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AUTUMN 2015 Long Range Weather West Yorks N Yonder

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Autumn Weather 2015.

Using satellite technology, all astro mets are able to see further ahead than traditional met methods allow, and use ancient satellite technology tried and tested for thousands of years.

I forecast for W Yorks N Yonder to make sure I can monitor my success rate as met forecasts often are different to what the outcome is.

Because micro weather patterns often circulate, such as mists, mizzles to valleys as Addingham, Ilkley and Otley, while hail and sleet can also travel micro style, as do some static showers, it takes too long to track them and would make the weather report too unwieldy to read, so if the forecast is for dry but over the road from you there is a shower or mist, this is the reason why.

10th-20th Oct looks stormy with flash floods likely, and Christmas could see high levels of precipitation with threat of floods for the season for some regions.

 

tarneasedale       Sept 21st-28th
Many changes as equinox arrives 23rd September with shifting planetary positions and move to closest perigee Moon 2015, adversely affecting the weather. Flash floods expected to headline to locations 24 east longitude of Britain. Rains will be heavy to East Britain around 26th, with 25th beginning the breeding of stormy outbursts to low lying areas in west regions; Ireland vulnerable to these, but they will travel over our way before moving eastwards. Expect choppy seas growing wilder over coming days with high tides causing probs on coastlines with mists n mizzles more likely to eastern shores.

 

14th-16th September sees more afflictions to East Asia regions such as China, Taiwan/Japan areas.

21st Sun with cloud, temps low to mod for season, some NE breezes, and any rainy outbursts will be further out to western regions of W Yorks.
22nd Clearer skies promising a fair day around sunrise but sporadic showers expected to come in as day progresses, heavier to west. Unsettled by late eve along with localised static outbursts to our region and yonder.
23rd Very unsettled today as the Sun moves into the southern hemisphere, with temps variable but some blue skies around and cool with much colder conditions to high or exposed places such as the Chevin, moors and highlands. Sudden sporadic micro hail or sleet showers can move around but wont be long lasting from 7-8 am and intermittently t/out the day and into next morning.

24th More rainy outbursts expected combined with northerlies trying to clear away the unsettled weather of previous days.

25th -26th Gusty westerlies around with a bright start 25th combining with gusty westerlies, but some stormy outcomes breeding to low lying areas indicating more unsettled weather, with very heavy rains forming flash floods expected further eastwards as referred to above, East Anglia may also see heavy rains. Mists, mizzles fogs and drizzles to eastern Brit generally.
27th A faster moving weather system begins to flow with warmer temps today but mugginess, could be misty start, cloud around and humidity. NE speedy winds arrive today

churchMatterdale28th Sept-4th Oct
Temps begin to climb this phase peaking around 3rd. Expect clearer overnight skies generally, but some mugginess and clouds delivers mists and high humidity with clouds preventing sun shining fully during the day. The East coast of Britain gets the highs of the season, so book now to make the most of what looks like a mini Indian Summer coming in….

Some of the disturbances of previous week still operate and in W Yorks and Yonder there will be still some electrical outbursts with power lines affected, more fires to buildings could be in news.

28th Some warmth but also static outbursts. Winds strong NW with high areas more vulnerable to these speedy outbursts.

29th-4th looks likely to have showery outbursts due to rising temps, so humidity is high but rains can be refreshing. Winds die out after 30th.
1st Can be calm, misty, muggy in areas such as Addingham, Ilkley and other valleys, but higher ground should show a clearer outlook. A sultrier outcome prevails to southern Britain where mists and mizzles due to higher temps will be found. Around 2–5 am some mists and mizzles with cloud around to many Brit areas, but clearing for a better evening later in the day.
2nd-4th Windy/breezy with clearer skies indicating sunshine and warmth from sun and seasonal highs. Could be some sea disturbances NW Scotland region 1st-2nd so watch out for ocean news if you are a seabird.

cold sunny4th Oct-13th Oct
Unusual Autumnal weather circulating and I had to look further than W Yorks and yonder to see what is going on and how it will break over our region as it travels. no guarantees due to some conflicting patterns making it difficult to see which would prevail.

Some sea disturbances moving around SE Anglia, Kent regions will create hazards for sea goers around 5-7th….but 6th is most likely day for culmination. Fruits and flowers affected by either drought for some regions, and humidity for others mould breeding conditions seem widespread.
Fogs mists and mizzles prevail more to eastern quarters, with some mini thundery showers circulating t/out this phase due to static build up as rising warmth hits falling lows.

4th Scattered showery outburst attempts from 6-10 am, with temps warming mod to high seasonal temps but causing static outbursts of hail and sleet by the evening rush hour.
5th Drier sun with cloud.
6th-7th A lot going on today with semi tropical lows off-shore East Anglia/Kent coastal regions migrating north-eastwards towards northern Midlands and further westwards during next few days. Troubled waters off-shore expected so check seagoing services.
Expect clouds to W Yorks and yonder as this humidity rises north, but fairer outcomes to our region than these southern parts. Further west of us on 6th another system shows some static creeps in around mid day and with an easterly wind/weather pattern we get some muggy atmospherics to contend with Some rain could break out but is more likely in southern GB and western areas.
By 7th Some mini cloudburst expected mostly in valleys where haziness is likely to prevail around watery places. Static, hazy and humid fungal, breeding weather travelling from S E towards NW regions.
8th-9th Cloud, mists mizzly, sultry and still but also foggy breakouts affecting traffic flow by rush hour after work, so visibility not clear. This looks like a damp wet and muggy day with southerly air flows keeping things muggy.
10th cooler temps around with clearer skies trying to break out some gusty breezes or winds helping move clouds away but this could be a day when thundery outbreaks arise, more evident to eastern parts.
11th Rain, sleet clouds and easterlies keeping things overcast, damp conditions if not heavy rain, fogs and mists to coast and inland valleys. It is fairer much further north from 10th-13th and we benefit too fairing better than southern regions, but with news of snow on mountains of Scotland not out of the question.
12th Looks cold overcast, gloomy and bleak with more lightening/ thundery outbursts….clearer better even sunnier outlook by evening around sunset…but read on will double check this…

Grinton ftpath12th-20th Oct
An exceedingly excitable weather phase with violent and intense electrical t/storms with lightening strikes, strong winds and floods expected, causing travel chaos and some damage to transport routes including M 62 and M1 and roads adjoining and city wide. Here is a quick tour rather than a detailed analysis……this is a very spectacular, dramatic and awesome weather phase. Normally a new moon brings rain from evenings into the night and at the outset this is the case, but with such strong celestial combinations it could be overruled and due to so much going on it would take too much space to record every detail of it.

12th-13th sees a taste of stormy outbursts stronger to western extremities i.e. Cornwall, Wales, NW Scotland and centring on Irish Sea. Ireland gets rising temps while mainland GB and W Yorks and yonder gets clearer skies but lower temps and we will hear of hail, sleet even snow to high ground. N Westerlies become strong and powerful during this phase. Winds will be howling around too.

13th-15th fairer days with 13th showing last pitch of rainy outbursts 6-8 am likely to finish off outpourings coming in from 12th with a fairer day to follow. Temps will be cold but skies will be clear and blue but winds will be strong and blustery blowing off your hat. Some quick showery outbursts intermittent, but mostly blue skies in between. 14th should be drier and more reasonable weather although a few scattered showers may break out, but by 15th strong winds continue with rising temps to west and t/storms can cause problems to transport routes.

16th More cracking electrical outbursts and there will be high amounts of speedy rainfall potentially creating floods to routes and places near rivers and lakes. Flash floods more likely further to western areas as we see heavy rain moving eastwards too. For us there should be some warmth and clearing occasionally to bluer skies with sunny spells alternating with sudden hail or sleet. Do prepare for the worst even if the skies seem to promise the best when you set off as these systems are speedy and can catch up with you with little warning.

17th Flood problems still trouble western regions where fogs and mists create low visibility, we may have fairer weather but the NW winds can soon scatter rogue showers around intermittently.
18th Storms still circulating with NW very strong it will be 19th before this drama of cracking static weather passes on leaving some destruction in its wake.

cold moors20th-27th Oct
At last a calm after the stormy outbursts of Autumn of the last few weeks. Some sunshine and good outdoors weather to come.

Temps are cooler but at least accompanied by calmer weather. Frosts likely but we will see some sunshine along the way.
20th-21st Some cloud around but a calmer autumn outlook with sunshine once mists clear, mini sporadic outbursts likely to 21st but this wont spoil outdoor events.

22nd Some gusty spurts around cheeky at times with cold frosts to keep you on your toes.

23rd Could see some precipitation, intermittent by late afternoon, cloud, mists and some unsettled weather but fair weather should prevail during the day.

24th Cold and cutting with gusty NW breezes/winds…this looks hazardous out to seas to Eastern regions. Frosts highly likely to form.

25th Looks like another good days for outdoors with fresh atmosphere, but very cold, though exhilarating. Some NW to nip your exposed extremities too.

26th Sporadic hail and sleet showery stuff around with gusty breezes turning windy and keeping things cold feeling wintery. Frosts also likely.
27th Very strong windy weather today likely to turn into gales to NW and on high ground..

High Force227th Oct-3rd Nov
Strong winds and gales continue for the first two days of this phase, blustery weather as temps decline steadily. This is when we glimpse winter ahead.
Clearer skies at night allow temps to fall but this will please sky gazers.
It will be mountains, Pennines and moors that get the worst of some of the blasts blowing over with snow likely on very high ground.

27th-28th Very strong winds around with sudden spurts of speedy velocity, cold and cutting. Winds bring some rain on its wings and by 28th snow on high ground is expected, along with some sleet and strong NW Frost expect late night 28th. Cold, sunshine and cloud and windy weather for these two days with exhilarating fresh air to take your breath away.
29th Still windy but not as wild as previous days. Sunshine after a frosty start some roads could be icy. It seems too cold to allow rain to fall, but beyond W Yorks, to far west may have some outpourings today
30th The day seems sunny with cloud around, could be some freezing mists around valleys and low lying roads near watery areas.
31st Temps peak to coldest but a very bright sunny day expected.
1st-3rd Breezy conditions which can turn into whippy westerlies, frost around, some sunshine with cloud…..but read on for 3rd.

cold3rd-10th Nov
Indications are of a more settled phase with some gentle showery weather mostly overnight, and coldest temps gradually subsiding as 7th arrives.
3rd Looks to have sunshine and northerlies less active, but still chilly. Rain expected overnight into early 4th, bonfire piles will need to be kept dry if you want a good blaze for bonfire night— a little rain stills a great wind. Cloud and sunshine around for 4th -5th with more cloud expected to cover views of Taurids meteor showers. Cool but dry for 5th.
6th Looks fair by mid day some mists around watery places. Sudden winds spurts or breezy outbursts around today.
7th -10th Temps seasonally milder, with some showery outbursts. Clouds around with sun spells and mists/fogs likely.
11th Brings rain for the evening which will move eastwards overnight.

Leverswater Coppermine11th-19th Nov
We miss the weather dramas to be witnessed globally for this phase.
Temps still on seasonally mod to mild range and some fair days ahead until winds begin to be very lively from 15th.

11th can bring some showery outburst mid morning but this should be a fair day with sunshine.
12th Taurids are lively for sky watchers at night and sudden wind spurts will keep clouds moving to give occasional view of the night sky.
13th Northerlies seem strong today but outlook is for fair with fresh atmosphere after a cloudy night.
14th Rain or showers could miss our region, though some tail ends could be blown in by the wind mid morning. Cool with sunshine likely.
15th Some mists and clouds around but the afternoon should be sunny and fine. Windy outdoors
17th-18th Scattered showers likely, intermittent and sporadic turning to hail and sleet showers by 18th. The winds get extra lively for next few days. The Leonids may be difficult to spot with some cloud around.
19th Continuing windy with sun and clouds but also some showery weather later in the day……read on

broodyUllswater19th-25th Nov
Not a pleasant outlook at all could turn out stormier than the outlook forecast for some isolated regions. News of landslides highly likely. Regions around John O Groats, Dundee, Gloucester, Cornwall, Blackpool, Keswick, Wigton regions look to encounter the worst of this weather and landslides could affect mountains and coastal areas.

Mists and mugginess can prevail with unsettled weather to come. Risk of high levels of rain from mid afternoon 19th creating isolated flash floods and very damp humid atmosphere.. Damp and oppressive weather around, not good for planning outdoor activities.
The 20th is unsettled with rains continuing and shows a little sun, with a lot of cloud also some winds racing around taking heavy rains eastwards. 22nd will see mini whirlwinds to some localities.
Excess cloud around and temps lowering again after 21st with potential for ice to form. Snow for mountains and Pennines peaks by 23rd when winds get wild and nasty, with cold, frosty outlook for us 23rd/ 24th onwards. 25th Continues the dark, dull gloomy weather with hazes, mists and fogs around and variable winds battling it out in sudden spurts.

frosty25th Nov 2nd Dec
This phase should see an eventual turnaround on previous gloomy wet damp conditions. Temps get much colder and bring frost over, some iciness expected and it looks too cold to rain though some sporadic hail or sleet could affect isolated locales. Weather settles into cold frosty and less agitated by 27th for a few days and by 1st December it is looking very wintery.
Winds turning northerly to clear away the bad and bring in more settled outlook but will be chilly. 25th-29th has clearer calmer weather with sunshine, overnight frosts expected. 30th holds potential for showers around London areas, and 2nd could bring some winter showers to our regions.

3rd-11th December
Weather system flowing in from the East could be making headlines, as it did 13th 14th August when heavy rains came over from Spain and beyond. Some static conditions mean we can expect a few sleet and hail outbursts for this phase. Flash floods expected to cause problems to the western areas the general trend is for very heavy precipitation 3rd-5th causing more flash floods circulating to some southern regions too as with 13th/14th August.
This phase will prove extra stormy for Cork, Lewis and Stornaway with snow for Glencoe expected and a little turbulent for us too.

Some precipitation potential lingers to the west threatening to travel here to dampen our parade early morning on 3rd but we should see some sunshine breaking out in the afternoon with clearer skies by eve.
4th brings in some invigorating trends with blue skies and sunshine but winter temps leave an intense chill.
5th A little unsettled today and a mix of precipitation potential so winter outbursts likely with snow, sleet and hail in the mix, and some nippy breeziness to contend with.
6th Onwards continues chilly but less likelihood of showery outbursts, although 7th could see winter outbursts to eastern parts after sunrise. 8th sees northerlies active while 9th and 10th is cold but with sunshine around and some blue skies mid afternoon could bring some winter outburst around mid afternoon both days some sleet and snow expected.
11th Is when static brings down more cutting rain, hail, sleet and snow

The last three days will see likelihood of higher levels of winter showers crossing Gloucester, John o Groat’s regions.

Malham astrometeorology11th-18th Dec
Gusty wind patterns for this phase but these can send clouds scurrying along and help dry out any winter precipitation.
11th sees some strong hail and sleet showers with gusts of NW. Air travel could be disrupted around these days, especially for those going to Iceland to see Santa, make sure your travel is insured. Disruptive weather mid Atlantic will interfere with journeys crossing them. Mists and fogs potential for early morning today and 12th, with some regions of UK seeing snow and sleet attempts.

13th-16th NW gusty weather, some haze, mist and cloud but with temps on the seasonally mod to mild side these won’t be freezing mists. Some showery outbursts around 8-10 pm on 13th, and evening to sunrise from 14th-15th with sunshine and cloud during the day. 16th continues the scattered showers theme but these will not be long lasting, though will cause mists to valleys.
17th Cloudy and misty start looks likely to be more cloud than sun today, Rain could be heavy over to far west regions
18th Doesn’t look healthy….read on

wintertreetopsastrometeorology18th-25th December
Temps move towards very cold and wintery, turning to frosty by the last few days, with some bleak weather around for Christmas shopping.
The West coastal regions get covered in fogs mists and mizzles around the winter solstice on 22nd this year when the sun i giving Australia a dose of summer, and bringing us an awareness of how gloomy winter can be.

18th Winds with rain, scattered showery outlook rain could be heavy and NE Scotland looks likely to feel the heavy rains expected, some flash floods likely, but W Yorks seems to avoid these as fast moving weather systems move up from the south.
19th Cold temps with southerly systems active. Could turn frosty and snow to high ground highly evident. Air will be crisp and light snow, sleet and wintery outbursts continue from yesterday, some sunshine with cloud gathering gloomy during the day.
20th Could be muggy with some gusty weather at times very cold outlook but sun with cloud mid day, cloud more likely to northern parts and some of W Yorks, fairer weather to south.
21st Strong winds, spasmodically gusty and speedy at times look set to strike today and looks like blizzards herald the solstice. I expect hail, sleet and snow storms to develop as unsettled weather breaks out for 21st-22nd. Freezing fogs and mists develop to western coastal regions with some tidal traffic upsets due to low visibility/choppy seas. Expect transport routes to be affected, air travel included. Some fairer outlook trying to break out by pm on 22nd, but it will develop icily on high terrain by evening and overnight. Bleak weather for these two days.
23rd Outlook gloomy at times. Colder but less wild, sunshine with cloud by mid day with some northerlies trying to battle away the S Easterlies.
24th Fairer start and sunshine looks likely to prevail with occasional gusty breezes/winds fair to mod in strength, but some mists are likely, also some winter showers coming over W Yorks after mid day. This system is travelling eastwards on a very cold day and will affect eastern regions by 25th.
25th Happily the Northerlies are active today and these always clear away the bad weather–eventually. Wintery showers could greet the day around sunrise.
Full Moon Christmas Day indicates cold, frosty weather in winter. Mists break out, with some drizzles and mizzles to lowlands from Devon to East coast of Yorkshire.
The next few days will be very settled for W Yorks with clear evening skies but lots of frost around. However, the SE regions i.e East Anglia don’t seem to fare so well and some localised flash flooding may cause problems there and other southern regions, heavy precipitation expected.

I don’t see snow for us on 25th, but Boxing Day does show frost, potentially snowfall or sleet and hail by late evening, depending on how high your location is.

New Years day looks a better bet weather wise with a fair outlook for those going to the races.

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SUMMER 2015 West Yorks N Yonder UK Weather Brief

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Your Summer Weather Forecast for 2015 W Yorks N Yonder UK

Rock carvings Langdale

Rock carvings Langdale

Apologies to those trying to visit over the past few weeks, but due to some unagreed interference with acceptable transmission of my work and mega plagiarism and reuse  of it,  I have had to temporarily offer only private access to my site. Hopefully this can now change.

This is a quick tour of the weather for W Yorks and Yonder for summer 2015 where yet again I haven’t analysed wind charts nor have I gone into my usual detailed accounting of daily weather patterns but hopefully the forecast wont be too far out and should yield at least 70-80% general accuracy. I am quite pleased with the results of my Spring tour this year which did deliver often 100% accuracy and mostly 85-90% accuracy for my region.

I should advise I normally look at daytime weather rather than overnight conditions, due to most people wanting to know which days are best for outings etc.

I will try and post the August weather trends sometime soon folks………….Enjoy this summer for it could begin to develop into colder summers to come……more of this later.

24th June-2nd July

Potentially seismic outbursts to East China Sea area between Japanese and Chinese/Shanghai region, watch out for this +/- 2 days 24th June

Meanwhile back in W Yorks it looks like some gusty and varying easterlies are around, mostly affecting western regions.

The pattern is optimistic weather wise, if not cause for racing outside and shouting ”hurrah” as it looks likely the week will progress into some gorgeous if not fabulous weather with clear electric blue skies, great photography weather and time to go paragliding, ballooning, fly your kite or just get out into the great outdoors to enjoy the summer conditions.
Temps will be above seasonal ave, while those of you walking the Pennines or peaks will find some cooler temps telling you to walk faster to keep warm, but put your sun hat on and watch it doesn’t get blown away by some gusty cheeky breezes on high.
The only cloud on the horizon is around 30th when some cloud could bring in sporadic showery stuff coming in from the west but don’t worry it wont be enough to spoil things for long. The 1/2nd could see some mists in valleys overnight to early morning near river valleys, humidity levels high overnight with some cloud stopping warmth from escaping our terrestrial atmosphere.

2nd –8th July

I haven’t even bothered delivering the usual analysis for this phase, with two major benefics showing a wonderful combi for all to enjoy in our part of the world, I expect fabulous weather described earlier to continue…the temp highs come later folks and will be worth waiting for unless I see thundery outburst to accompany, watch this space….

8th-16th July
Wow! The only blot on the horizon is some polluting influence, not sure how air based it is, this is due to temps climbing and aggravating conditions for those who have breathing disorders.

The 9th could bring some sporadic showery outbursts, over as fast as they begin, localised hail outbursts likely if they do arrive, mostly to the west of our regions but could spill out over here too, whilst 11th cloud see some precip, but I doubt it will last long, and will provide a welcome breath of fresh air as well as relief for thirsty hard working plants, though of course it will keep the atmosphere cooler. So expect a refreshing downpour.

The East coast looks like getting the real highs of summer this week, however this could also bring in some sea frets potentially spoiling the view at Whitby 13th-16th, but the south westerly region also looks hot, hot, hot, but most of Britain benefits from a lovely summer outbreak of rising temps with some showery outbreaks moving around but not spoiling things too much. The 16th potentially brings in some clear skies and sunny weather for us but I’m not ruling out some scattered hail outbursts in some localities….

summer flowers astro meteorology16th-24th July

Azores highs seem likely to continue for a few more days at least, always a welcome trend in summer, even though there may also be some showery outbursts and cloud forming as a result of static building as the week progresses. Expect an Azores high building to peak around 14th.
Mars and Mercury combine by 16th to bring in some fast, furious and gusty westerlies, so at least they will move any clouds quickly onwards. There will be turbulence out to sea with this influence- the mid Atlantic suspect, could even be refugees fleeing over sea to Americas.
More clouds to the east at the start of the phase, with potential for quick hail or sporadic showery stuff around mid day on 17th for us, earlier for areas to the west of us, that’s lakes, and further to Wales etc whilst on 18th this is further to the eastern areas where more gloom and cloud are likely, but this could gradually travel east our way on following days.

Some gusty N Westerlies continue keeping temps cool on 18th, getting more hectic and speedy by 19th. By 23rd we can expect some breezy, gusty weather sometimes very brisk and breezy, particularly on high spots and this will create disturbances for air transport, air temps decline and lowering……this system should die off by 20th bringing us up to 21st and onwards into following days when fair weather prevails but with lowering temps.
Sunshine is likely to be around in occasional outbursts rather than prolonged uninterrupted levels 23rd/24th are very unsettled.

24th-31st July

Some mists, cloud and gloom around so don’t expect a brilliant week ahead and scattered thunderstorms could circulate, but haven’t time to track these. Some subterfuge being hidden away on the high seas as well……

Doesn’t look good at all really.. Some fair conditions at the start, but very unsettled, with some easterly gloom hovering further east and threatening to rain on our parade potentially around 26th when it looks likely to be heavier to the east but travelling back our way. Cooling breezes stubbornly refuse to give way to summer from the start. Mists prevail to the NE regions, more heat to areas far south for this phase.

Temps bottom out by 28th while whippy westerlies keep things lively, so no hope of a sunbathe; I also expect some thundery outbursts mostly East/South/N East. Things look to go downhill 29th-31st and farmers struggle to keep haystacks dry, while fruits need careful watching under some unwelcome broody damp weather.

31st also brings in more breezy conditions to keep things cool but 31st things will be humid and still damp but with a promise of better weather ahead….or not..

Prettiest Viallge in Yorkshire Dales

Prettiest Village in Yorkshire Dales

FEEDBACK Long Range Weather Forecast 19th July – 2nd August

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FEEDBACK 19th-26th August

19th brought heavy showers in the early monring with sun and cloud later and warm temps but some breezy conditions, a dry day though some localised showers were widespread as I expected.
20th Very early light showers but another dry day for us cludy though with sun spells as forecast
21st Sunny and dry day as forecast
22nd light early shower, cloudy but a sunny day develpping by mid day, windy but hot in the sun as forecast, but no showers for us.
23rd Very windy conditions blue skies wool packed cloud with temps ave to high depending on how sheltered or in shade you were, given a cool windy outlook.
24th-28th Generally the weather turned out to be be fair to good but I wasn’t in my usual locality though given I foecast good weather to the east coast, I have to say I was delighted to find my foecast, given early this year, was correct as the east coast was enjoying excellent summer conditions in spite of the met giving poor conditions to the North of England. I was at Whitby where folk were saying they had enjoyed fantastic highs and sun from Saturday 21st……….and notice my foecast, delivered in February said that the East Coast of Yorkshire would have good place for highs from the start of this pahse…so an excellent result for this phase forecast. Thursday 26th was the one to watch out for as the met forecast t/storms for this day and these didn’t materialise at all instead there was just a break in blue sky conditions with rain arriving early on Wednesday but only in drizzles that didn’t spoil outdoor pursuits.

An excellent long range forecast for this phase.

26th July- 2nd August FEEDBACK
26th-28th as above, lovely weather
29th cluody, some sun and some brief localised showers around W Yorks
30th Cloudy day with occasional sun spells cooer temp[s due to breezes and windiness.
31st Cloudy all day, cooler temps, some few sun spells drizzles by late evening leading to mistiness and fog patches late at night
1st August Cloudy start, sun attempts by mid day, sun and showers in the afternoon and evening soradic as forecast.
2nd Sunny generally though a quick showery outburst in the afternoon, not long lasting though and ave to warm temps…..

Cooler temps this phase than the previous one as forecast……

West Yorks and Yonder Weather Forecast 3rd – 19th July

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Image

3rd July-11th July

Drought indicator battle with planets trying to produce cloud and unsettled air and more lightening or static outbursts for this phase. However, it does look like there are some windy trends that upset fine days and from the outset some disruptive weather unsettles the finer outlook. The drought phase, lasting till 2017 I might add, is hitting the south more than the north and looks like getting more noticeable for this time of year with farmers struggling to keep plants properly nourished.

There are some seismic indicators as well and this echoes disturbances such as those at Zermatt in January when an avalanche trapped people in the mountain village, also by end of January we had record snow and disruptions toair travel as well as people dying on street in eastern Europe due to the lows, with Heathrow and other airports encountering problems with flight schedules as well. This freak weather looks likely to occur again due to weather disturbances high up in the atmosphere, bringing in news from Eastern Europe about record breaking weather–could be t/storms that feature, causing problems.

This is a full moon phase normally the barbecue phase for summer addicts or for evening walks and al fresco dining. I honestly don’t think you will be disappointed, although the sun is apogee at the moment and this often means lower temps at this time of year, so I’m surprised to see so many planets battling to keep things summery for this phase, thank goodness.. I do expect some lightening strikes to be quite spectacular for this phase.

3rd brings in some gusty windy westerlies but still some southerlies around keeping things seasonally mild but I do expect temps to climb today also. Cooler outlook for evening so wrap up warm if you are planning a barbecue, and Ido recommend putting the fire in a sheltered place to avoid winds blowing flames where you don’t want them to be! The air is unsettled and as mentioned in the previous forecast I can’t rule out a flash t/storm for today ( oh dear as I post this on 5th I see I’m one day out again for the t/storm forecast as this occurred yesterday 4th at 5 40 pm!! WHOOPS how bad am I getting…yes I know I did these in February but I still shouldn’t be a day out with forecasts, sorry everyone) but these will be localised static outbursts and it’s difficult to see at this stage exactly where they’ll fall, but I do expect them to be over as quickly as they began with no lingering. (no it didn’t linger, but brought a five minute downpour, then another by 7-8pm speedily over so accurate on that score)

4th Could see some cloud around after a cool night but I also expect some sunshine along with continuing sporadic and gusty westerlies vying with southerly breezes. Some strong NW arrive mid afternoon but southerlies are staying around for a few days to stop things from turning exceedingly stormy or too cold. Temps will drop suddenly so be prepared to wrap up when they do.

5th-6th More static around lightening strikes potential, erratic hail, isolated showers very localised, with very strong gusty NW winds active veering strong gusty and westerly late at night on 5th staying until 6th. Some sunshine in between sporadic static outbursts, in fact there should be a lot of sunshine and blue skies making it an excellent time for photographers.

 Some seismic elements around as well so news of either volcanic outpourings or big EQ expected +/- 2-3 days. One of the areas singled out are Omsk and Alma Ata regions of Kazakhstan…..East region of Beijing alsovulnerable…..haven’t time to look at the southern hemisphere…

7th-8th Should see temps rising higher, drought conditions causing problems but good days for sunbathing I expect…..outlook unsettled from tomorrow so make the most of this trend

9th A scattered showery outlook, but not heavy for us if they do arrive here, very spartan indeed and a fine outlook for temps rising for our region and beyond. Changes begin to come in weather wise. Some fogs and mists or hazes could create problems for air traffic at this time expect increasing humidity and cloud from today.
Some windy conditions cause problems possibly to the SW region of England I’ll be on watch for tornado breeding but always get foiled by the fact that our British press prefers US tornado reporting to our own, making it impossible for anyone seeing a localised tornado to see the importance of reporting it sadly…….. Weather  conditions begin to change today with a more unsettled outlook reigning, isolated storms can spring up for some regions and by 10th it does look like the west is looking at some scattered showery conditions coming in after the highs create more static. The 10th looks like more highs are around with some northerly flows

11th Most likely day for rain to arrive from the west and travel east, but there is a drought indicator as well, but this may just have blocked precipitation being too heavy in previous days, so although temps are seasonally high I don’t see this rain being heavy or prolonged, more like a sudden outburst that soon passes over and refreshes the atmosphere from early morning Erratic weather conditions at this part of the weather phase…..

11th-19th July
Some high temps arrive again halfway through this phase but we can also expect some cold and draftiness from variable  breezes and windiness gusting at times from 11-15th Easterlies get stronger by 15th with gusty westerlies strong and speedy at times by afternoon on 16th, but temps climb faster from today. Rain more than likely for 17th and 18th

11th As previously forecast
12th A dry sunny day expected any showery outbreaks would arrive at 6-7 am potentially
13th Some cloud around from 1am with potential for shower but by sunrise it looks like a fine weather outlook for today. seasonally average temps continuing
14th Sunshine and cloud around with warmth from sun, clouds expected to form by evening when some easterlies get kick started and warm air could create haziness to watery areas.
15th Fine start some clouds forming quick sporadic probably localised showery precip around 5-6 am cool start but sunny with temps rising as sun gets higher easterlies prevailing
16th Cloud or rain expected mid morning and some quick hail showers can arrive bringing localised sporadic scattered outbreaks again by late afternoon. Gusty westerlies could be bringing in some rain late afternoon, getting gusty and speedy at times.
17th Expect some high temps to reign today but around 1am some showery stuff could water the garden and this could be a longer rainy spell than in previous days So it could be a cloudy start that develops into sunshine and blue skies as the day progresses with warmth increasing.
18th Some mists cloud or haziness, even showery stuff at start of day and into the morning but a fine afternoon is likely with temps climbing a little higher than yesterday, but this could result in some cloudiness with showery stuff by evening ….19th looks wild and windywait for next phase to be posted………………

 

Here’s hoping I redeem my forecasting for these two weeks of weather predicitions:-)

FEEDBACK Weather 19th June- 3rd July W Yorks and Yonder

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FEEDBACK 19th June-3rd July
The overview for this phase said it all. Glastonbury didn’t happen this year but we did see people in muddy wellies at the Isle of White festival where mud baths were enjoyed by all as the foul weather over-ran the event, but at least everyone remained in good festival spirit!

20th was bright and sunny with some breezes and warm temps but cloudy by evening heralding the very heavy rain for 21st and 22nd No blue skies at all, so a bad forecast, but then I was expecting cooler conditions to reign but it rained instead —torrentially!
23rd was drier with some sun spells and the occasional showery outburst with stronger windy spells as well and much cooler temps. I’m not sure which region got t/storms but none encountered in my locality. I think the 23rd forecast for rain continuing overnight was two days out and should have been dated 21st/22nd weather….must do better at timing next season!!
24th Showery before 4 am suny by 8-9 am with occasional showery spells later and strong gusty winds rather than nebulous breezes that I expected.
25th was a dry day with some sun spells………….
26th-27th unfortunately no feedback as I wasn’t here to keep a check on outcomes for the weather………though I expect my forecasts for these two days were more accurate than for the previous days…..

I did warn in my introduction to the season that this summer would echo that of 1685 when similar planetary conditions brought drought, paricularly for the south, until June…..and certainly this general forecast seems to be coming true. By the end of June hosepipe bans were lifted, especially to the south.

 

27th June- 3rd July 

I can’t give feedback for the 27th -3rd July due to being in the south of England where weather to East Anglia at least was fairer than in our region. The 28th June gave amazing weather events to the NE where mudslides captured headlines, and elsewhere rain caused havoc with rail and road travel, but not to the SE region where I was….In fact though a t/storm was forecast by the met for my SE region we got only a spattering of a shower before 9 am and a lovely sunny day to follow…

My own W Yorks and Yonder forecast was brief for this phase with only an overview which didn’t mention the flooding and chaos, and I have no idea how bad it was in W Yorks. I’ll be honest and say that the chart for this overview was challenging and I was very wary of any interpretation it defied!

Certainly by 1-3rd fairer days broke out, as forecast, with temps mild and muggy, haven’t had time to check my forecast for static in Scotland, but certainly the muggy conditions contained static energy to these parts too, leading to showery outbursts late on 3rd.

The overview I gave seems wide of the mark for I forecast fine weather to the east coast, which was where the NE mudslides occurred on 28th, but I was on the SE coast, and my forecast was fine for that region! Oh dear, I seem to be off kilter and not as accurate as usual for this season. Certainly it wasn’t a good forecast for the NE, and I have no idea how accurate I was for W Yorks either.

Thankfully my summer forecasts only go up to the end of August for the summer season and lessons have been learned which I can only hope stand me in a more accurate state for the forecasts for the rest of the year.

By June we had many planets changing signs and the Venus Sun combination, which was challenging the usual outcomes of forecasts I am used to reading, but hopefully I should be returning to my higher accuracy levels for September onwards……fingers crossed…

Interesting though that the usual Full Moon clearer weather pattern isn’t happening this year, it seems to be the New Moon that’s bringing the highs and clearer outlook. and the quarter Moon sometimes bringing worse weather than the three quarter Moon…….this could be a clue to planning my next getaway for good weather so I can make the most of what is becoming the wash out summer I told friends to expect back in February…..

Spring Weather 30th April-12th May 2012 W Yorks and Yonder

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29th April-7th May

The theme for this phase is wild and windy, don’t take your sailing boat out, or try flying a kite….good for getting the washing dry or finding all autumn leaves have now been swept away from the garden!
Some unusual weather for this phase with the overtone being wild if not gale force high speed winds causing havoc if not destruction to many UK areas and we will not be able to avoid the centre of this system blowing over.
High humidity is also around with warmth trying to encourage spring plants but causing moisture to rise and break out into cloudbursts. Some mists in valleys due to warmth from sun as well as rising temps but also some sunny weather around to enjoy, though the winds are going to be keeping everyone busy and will not allow much settled  enjoyment of what sunny days do arrive.
Scotland and exposed regions to North England gets hit far more violently than us with the wild and windy stuff will need to watch the headlines, and tornado to SW also needs watching for…

29th Early showery outbreaks as previously mentioned along with some whiplash westerlies creating wild conditions outdoors in exposed regions, but some sunshine as well.
30th Humidity begins to accumulate along with strong winds from yesterday continuing, but also some sunnier spells. Lovely blue skies expected by evening when northerlies are most active keeping things cool.
1st Showery outbreaks potential very early around sunrise, temps should rise today as sun gains height in sky, but westerlies are now kicking in with strong and erratic speeds, occasionally gale force or sometime quite fast. Sunshine with varying cloud levels.
2nd Intermittent sporadic showery conditions likely, temps remain seasonally warm in sunny areas, winds very strong to high speed gales especially overnight tonight and continuing into tomorrow.
3rd Seismic outlook so some news of the larger types of EQ for UK around this date, Heavier outbreaks today some will be rain, hail and even sleet, cutting at times. Conditions could be set to get a little milder but this brings potential for mists. Later in the day this should clear and turn into better weather conditions. Winds strong to high speed gales…a stormy outlook with echoes of the blizzards that hit Doncaster November 2010.I do expect the winds for this phase to create some damage and disruption to normal services.

4th-5th The rain will be moving over to eastern parts, leaving us  with a better outlook and temps rising to warmer ones, but some cold pockets lurking in shady and exposed areas. Should eventually be a good day for photographers with some electric blue skies. Tornado likely +/- 2-3 days today to SW region of UK.

6-7th  6th looks cool with cloud around clashing with warmer temps of previous days. Southerlies turn into strong easterlies by 7th but the worst of the wild and windy conditions look set to be subsiding but there could be some sporadic showery outbreaks, but good outdoor weather begins to break out and some sunshine to enjoy…..Some mistiness could lurk over valleys and near water 6-7th.

The Full Moon on 6th May is in Scorpio and is a very rare one ( a spring tide or Supermoon) as one astronomer  found it culminated within 1 minute of close perigee position, which is a hard record for any previous Full Moon to beat—-read this website for more….http://www.fourmilab.ch/earthview/pacalc.html

7th May-12th
There is a tendency for temps to try and rise this phase adding to humidity and some potential for static to build.  This is the closest perigee moon of 2012 and being in Scorpio can bring some extreme conditions affecting some regions of the globe. I haven’t taken time out to look at and locate many EQ for this Spring, though my winter forecasts are working very well as I write this in February when my forecast for an EQ In France has come true.
Coolness added to humidity, as summer tries to break through, will breed the static atmosphere which may create some muggy cloudy or misty conditions at the start of the phase. I’m just hoping I’ve balanced the timing and arrival of rising temps with other indications for cold dull weather, combined with some fine conditions trying to pass over our way as well for this phase. It’s such a shame Mercury keeps playing with Saturn as these two cause the duller conditions that interrupt some of the finer weather that otherwise would prevail for this phase, but there will be warmth from the sun its shady areas that keep hold of icy pockets. This kind of weather is when moisture rising in response to heat from the sun creates haziness.
7th Any showery outbreaks arrive early morning some cooler conditions compared to previous days with easterlies producing a little dullness. The Moon in Sagittarius can also bring some sun into play so lets hope there is some around between cloudiness that looks set to develop mid afternoon,  the evenings look clearer. Temps rise today and should reach above average with icy pockets left to shady areas.

8th Cold overnight and before sunrise with cloud around or dullness. Showery potential around sunrise, but hopefully some clue sky to come,  occasional lively and gusty N Westerlies, lower temps mingling with some warmth from humidity created by rising moisture as sun gets high during daytime, and it should be a fair day with few clouds,  though a Full Moon period often allows better skies at night.
9th -12th  After 9th looks drier. 9th looks to be the wettest day with N Westerlies trying to ward off any poorer weather and blowing clouds away. We could see better weather from later in the day on 9th continuing for the next 3 days with some mistiness around watery areas as temps rise, but cold pockets to shady areas. Winds are less active and some fine sunshine should be around to chase away any gloominess. Some more mists and/or cloudiness and N Westerlies on 12th…the good news is by 13th…it looks especially lovely and sunny and warm…….

Read www.amazingweather.wordpress.com for the full season forecast, and Spring season is already posted if you want to plan ahead…Summer is now posted keep coming back to find out

what awaits us in the summer season….go to www.starsite.org.uk if you would like to know more about the growth of astrometeorology down the centuries…

FEEDBACK 13th-29th April Spring Weather W Yorks and Yonder 2012

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FEEDBACK 13th -21stApril

Gales as forecast arrived to south and Bristol Channel 17th as well as mists to that some parts of England by 18th, so the overview for this phase was intact in that respect. Transport problems hit the headlines due to air flights at Heathrow being grounded due to a fire in one of the planes, but also weather warnings Wednesday 18th saw some slow-moving downpours, with hail and thunder. Some surface water flooding lead to difficult driving conditions, while coastal gales still raged at Bristol. Also, roads may be slippery in heavy hail bringing transport problems as forecast.

The mists and fogs I forecast arrived to the south regions by 17th and 18th.

13th Early showers before sunrise an overcast morning but fresh outdoors with some sun spells by 1 30pm. Temps cold, and sporadic light showers late in day and evening….hail showers for us 4pm approx. So my temps forecast not good for today which wasn’t as mild as expected.
14th Dry overcast am fresh nippy temps a little breeze around, with light intermittent showers further to west at Ilkley during the afternoon etc but remaining dry here
15th Sunny start cloudier by mid day chilly breezes keep things cool in sun, hail outbursts mid afternoon
16th Sunny start clouds thicker by mid day breezy but dry day, temps cool. I forecast potential rain for today but it remained dry, we were breezy here rather than windy.
17th Possible early showers, continuing till 10 00 am cloud with sun spells breezy and milder than yesterday but strong windy outbursts by 1 pm with more prolonged sun spells, showery again by 4 30pm with precipitation coming in with the winds which here became very strong almost in a funnel of speedy vortex bringing hail with it 6-7pm. Fogs and mists warning given out for south regions, so this part of my overview was accurate.
18th a Very rainy day from the start!! No sun shine till late pm………but rainy mizzle and drizzle kept breaking out and continuing into 19th giving us two days of wetness and miserable weather, with floods to Pocklington North Yorks for today….
20th Dry, bright but cloudy some short showery outbursts 12 pm Storms were very widespread to south of England today
21st Chilly, breezy sun with cloud at start of day sleet by 11 20 am more sleet hail outbursts in the afternoon, further to west at Ilkley and beyond had very heavy downpours…no electric blue sky day that I forecast sadly! Getting the washing dry wasn’t an option today either….apologies…..

Not a brilliant forecast this phase, with the prolonged rainy spells 18-19th not factored in, as well as sunshine forecasts being way out as well. The overview was very accurate but the daily forecasts for our locality were not reliable.

FEEDBACK 21st-29th April

Thankfully I got back on track by mid week with this weeks forecast, after being wide of the mark for the last phase. I wasn’t surprised at how the 22nd turned into a rainy day contradicting my prediction as this was a phase that activated the earlier Scorpio perigee and I was watching closely so see what the impact would be and I did make it clear I couldn’t be sure whether it would pour it down or not as this was a new situation not encountered for the past ten years. It did rain and quite heavily at intermittent intervals, and just when you thought it would stop and go away it started up again till overnight into 23rd…….no sunshine around at all to shout about….even the ducks look miserable at this stage…..

23rd was dry by breakfast, though ground was swimming and puddly, and the temps were cold, but the sun attempted to break through by afternoon and if you managed to catch it, there was some warmth coming through to remind us of better times. This didn’t last long though and soon after the clouds threatened rain which became heavy by 5 30 pm approx perhaps confirming the 90% rule I told you about New Moon and better weather sunrise to sunset…
24th Sunny blue sky start deteriorated into overcast mid day, but dry, ave temps and very sunny by 4pm…..no conditions for the sun soak I was hoping for, but certainly an improvement on miserable days before….
25th -26th These two days brought prolonged rainy spells at times very heavy the forecast for these two days was pretty accurate….thank goodness….by 7pm on 25th the rain was torrential here and some showers on 26th also brought torrents causing flooding to roads locally. Visibility was poor due to rainy conditions and hilltops were obscured by mistiness of precip.
27th Short showery outbreaks in the morning, but the sky was cloudy, not sunny but the sun was trying to breakthrough by mid day and afternoon, giving us some brightness to sing about….and temps were much milder with some warmth trying to breakthrough. There were some brisk and lively breezy conditions around. The seaside resort to be today was St Anne’s which experienced a lovely sunny day.
28th Overcast and very windy by evening, some hail outbreaks mid morning and mid afternoon, temps cool skies clearer by evening a reasonable forecast for today though not exactly ”fine” it was better than previous days 29th Rain rain and rainageddon….can’t wait for warmageddon to arrive………….

A very disappointing forecast and no I didn’t see this level of consistent rain and near flood levels for W Yorks, so apologies for that…..though the clue was in my forecast that a same chart last

year ended the drought spell bringing in rain and I also warned that I wasn’t sure of how the apogee opposite perigee would manifest for this phase…..

Read http://www.amazingweather.wordpress.com for the full season forecast, and Spring season is already posted if you want to plan ahead…Summer is now posted keep coming back to find out

what awaits us in the summer season….go to http://www.starsite.org.uk if you would like to know more about the growth of astrometeorology down the centuries…