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W Yorks and Yonder Long Range Weather Forecast 31st March-13th April

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March 31st-April 6th 

Outlook is for very cold temps to begin with but sunshine to brighten us up, and some warmer temps by 4th helping us look forward to summer. The windy weather continues and I expect reports of a t/storm to some region of the UK.

31st Strong gusty NW, lashing everything it meets, high speed to some regions. Sunny outlook but temps retaining icy pockets, cloud around but clearing as sun grows stronger by mid day. Potential for quick isolated hail outburst late afternoon

1st – 4th April some cloud around with nippy icy pockets, but lots of sunshine to enjoy by mid day. It’s the winds that create problems during these few days, any showery outbreaks icy cold hail or sleet, look set to arrive around midnight
4th Should see temperatures rising a little, wind still strong and gusty, some sunshine with cloud. Temps on high ground expected to drop to lows.
5th Same as 4th but cloudy or misty start and more cloud around in the evening, quick hail/sleet showers by midnight. Temps getting warmer with humidity around producing some warmer almost tropical outpourings to some regions beyond ours. Winds should be less active by today.
6th Sunny, and looks like  the warmest day of all, but some mists and clouds as a result. Some broody easterlies and southerlies warding off the cold pockets of previous days. A misty cloudy start but temps getting much more agreeable as day wears on.

6th-13th April

A similar chart to this one occurred in October 2009 when heavy rain arrived giving floods to Scotland. I do expect t/storms to be reported to some regions of the UK.

Well first of all we have the infamous perigee moon that always brings headlines to read about some major weather induced incident…I hesitate to say disaster as I don’t want to follow global warmers who hog headlines with disaster warnings all the time…since Aristotle’s day as it happens….still on with the weather…

This perigee moon gave a me a headache as earlier in February ( the same week I am writing this I might add) when I fully expected good old Scorpio Moon to bring heavy rain if not flooding, I was humiliated by the total drought that ensued!! Yes I VERY ACCURATELY forecast a weather system coming down from Foroyar which it did, and resulted in a high pressure system that blocked the Moon in Scorpio from delivering the floods I expected….Harrumph.  Iwas so annoyed at not expecting this to happen! So much so, that I hesitated to deliver this spring forecast which I was working on at the time, and felt like throwing in the towel on astro forecasting!
I still might have to if I have to resort to using jargon such as high and low pressure and isobars which is not what I want to do.

In spite of the above, there will be some fine weather to enjoy and evenings for this phase usually bring pleasanter conditions, while there will be some windy weather and some rain around–well it is a perigee moon phase…..but there is also a massive drought indicator as well planet wise…
Oh and if you are laughing at the fact the moon perigee has anything to do with weather….shame really as there are some immaculate studies that show a significant correlation between high precipitation at the time of perigee moons, though of course not all perigees will bring high levels of rainfall.
6th as forecast previously

7th Some mists or cloud around, muggy conditions with easterlies and southerlies active keeping conditions seasonally mild outlook is for rain heavy at times for late afternoon with some clearer skies late evening and overnight

8th Some showery outbreaks 3-5 am, unsettled atmosphere with cloudiness around till later in afternoon, temps cooler than yesterday, some sporadic breeziness southerly and westerly for today and tomorrow.

9th Same as yesterday with some potential for sporadic hail and sleet outbreaks. Sun with cloud during day.

10th-11th Cloudy start but sunnier afternoon and evening, temps cool. 11th looks brighter than 10th

12th Sun with cloud around, temps warming up, some easterly breeziness and clear evening skies good for outdoors and gardening or even a stroll…famous last words!

13th  Sunshiny start and looks like some nice spring temps remind us summer is just around the corner…easterly breezes keep the warmth notched up.

Read amazingweather.wordpress.com for the full season forecast, and the WHOLE OF Spring season is already posted if you want to plan ahead…Summer is nearly ready to post to keep coming back to find out what awaits us in the summer

season….go to www.starsite.org.uk if you would like to know more about the growth of astrometeorology down the centuries…

 

Apologies for the display in this forecast, can’t figure why changes aren’t being made by the edit in wordpress….hopefully it wont affect the weather outlook:-)

FEEDBACK Long Range Weather Forecast W Yorks and Yonder 15th-30th March 2012

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Feedback 15th-22nd March
Wet and very windy weather burst out across Scotland and NW regons as forecast for this phase..
16th sunshine with cloud, dry day and very breezy by 6pm, static not released till early next day…
17th rainy very early around daybreak? sunnier pm and a t/storm by 5 pm, not a lot of rainfall as mentioned in the forecast.
18th Sunny day, fluffy cloud but cold temps.no rain here, so this forecast perhaps a day out and should have been recorded for 17th instead, though some rain may have arrived to some localities let me know if it was yours?
19th Yes good forecast with gusting breezy becoming windy weather, cold with sun spells, very unsettled
20th Yes a very accurate forecast some gusty windy spurts but some blue sky with cloud around…note the warning of some temps rising….very accurate as it heralded the warmth of the week that did follow and cheered us all up.
21st and 22nd as forecast except no hail outbreaks noted and some haze around 22nd with the sun.

Feedback 22nd-30th March
This was a drought phase, as forecast and at the start we did have some brisk winds, though these didn’t get strong in our region. Strong breezes broke out most evenings, not strong winds!
Here’s what happened, not too far out but not 100% accurate either…
23rd Sunny day with cloud
24th was thick fog sunny later in the day but haziness lingered the same on 25th as forecast, with nippy temps but some fine skies once fogs had cleared.
26thTemps still nippy but lovely skies with sunshine, these first few days brought fogs and  frostiness overnight rather than the showers I had forecast…..
27th-29th brought some fine weather with temps rising silghtly earlier than I had forecast for 29th
30th Was cloud at the outset but clearer by mid day with sunshine and better skies for the afternoon but temps were cold out of the sun as all week really, and if you thought wearing summer clothes was the best way to respond to the hysterical reporting of ‘a heatwave’ then you may have ended up with influenza. Remember ”ne’er cast a clout till May is out, ” no matter how sensational the weather headlines may be.

I couldn’t find any tornado outbreak for England for the dates I mentioned there might be one, and am disappointed this year with my forecast for wind levels, in spite of updating the calcs in my data prog..Of course the US had a mass outbreak of tornados around this time and perhaps any mini UK ones didn’t hit the headlines, as usually they are not as intrusive in our country. Sad that so few get reported for our climate when I know we get them often in my region sometimes raging up the street overnight but no one bats an eyelid…..

Feedback 18th Nov-25th Nov W Yorks and yonder…

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The overall July write up for this phase, less icy than expected and less precipiation than expected also, but I was 85-90% accurate overall, with floods affecting the River Nith in Galloway on 18th and road warnings galore for that region of Dumfries reported by Sally traffic on BBC radio 2……the sunshine I forecast also came through thank goodness after all those mists and mizzles that looked like staying around forever…..I expect these to return in February though so don’t expect to see the last of these for W Yorks and yonder. Happily one TV company abided by my advice to be warned that 21st Nov might not be a good time to film at night when looking for the north star, and made alternative arrangments instead….well done!

The worst of the weather for us on 20th was fog, then thicker fog by afternoon just when we thought it would clear off from our roads as it did on Saturday…herrumph…..pea soup looks set to return in spite of ”scientists” saying if we get rid of industrial pollution we’ll have no thick fog …HUMmmmm
The flash floods were out in Sicily but I’m still awaiting forecast results for today and tomorrow to find out how accurate this part of my forecast was…..the severe gales are already raging in N Ireland and Scotland. The snow doesn’t seem to have arrived yet, but it is cold enough, and in Scotland it was expected for the end of this week….Netweather forecast wintry showers for this end of the week as well…..we can only await the outcome for tomorrow…..

The earthquake I saw looks like the 6.2 in Hokkaido Japan, but Fiji had a 5.1 today 24th as well, I expect another one to hit the headlines throughout today 24th Nov……haven’t time to spend locating these and doing weather sadly………it takes time to time events using astrology and millions of threads of astronomical and mathematical data, as I’m not looking into a crystal ball….

Here’s the local W Yorks and Yonder outcome

18th We got spray halfway along my street at 9 30 am approx but dry beyond that little micro rainfall….you just can’t get the weather to fall properly nowadays, like leaves on railway tracks and snow the wrong design, rain comes and goes regardless….a weak sun broke through the mists eventually and we were mainly dry
19th Misty am again the sun broke through by mid day I registered only 55F on a much cooler day today
20th Thick fog all day long with early drizzly spells and again by 2 30 pm and late evening as well, with temps less icy than yesterday so yes less severe as forecast, but I forecast icier temps to start with!
21st The drizzle continued into morning leaving a foggy start until late morning some drizzle and mizzle around again 9 am
22nd Mizzle at start and fog again, dry day to follow with sun out in the afternoon, the strong winds arrived for Scotland and N Ireland today bringing more rain for those regions…failed to find any flood news for today so my forecast was wrong for floods to arrive today….but I did warn for over following days so lets see what arrives ….
23rd weather disrupted travel for Carnac NW Scotland, disrupting seagoing vessels especially…here it wasa dry day after a cloudy start and no breeze to mention….The snow expected for North Scotland
24th More warnings of travel disruption coming in for Scotland, at Stornaway, Bute and surroundings ares…and this will move down as the day progresses, in W Yorks we are dry, some sunshine and clouds around…….breezes getting sporadically livelier as ay wears on……sadly I have to post this before getting more weather restuls to coonfirm accuracy for the weather outcome to get worse by tomorrow bringing in the flood reports…A wind alert is out over the Highlands and Eilean Siar for today moving around to the Orkneys later and these areas are on flood alert: Argyll and Bute, Caithness and Sutherland, Orkney , Shetland Skye and Lochaber, Wester Ross, Western Isles .
25th As I’m posting this on 24th to try catch up with all my weather work for winter season, I can’t post the oucome for today but have looked up whether floods are on alert and got only a negative on this forecast………this was on the environment agencies website on 24th however….

http://www.environmentagency.gov.uk/homeandleisure/floods/3days/125305.aspx ”The overall coastal flood risk is LOW for Norfolk tomorrow (Fri 25 November) as a large surge is expected on the East coast of England, with a risk of some localised property flooding for some coastal communities. Elsewhere the flood risk remains VERY LOW for the next 3 days. ”

FEEDBACK 20-26th October W Yorks and Yonder

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FEEDBACK 20-26th October

99.9% accurate for the phase!

Remember in my intro to Autumn Weather on http://www.amazing weather.wordpress.com and on http://www.starsite.org.uk I warned of the supermoons this season and EQ connections? Well on 23 rd Oct we got news of this EQ coinciding with the run up to 26th Perigean Spring Tide moon :
Powerful 7.2 earthquake in eastern Turkey
Turkey’s Kandilli Observatory said the death toll could be between 500 and 1,000.
It struck in the Van province near the Iranian border on Sunday. The epicentre was south of the village of Tabanli, near the city of Van.
Turkey had EQ in 1999, when 18,000 people were killed by two powerful ones that struck north-west Turkey.

The bad weather here arrived as predicted for this phase, as I forecast LONG RANGE IN JULY this year, and the Met issued severe weather warnings on Sunday 23rd for parts of England and Wales for 24th, as heavy winds and rains were predicted to hit some areas like Northern Ireland, Wales, West Midlands, South-West England, London and South-East England.
Areas likely to be hit the hardest by the extreme weather are Cornwall, West Devon, Pembrokeshire and Northern Ireland, according to the Met Office, which said there could also be the possibility of some flooding. Torquay closed down the front due to tidal floods and Bridlington to Barmston in the East of us also had warnings out for 24/25th. ”The weather service’s website said: “Periods of heavy rain, accompanied at times by strong winds, will affect parts of western Britain during Monday.”

Our local weather for W Yorks was as follows but equally as accurate:-
20th No spartan showers here, may have been some for other parts of W Yorks, we were dry with mdoerate temps and though some light frost at around sunrise we had a sunny day.
21st nice sunny day, dry breezy as forecast.
22nd Nice sunny day lovely skies little cloud nippy temps on exposed ground and breezy as forecast
23rd Cloudy no rain, breezy conditions not a sunny day but didn’t stop outdoor activity.
24th Nice day, sunny mod temps in sunshine clar skies mostly and breezy wafts in trees
25th Some rain very early morning but dry by 8 am approx in these parts some sun attempts around mid day, breezy

Read http://amazingweather.wordpress.com for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for AUTUMN 2011 or go to

https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting
visit … http://www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html for more discussion astro meteorology and access FREE lessons in weather forecasting and lots of free book downloads with much more..

 

STOP PRESS Winter WEATHER BEING PREPARED  NOW< WILL POST IN NEXT FEW WEEKS Christmas Weather will be pulbished today on www.starsite.org.uk and in www.amazingweather.wordpress.com

FEEDBACK W Yorks Weather 12-20th October

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FEEDBACK W Yorks Weather 12-20th October

W Yorks and beyond  was battered by strong winds as forecast so I do hope you didn’t plan a long journey over the Pennines and high altitudes  for this phase. Some heavy showers did arrive as forecast, in Durham, and NW as forecast accurately,  but it was Scotland that got the worst of the weather disruptions as I expected, and we got less severe conditions.

12th brought mists and mizzles with more over the Aire valley for late evening and early morning as forecast.
13th more mists around early morning in Aire valley and it was cloudy but direr with sun breaking out late afternoon as forecast with temps reamaining moderate for the season.
14th Stillcloudy mizzly outbursts spartan precipitation mod temps and vreeziness arpinmd with sun attempts 3-4pm
15th early mists again in valleys to 8am, but glorious blue clear skies  as forecast, no rain for this region …..
16th Some spray or dampness wet ground early am when it remained cloudy here till  mid day cold temps but warmth from sun, no rain though even though I forecast it might arrive.
17th Floods hit Scotland which I did expect for this phase, but we escaped such high levels of rain but we did get brisk breezes turning blustery and strong by 2 pm and I didn’t notice any thundery outbursts here……. 11:15 am we did have strong blustery Southerlies along with some westerly flow blowing high branches around in  a wild manner….Stronger winds by evening and rain coming in with it across our region.
18th Blue skies and intermittent cloudy rainy spells today t/out, sleet 12 30 pm, more showers later between blue sky outbursts, and stronger winds turning strong and blustery.
19th Lovely blue sky start with no rain around our region and the sun is shining with some light clouds around as well as strong blustery breezes……but it’sonly 11 30 am and some wintry showers could arrive later in the day…will let you know later….
Read     http://amazingweather.wordpress.com     for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for AUTUMN 2011 or go to                    https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read     http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com    to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting
visit …    www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html  for more discussion astro meteorology and access FREE  lessons in weather forecasting and lots of free book downloads with much more..

Written by tricia astro meteorologist

October 19, 2011 at 10:31 am