery outburst in the afternoon, not long lasting though and ave to warm temps…..

Cooler temps this phase than the previous one as forecast……