Posts Tagged ‘snow’
FEEDBACK Long Range Weather Forecast W Yorks and Yonder 15th-30th March 2012
Feedback 15th-22nd March
Wet and very windy weather burst out across Scotland and NW regons as forecast for this phase..
16th sunshine with cloud, dry day and very breezy by 6pm, static not released till early next day…
17th rainy very early around daybreak? sunnier pm and a t/storm by 5 pm, not a lot of rainfall as mentioned in the forecast.
18th Sunny day, fluffy cloud but cold temps.no rain here, so this forecast perhaps a day out and should have been recorded for 17th instead, though some rain may have arrived to some localities let me know if it was yours?
19th Yes good forecast with gusting breezy becoming windy weather, cold with sun spells, very unsettled
20th Yes a very accurate forecast some gusty windy spurts but some blue sky with cloud around…note the warning of some temps rising….very accurate as it heralded the warmth of the week that did follow and cheered us all up.
21st and 22nd as forecast except no hail outbreaks noted and some haze around 22nd with the sun.
Feedback 22nd-30th March
This was a drought phase, as forecast and at the start we did have some brisk winds, though these didn’t get strong in our region. Strong breezes broke out most evenings, not strong winds!
Here’s what happened, not too far out but not 100% accurate either…
23rd Sunny day with cloud
24th was thick fog sunny later in the day but haziness lingered the same on 25th as forecast, with nippy temps but some fine skies once fogs had cleared.
26thTemps still nippy but lovely skies with sunshine, these first few days brought fogs and frostiness overnight rather than the showers I had forecast…..
27th-29th brought some fine weather with temps rising silghtly earlier than I had forecast for 29th
30th Was cloud at the outset but clearer by mid day with sunshine and better skies for the afternoon but temps were cold out of the sun as all week really, and if you thought wearing summer clothes was the best way to respond to the hysterical reporting of ‘a heatwave’ then you may have ended up with influenza. Remember ”ne’er cast a clout till May is out, ” no matter how sensational the weather headlines may be.
I couldn’t find any tornado outbreak for England for the dates I mentioned there might be one, and am disappointed this year with my forecast for wind levels, in spite of updating the calcs in my data prog..Of course the US had a mass outbreak of tornados around this time and perhaps any mini UK ones didn’t hit the headlines, as usually they are not as intrusive in our country. Sad that so few get reported for our climate when I know we get them often in my region sometimes raging up the street overnight but no one bats an eyelid…..
1st-16th January Weather Forecast W Yorks and Yonder
1-9th January 2012
I expect some fine sunny and dry weather generally and 3-5th will have some refreshing atmospheric conditions prevailing, but there will be some windiness as well with tornado potential for 8th ( not in our region probably to south of us) when southerly flows clash with north westerlies. Some static release either thunder or lightening is also likely for some UK regions from the outset of this phase.
Some unusual daytime seasonal wintry ‘highs’ can offset the more frosty conditions expected. There is potential for precipitation to be snow or sleet for this phase. I’m only 90% confident of this forecast as there are a few conditions that could bring blizzards, and with some of the features present in my maps we have seen floods previously, though not in the West Yorkshire region, and I don’t expect any after the 2nd of January……famous last words perhaps! Generally a quarter Moon phase at this time of year should not arouse severe weather……
However, seismicity is high on 8th and regions vulnerable are E of China Japan regions and N Aus area Timor island area
1st Strong gusty westerlies, temps seasonally moderate with hail, sleet and snow showers around 1-2 am, and again 1-3pm but clearer skies by evening but some sunshine to brighten in between.
2nd Easterly wind flows with muggy conditions and potential for more sleet and hail showers 3-4pm Clouds and mists around by evening, especially in the Aire Valley, but by midnight stargazers should get a good clearer glimpse of the world beyond ours…photographers would also get good midnight scene shots.
3rd Breezy spells with moderate temps and some sunshine with cloud but the air will be refreshing and outdoor pursuits more enjoyable in this kind of atmosphere. Even with winter showers which could be around for some localities further east of ours, not ours I don’t think, the air will feel exhilarating and bracing with these kind of conditions.
4th Strong westerlies continue, sun with cloud but clearer skies late at night.
5th Sleet or localised hail showers to the west of us around mid day, but we seem to remain dry. Cool temps greet us in the morning, but it looks like from today until 10th January they begin to go higher than is seasonally usual bringing in some new records. Westerlies turn southerly which also indicates milder temps for the season.
6th Sunny day, some cloud and nebulous breezes. Any winter showers would arrive between 7-9am and if I’m right we see snow to west and rain to east of us by 1-3pm
7th Southerlies and some fogs and mists around from outset with sun breaking through after sunrise quick icy showers likely 10-11pm, strong easterly outlook and a snow bringer harbinger for intermittent winter showers
8th-Should be some sunshine around with strong southerlies seasonally mod-high temps. Fast windy outbreaks likely, Tornado conditions created as mentioned earlier as southerlies conflict with some icy cold strong N Westerlies that can bring snow blizzards. Very nippy conditions in exposed and shaded areas, warmth from sun in sheltered areas. EQ headline expected on 8th—+/- 1 day.
Read on for 9th….the N Westerlies will be strong and icy from 11th onwards on so wrap up warmly. High winds and blizzards are likely to be prominent features weather wise till 21st January t/out UK regions but our main focus is on W Yorks and yonder……
9th- 16th January
Watch the weather change abruptly after 12th this week……..
A sudden jolt arrives by 12th when very icy lows arrive bringing a sudden change in temperature for our region. N W winds are still active on 12th also but these will blow away unwanted cloud leaving some sun and a fresh atmosphere, icy temp pockets in exposed or shaded regions.
Snow is almost guaranteed for 14th and beyond
Blizzards look likely to affect UK regions disrupting traffic and power lines from 8th-21st January.
9th-12th Overall for these days I do expect sunshine along with some unusually rising seasonal temps around, but these also indicate extra cold frosty nights when we see lovely crisp clear skies, but these combinations can also give birth to some freezing fogs and mists as well….winds as outlined above….
11th Frosty start but some sun during the day after early morning clouds and mist. Frost and potential for snow by 23:15 with southerlies active,
12th The warmth begins to be drawn southwards later today leaving us with breathtaking lows and a turn around from the temperatures on previous days. Freezing fogs can cause travel problems from early morning, clearing around mid day for some sun to come out during the afternoon but cold nippy gusty westerlies keep everyone on their toes.
13th Sun with cloudy start, south easterlies bringing in some mugginess and snow clouds forming. Winter showers likely 5-7am looks like snow or sleet blizzards.
14th Cold temps continue with some hope of sunshine during the day but snow bearing clouds release their load by evening with northerlies around late evening to clear up some of the muggy air.
15th Snow likely to continue till early this morning. Looks gloomy for first part of day, clearing slightly during the afternoon, with betters conditions for late evening, cold temps continue.
16th Winter showers around from 6-7 am, and 2-3pm with some sun attempts in between, but still some muggy air around leading to a slight rise in temps on previous days……. 5-6pm brings in a better outlook.
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FEEDBACK 2nd-10th Dec W Yorkshire and Yonder
The general description for arctic conditions came in at the outset, though weren’t as severe as last year, but icy nontheless overnight for first couple of nights.
The blizzards for Scotland I didn’t look at and the winds generally for this phase, back in July, due to lack of time, though of course Scotland was hit badly as was the north of England and Ireland with hurricane winds swirling anti clockwise around Scotland’s arena on the globe.
2nd We had early frost, sunny day followed with some spray attemps by 1 15pm cloudy later a little breezy
3rd Frost very early soon disappearing, sunny am very windy and pouring it down by 3pm then again at 10pm the rain came again filling up low levels on lakes. Very windy today.
4th Intermittent rain, heavy at times as expected, drier outlook by 3pm SNOW by 8pm only a light and patchy covering but snow as forecast..90% accurate forecast..I expected a heavier snowfall…but the snow forecast was bang on the target.
5th Light coverings still on ground, more flakey outbreaks failed aroun 9am sunny with icy temps and no breeze at all. More snow 12pm with breezes kicking up but gone again by eveing when it was drizzly. This was a very icy cold day today so a good outcome temp wise.
6th Sunny start with icy patches on paths and roads, very slippery then icy showers from 4-5 pm and again 10-11 pm when the winds revved up again.
7th 5am brought in some nasty rain conditions that proved very noisy, winds still strong and blustery overnight , dry am but very wet ground, hailstorm 3 45 pm with strong winds accompanying to form a min blizzard that caught me outside, and this continues overnight again….
8th Winds still strong 165 to Scotland overnight and 55mph to some parts of Yorkshire and yonder, very fast and noisy here intermittent rain and sleet showers t/out continuing overnight into 9th
9th Some sun around after break of day but rain hail and sleet arriving 10 am approx, snow outbreak by 11 55 till 11 05, with winds intermittently strong but not 55mph.
Read http://amazingweather.wordpress.com for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for AUTUMN 2011 or go to
https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting
visit http://www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html for more discussion astro meteorology and access FREE lessons in weather forecasting and lots of free book downloads
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Feedback 18th Nov-25th Nov W Yorks and yonder…
The overall July write up for this phase, less icy than expected and less precipiation than expected also, but I was 85-90% accurate overall, with floods affecting the River Nith in Galloway on 18th and road warnings galore for that region of Dumfries reported by Sally traffic on BBC radio 2……the sunshine I forecast also came through thank goodness after all those mists and mizzles that looked like staying around forever…..I expect these to return in February though so don’t expect to see the last of these for W Yorks and yonder. Happily one TV company abided by my advice to be warned that 21st Nov might not be a good time to film at night when looking for the north star, and made alternative arrangments instead….well done!
The worst of the weather for us on 20th was fog, then thicker fog by afternoon just when we thought it would clear off from our roads as it did on Saturday…herrumph…..pea soup looks set to return in spite of ”scientists” saying if we get rid of industrial pollution we’ll have no thick fog …HUMmmmm
The flash floods were out in Sicily but I’m still awaiting forecast results for today and tomorrow to find out how accurate this part of my forecast was…..the severe gales are already raging in N Ireland and Scotland. The snow doesn’t seem to have arrived yet, but it is cold enough, and in Scotland it was expected for the end of this week….Netweather forecast wintry showers for this end of the week as well…..we can only await the outcome for tomorrow…..
The earthquake I saw looks like the 6.2 in Hokkaido Japan, but Fiji had a 5.1 today 24th as well, I expect another one to hit the headlines throughout today 24th Nov……haven’t time to spend locating these and doing weather sadly………it takes time to time events using astrology and millions of threads of astronomical and mathematical data, as I’m not looking into a crystal ball….
Here’s the local W Yorks and Yonder outcome
18th We got spray halfway along my street at 9 30 am approx but dry beyond that little micro rainfall….you just can’t get the weather to fall properly nowadays, like leaves on railway tracks and snow the wrong design, rain comes and goes regardless….a weak sun broke through the mists eventually and we were mainly dry
19th Misty am again the sun broke through by mid day I registered only 55F on a much cooler day today
20th Thick fog all day long with early drizzly spells and again by 2 30 pm and late evening as well, with temps less icy than yesterday so yes less severe as forecast, but I forecast icier temps to start with!
21st The drizzle continued into morning leaving a foggy start until late morning some drizzle and mizzle around again 9 am
22nd Mizzle at start and fog again, dry day to follow with sun out in the afternoon, the strong winds arrived for Scotland and N Ireland today bringing more rain for those regions…failed to find any flood news for today so my forecast was wrong for floods to arrive today….but I did warn for over following days so lets see what arrives ….
23rd weather disrupted travel for Carnac NW Scotland, disrupting seagoing vessels especially…here it wasa dry day after a cloudy start and no breeze to mention….The snow expected for North Scotland
24th More warnings of travel disruption coming in for Scotland, at Stornaway, Bute and surroundings ares…and this will move down as the day progresses, in W Yorks we are dry, some sunshine and clouds around…….breezes getting sporadically livelier as ay wears on……sadly I have to post this before getting more weather restuls to coonfirm accuracy for the weather outcome to get worse by tomorrow bringing in the flood reports…A wind alert is out over the Highlands and Eilean Siar for today moving around to the Orkneys later and these areas are on flood alert: Argyll and Bute, Caithness and Sutherland, Orkney , Shetland Skye and Lochaber, Wester Ross, Western Isles .
25th As I’m posting this on 24th to try catch up with all my weather work for winter season, I can’t post the oucome for today but have looked up whether floods are on alert and got only a negative on this forecast………this was on the environment agencies website on 24th however….
http://www.environmentagency.gov.uk/homeandleisure/floods/3days/125305.aspx ”The overall coastal flood risk is LOW for Norfolk tomorrow (Fri 25 November) as a large surge is expected on the East coast of England, with a risk of some localised property flooding for some coastal communities. Elsewhere the flood risk remains VERY LOW for the next 3 days. ”
2nd-10th November
Weather system hitting N and W Scotland from first two days of this phase and we can expect unsettled weather with heavy precipitation at times along with
thundery outbreaks for some regions….again! Might be wrong….
2nd as above
3rd Intermittent sudden showers potential for snow for exposed places, but we get some sunshine along with icy pockets
4th Misty or cloudy start clearing later in the day still very cold with risk of winter showers
5th Seasonal lows arriving, intermittent showery periods
6th Very heavy precipitation expected, icy cold, late at night winter showers arriving…
7th Mists mizzle and drizzle travels eastwards, cloudy day
8th-10th Strong risk of very heavy downpours, thunderstorms for some localities with a system moving around UK from 8th, extremely icy conditions and winter showers could bring snow for us by 9th. I expect headline making weather for this event, could be SE winds bringing in snow blizzards and other nasty weather conditions that creates problems….
Read http://amazingweather.wordpress.com for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for AUTUMN 2011 or go to https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting
visit www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html for more discussion astro meteorology and access FREE lessons in weather forecasting and lots of free book downloads with much more..
Weather Forecast W Yorks and Beyond 20th-26th October
Weather Forecast W Yorks and Beyond 20th-26th October
Some fine outdoor weather, cool but windy with more destructive outbreaks expected for 24-25th onwards so take care if on high ground, near trees or driving across high areas. Any rain attempts will be sudden often spartan in nature ad not long lasting with skies clearing soon afterwards..This phase heralds with a ‘supermoon’ or perigean spring tide moon on 26th …..so expect some coastal areas to be exposed to rough weather, there
20th Temps seasonally warm, quick spartan showery attempts 12-3pm sun with cloud strong S Westerlies and some rain potential late at night.
21st Sun with cloud around mod to brisk lively westerlies.
22nd Still Breezy, sun with cloud today
23rd Cool but clearer skies, some cloud and variable winds continue
24th Rain early from outset of day, speedy NW winds, clear clouds away during the day
25th Sunny day, cool but strong if not violent winds NW and record breaking around this date…
26th Some static outbursts from midnight to early morning, these accompany seasonal warming with likelihood of heavy levels falling. Winds look set to continue but be less volatile. Outlook is stormy, clearing as day grows older when the system moves to the far east of UK Not a nice day….Potential for snow cloud formation but also some extreme temps recorded for today…. weird weather outlook!
With this spring tide New moon in Scorpio you do need to check local weather forecasts if you are going sailing or potholing or caving as underground caverns, boggy areas, drains and sewage locations and deep watering holes are also sensitive to this moon’s pull on the atmophere. Yes, the moon really does have a pull on tides…..
Read http://amazingweather.wordpress.com for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for AUTUMN 2011 or go to https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting
visit … www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html for more discussion astro meteorology and access FREE lessons in weather forecasting and lots of free book downloads with much more..
Forecast 12th-20th October W Yorks and Beyond Forecast
12th-20th October
Cool and breezy phase with some freaky windy weather extremes hitting the headlines, Durham and NW looks vulnerable to this system and headlines could come in from those regions as well as SE.
W Yorks singled out to be battered by strong winds and we could see some wind damage here and overturned vehicles as well. Try not to plan a journey across exposed regions at this stage….Heavy showers expected but weather more settled to second half of this phase..
12th Potential for showery outbreaks 10-11 am less cloudy later in the morning with some hope for sunshine during the day with better skies by night time though some mists/fog in low lying places late evening. Temps seasonally cool but clouds keep conditions muggy
13th Rain around sunrise, intermittent showery weather, heavy but refreshing, temps variable with rain cooling things down but some sun spells bring warmth by mid day and beyond. Winds could begin to rev up today becoming gusty if not violent and destructive….north westerly…over next few days…
14th Fluctuating temps again, with cold from wind and rain passing over UK regions west to east reaching our region from beginning and end of day but some clearer skies possible 10 am – 5pm but we’re likely to be watching some freaky windy weather unfold today and tomorrow. Seismic conditions are also high over the coming days to 23rd…
15th Sun with cloud cool temps but clearer skies, sudden showery outbreaks 5-7pm Lovely overnight clear skies.
16-17th Clearer outlook southerlies bring in more moderate temps, sun with cloud, and risk of sudden showers late afternoon and evening could even be quick thundery outbursts by 17th when northerlies attempt to purge the bad weather.
18th Clearer skies, spartan outbreak attempts early morning 18th but sunny by afternoon, later afternoon outbreak spartan, on 19th. Temps rising moderately
20th Could be showery….read on to see next blog….
You can read the following online account of how well my weeklyweather forecast from 4th-8th Oct fared in a test of skill between myself, leading met John Kettley the Met Offfice AND……a penguin and a baby……yes really a penguin and a baby…………..http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/features/3862336/You-better-ask-a-baby-about-weather.html here….
Read http://amazingweather.wordpress.com for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for AUTUMN 2011 or go to https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting
visit … www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html for more discussion astro meteorology and access FREE lessons in weather forecasting and lots of free book downloads with much more..
I would like to add at this point that many people have said the weather varies in their locality to my forecast. This is because we have micro climates and while it can be sunny outside your window you will often find in our region that it rained at the end of the street. You would be overwhelmed if all outbursts wee reported in a forecast, but be assured the generally trend should prevail over the phase forecast for W Yorks and beyond
Feedback 4th-12th October West Yorks and Beyond
FEEDBACK 4th-12th October
4th Tuesday Rain had moved to far east regions today leaving us still cloudy but bright, breezes turning to very strong windy weather by 2 30pm, seasonally moderate but cool temps by evening, with conditions for thunder reported from Staffordshire region from 3rd and northern parts of Scotland for today.
5th Wednesday Very strong winds, sunshine with cloud spells, sudden spartan showery condtions from 7-7:30pm onwards
6th Thursday Showery conditions from last night continue for short intervals throughout the day, heavy at times, sun with cloudy spells with scattered showers across the region keeping temps cool. Fast icy hail outbreak around 4 pm.
7th Friday scattered showers continue across the region till around 6-6:30 am fizzling out to very spartan leaving us with longer sunny intervals today, light cloud and still very windy.
8th Saturday No sun at all, just rain bearing clouds and intermittent drizzle throughout the day, along with nebulous breezes, rain continues into evening but no thundery outbreak in immediate locality, temps seasonally moderate
9th Overcast day again with sun a temps around 4pm but only fleeting. S W winds around, drier day than yesterday.
10th Blustery winds drizzly mizzly day ground wet and cloudy day. Strong overnight winds 12 am onwards into 11th
11th Blustery strong winds from 1am, calmer as day wore on, to breezy by mid day, ground still wet and muggy mizzly drizzly rainy outbursts during morning, settling to drier weather for afternoon with breeziness prevailing. Mistiness down in valleys and near canals rivers during morning to mid day…as forecast in my predictions…good forecast for today
You can read the following online account of how well part my weeklyweather forecast fared in a test of skill between myself, leading met John Kettley the Met Offfice AND……a penguin and a baby……yes really a penguin and a baby………….. http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/features/3862336/You-better-ask-a-baby-about-weather.html
Read http://amazingweather.wordpress.com for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for AUTUMN 2011 or go to https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting visit … http://www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html for more discussion astro meteorology and access FREE lessons in weather forecasting and lots of free book downloads with much more..