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SPRING 2016 West Yorks and Yonder

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Spring on Screes

Astro meteorology has been around for a couple of millennia and hasn’t brought any harm to the planet. Astro mets use tried and tested and highly honed techniques, along with fantastic insights from George McCormack who used Pearce, Goad and other brilliant astro mets, to add to Kepler and ancient mariner laws of celestial-terrestrial converging , to give long range forecasts of a meteorological nature.

We use satellite technology that has been around since time began and you can be very assured that long range astro meteorological forecasting doesn’t harm the planet at all.

WindermereOrrest

Spring: West Yorks and Yonder 2016

The best outlook arrives 14th April when we see some nice spring days, but this is followed by an Arctic all time low to freeze any bedding plants, noses and toes, so beware the sudden seasonal turnaround.I don’t see any prolonged spells of great weather for May and June, and the floods seem likely to return at the run up to Summer solstice, but hopefully I might be wrong….

Spring is on time this year, but it may feel weathergeddon has broken out as very unsettled conditions continue.
There is a meteorological hit, and potentially man made disaster around the Orkney Islands, from the start of the equinox, sometimes this has been either military or law enforcement incident, and pollution around those parts, could be another drill explosion or sperm whale/ drillkill from the start of the season.

 

Buttermere2014

20th-23rd March

The Western areas gather warmth but this creates moisture as well, with eastern parts of GB meeting precipitation created by it over the coming days.
Flooding to some regions expected due to heavy levels of rainy outbursts, my forecast is for these to travel south easterly from NW Scotland moving SE to northern England and southwards, to eastern parts. I don’t see floods to Cumbria from this weather outburst for this phase, though already saturated areas wont be exempt from the assault. North Yorks and Northumberland more prone to flood news and Derry region of Ireland seems to get some bad weather too for this phase.

20th Very unsettled with sporadic strong gusty winds mists, fogs and mizzles from around sunrise, could be some sun attempts during the day but varying weather patterns move faster over next few days from NW to SE

21st Pluvial conditions with highs levels of mist, fogs and mizzles expected to linger, heavy rain from the start of the day and not much sun around as clouds linger to obscure it and mists and fogs in valleys cling to watery places. The evening is a better bet for slightly clearer skies, but no promises as this weather remains unsettled.

22nd Rainy outbursts come in with warm air from the west, heavy at the start of day, news of very strong winds. Flooding to already saturated areas

 

Langdale201523rd-31st March

The Full Moon phase is normally the time of month when we get bad weather being moved away for a few days but this is and equatorial Full Moon and might operate slightly differently to herald some disturbed atmospherics as Spring birthing pains continue.

Some high tides may create sea disturbance to West of Ireland there is also high seismicity operative.

I see clearer skies but cold to eastern parts but some windy outbursts.

From the outset the damp air can create mould conditions for those gardeners with seeds or young plants growing.

An ancient meteorologist Junctinius tells us, when the eclipse is in an air sign there is scarcity, pestilence and tempests….so beware all you gardeners!

23rd Sporadic spurts often gusty in nature and westerly. A wet start but weather systems moving quickly along so will be an all weather day today though some breaks in the cloud will allow the sun to peek through now and again to say hello.. Expect gentle breezes to low lying areas but colder stronger winds to slightly higher altitudes. By evening some cold and gloomy conditions could hang around along with fogs and mists
24th Strong gusty westerlies today and winds could scatter some showers around a finer outlook by evening and clearer skies but this herald’s frost and strong ozone. Sleet and hail outbreaks 6-9 pm, localised, will leave likelihood of overnight frosts.
25th Some hope for warmer temps after a nippy start to the day, so some ice will begin to thaw. Finer outlook till mid day with mid afternoon showery outbursts mid afternoon, more prevalent to the north. Cloud around overnight.

26th High humidity with mists and cloud around but this is marked down as a nice Spring day on my calendar.
27th Cool frosty start again and another day like yesterday.
28th-30th Fair afternoon and evenings but mists to low lying areas and cloud forming later by evening so unsettled, but mostly dry.
30th Fair weather to the north lower temps expected but some showery outbursts likely from mid afternoon
31st This looks very exciting and wild and windy with strong gales at high speed along corridors to the NW/Scotland to keep everyone engaged with the weather dramas.

 

Wharfefloods2015

31st March-7th April

Gales at high speed across high transport routes will create traffic disruptions for a few days, air traffic and bridges affected too to NW/Scotland. Communication systems will also be affected along with electricity routes. Stormy conditions to northern parts.
Spring temps higher to the eastern regions.

31st. As previous, it looks dry for W Yorks but very very blustery, though there will be some warmth from sunshine letting us know Spring is here.
1st-4th Wont see settled weather but will have some dry days with occasionally gusty winds and breezes. Temps average for Spring though some cool crisp outlook for 2nd, fairer conditions stay in North England
4th Some potential for rainy outbreaks later in the day along with whippy westerlies. Some pollution expected to N Eastern areas.
5th-7th Very unsettled outlook, low temps, cloud around but also some accompanying fair spring weather in the mix

 

stormoverDerwentlakeside7th-14th April

The New Moon on 7th is perigee and closest of the year, and with Moon equatorial we normally would expect some entertaining weather dramas, but this being April it looks less like fireworks and more like damp squib.

From Hebrides to Spain via the Irish Sea looks like having mists and mellow fruitfulness, and more cloud developing as well as sea frets.

Some sea turbulence to sea far South West of Ireland for a few days, and some of it could hit NW Scotland but it is seafarers that need to take heed and listen to shipping forecasts.

7th Shows gentle breezes and spring like conditions.
8th Some mists or showers around mid morning but also some fine spring weather as Venus heads northward in declination, promising a Spring to put winter behind us.
9th Cool crisp with some blue skies to enjoy
10th Northern weather may change a little now, mists around, milder temps and some occasional gusty breezes. Any showers arrive from 4pm.
11th similar to yesterday
12th -13th Temps rising seasonally higher sun with cloud and mist potential, northerlies active, but there may also be some very heavy showery outbreaks too as heavens flood gates open, this seems more heavy to southern areas such Somerset regions, but Wales may also see some tidal surge too.
14th Mists and mizzles with northerlies trying to clear up worst of the weather.

 

grazingandlazycow14th-22nd April

This phase looks pleasantly spring like with some good outdoor weather to enjoy.
The Mid Atlantic looks choppy from the start and sea NW of Scotland seems rough with some precipitation travelling into north parts but doesn’t seems strong enough to reach further than North of England by 16th A second weather system to reach NW Scotland arrives a little more turbulence, but with not enough strength to travel further SE into England.

London is hit by mists and fogs that could disrupt air travel from 14th with a fine outlook ahead of that to the east.

14th The start of day could see mists to valleys but eventually brings a fine Spring outlook with blue skies and white fluffy clouds although some strong blustery winds and breezes could interrupt at sporadic intervals.
15th Continues yesterday’s trend with some cooling off by late evening after some warmth during the day
16th Some showery release potentially just April showers, localised hail but clearing after mid day

17th sun with cloud during the day, generally fair outlook
18th Fair outlook again but the winds could get more lively turning gusty over next few days
19th-22nd are likely to bring better temps to the south England with seasonal rise in warmth, gusty conditions but for us a continuing trend of fair Spring weather with warmth.
 

EastbankUllswater22nd April-30th April

This phase sees a direct contrast to the pleasant days previously enjoyed. Winter returns with a vengeance to assault Spring and we can expect Arctic lows fetching a big freeze to your nose and toes. You will experience sudden deep steep drops in temps so don’t take bright sunshine for granted. Highly likely that overnight gives clear skies but that means that little warmth is allowed to develop.

22nd Cold and penetrating some damp, drizzle and mizzle along with hail sleet and snow sporadic outbursts, the latter to high regions the former to low lying valleys. Gusty westerlies provide extra cutting chill and can be quite lashing at times.

23rd Frosty overnight and icy with more intermittent sporadic and localised varying wintery showery outbursts to mid morning Exceedingly cold to NW and high places.
24th Breathtakingly cold an intense cold front reigns and higher precipitation will hit the south of England with magnetic disturbances interfering with some comms.
25th -27th continues cold and frosty along with icy cold breezes. From today some rivers may be flooding and western regions look likely to be swamped on flood plains. Mists hover around watering places in lowlands while freezing fogs will arrive to high areas.

28th A tiny bit milder weather outlook takes the edge off the breathtaking chilly factor; clouds and mists but some sunshine might break through if we get lucky!….
29th Frosts less widespread, some thawing out and mists hide sunshine and easterlies keep it still a little bit gloomy.

30th Milder temps, less harsh and some sunshine around but could see some showery outbursts by evening

 

Broody Wastwater

30th April-6th May
Rain forms out to sea NW coast of Scotland, clearly we need a rain carrier out there to catch it before it arrives….
Normally systems like this take two days to come inland so precipitation for NW Scotland travelling SE over two days, but I think it stays north of W Yorks and yonder.
Temps move towards less intense and thawing begins as moderating influences grow stronger towards the end of this phase.

30th as above with some mists or fogs around lingering over valleys with sun finding it hard to move them along.

1st Cloud around, hazes and mists with atmospherics disturbed for the next few days at high altitudes to the north so mountaineering radio addicts beware….your frequencies may freeze up!

2nd Rain arrives to Scotland’s shores as mentioned earlier. West Yorks get milder temps moving over but it still feels a bit muggy, so can’t see how good the day will turn out however…it wont be as bad as last week!
3rd HURRAH. Nice day, but some showery potential later in the afternoon or evening depending upon where you live for example Lancashire folk get these systems a few hours before we do………..
4th-6th The weather moves along slowly now, some sunshine and haziness and cloud around but temps improve all the time.
6th Some wild funnels of high speed corridors of wind could create wind funnels or mini tornadoes to W Midlands and lower SW belts. News of avalanches expected as thawing completes the phase.

 

blueskiesDerwent6th May- 13th May

I think for W Yorks this could be a dry phase with little rain to spoil play. For places yonder some drama could roll out in the form of static outbursts, thunder, lightening or both from 7th-9th as temperatures rise.

6th As above, fairer to S Eng, with mists clouds or mizzles drizzles to north around 4pm. A dry sunny outlook for W Yorks till evening
7th Looks like another spring day to enjoy with any rain coming overnight, some migrating static outbursts circulating generally yonder to W Yorks
8th Static again to South and north but any precipitation is soon forgotten as seasonal temps rise with likelihood of a fine day to come. The NW looks the worst hit early morning, it may try pour some remaining rain here, but the outlook is for a seasonally warm Spring day for W Yorks
9th Temps peaking, calm misty start, sultry weather in warmth
10th Looks like a serene day with blue skies and little clouds and sun shining down….nice day
11th Some cloud around but still nearly as good as yesterday. Before mid night would be time when any rain might spoil play, could just be more clouds forming
12th -13th Only mists spoil these days with sun and haziness likely, breezy southerlies active. Temps adjust to lower slightly.
orrestview13th-21st May

A rather drill tour of weather for this phase with temps lowering from the highs of previous days reaching quite damp and chilly for the last part as precipitation cools the air, and by 20th singled out for coolest of the phase.
The second half changes in more unsettled conditions with precipitation upsetting some regions, more to the Northern parts.

13th-15th starts with some likelihood of static and mists from 13th, but sunshine likely during the daytime. 14th brings in some southerly breezes and moderate temps prevail, some sunshine during the day and same on 15th which looks fairer with warmth from the sun.

16th could bring short sharp showery unsettled weather forming, evening most likely time for some quick showery outbursts for W Yorks, as well as at the start of the day. Some sunshine will be around during the day and this trend continues into 17th
18th more showery intervals but these are continuing sporadic and may miss some localities. I expect some record rainfall to some far north western areas from Scotland down to Cumbria. These are isolated micros. We could see some of these waft over in the afternoon–heavy to some localities.
19th The weather begins to see lower range of temps and generally fair for us but interrupted by some intermittent outbursts of widely scattered precipitation for some areas.
20th Mists and cloud with cooler range of temps making things a little chilly and damp. Unsettled weather, misty or cloudy around sunrise with some sunshine later in the morning. Very heavy showers expected for the NW regions for the afternoon, some residue here but clearing late evening.
21st Hopefully today sees off the gloomier stuff but it does augur cool spring temps, but some better weather outdoors breaking out.
 

beforeitislostforever21st-29th May

This phase is very difficult to report due to so many conflicting weather patterns and foul battling fair with few seeming to win out ultimately.
Static outbursts migrates fetching threats of thunder and lightening but rain may or not follow depending on your terrain and location. For sure lower valleys and river clearly show stress by the end of the phase with the potential for high levels of rivers bursting banks and low lying roads under water.
Northerlies operate the first few days trying to settle the weather affair and see off precipitation.

No guarantees for this forecast due to complex and conflicting systems operating.

Basically 21st- 24th brings the fairer outlook but sunshine and warmth can soon disappear and sudden outbursts may threaten the day. 22nd seems to be dry and temps pleasantly rising, this creates more static and humidity, but winds get stirred and some lightening or thundery outbreaks in some regions, may or not bring rain. My bet is on dry for us in W Yorks. 23rd looks a little cloudy perhaps even gloomy but the skies should clear overnight. 24th seems slightly milder with some warmth from the sun after mid day

25th South westerly mix fetches threat of mists, mizzles and some muggy conditions with showery outbursts likely late afternoon. Winds more westerly and gusty later in the day and into following day
26th Seems like a dry day for us rumbles of thunder to distance, along with lightening potential but the NW regions are on the receiving end of the real outpouring
27th a little turbulent; some mists and clouds but a warming factor around to create hope of better things to come, the sun could shine through in stages.
28th Seems like a dry day for us but certainly some precipitation is threatening to head our way and could arrive by evening and continue into the next day turning quite heavy especially to NE Scotland down into Cumbria and southwards, leaving rivers bursting banks and roads in valleys a little bit wet. Buy a canoe!

It’s great to be wrong with a forecast such as this turning into wonderfully dry weather…..but I don’t think that will happen yet…..but hey Mars is perigee now and usually brings in highs….read on….

 

cold sunny29th May-5th June

With Mars now perigee on 30th we normally encounter drought and parching temps so during this phase we will encounter some rising temps drawn up from the South gradually as the phase unfolds.
The South Eng gets the higher ranges from 29th and these gradually move northwards over the coming days.
There are some wonderful features for W Yorks for this phase, much needed after the turbulence rocking around last week. Drought seems more likely for longitudes 2 degrees west of us and places around Auchterarder, Edin and Salcombe Glasgow/Dumfries seem likely to enjoy better, drier weather and higher temps…lucky you!

29th Wet outpourings continue, as before, with rivers at high levels. Around 4pm more rain likely to W Yorks after a cloudy day with some sun around.. Mod temps for the season.

30th Cloudy with sunshine but misty to watery places in valleys, mists and hazes develop evening and early morning as temps rise.

31st–4th looks very fine indeed with some pleasant warmth from the sun, but also some high humidity as residual precipitation dries out. Warmth drawing further northwards from southern regions over these days, as a slow moving weather continues to prevail.

4th Expect some heavy rain arriving for us during the evening after a fair warm sunny day with some cloud around. This will be heavy rainfall continuing into the 5th.

5th a fairer outlook only after mid day….sorry….new rainfall levels established for some western parts for this time of year….

 

Prettiest Viallge in Yorkshire Dales

Prettiest Village in Yorkshire Dales

5th-12th June

Sadly it looks like the return to similar weather at the Winter solstice run up, with floodageddon all over again.
Hopefully I am SOOOOoooooo wrong, but I don’t think I am…………….
Lowlands/valleys and river ways, misty and hazy during the daytime and fogs developing at night time.

Flash floods keep on coming and if you are in an area outside of NW and SE Scotland and Eng then you might escape the worst of the very wet weather. Flash floods to Western parts at the beginning, move to NE parts see 10-12th

5th as before with heavy precipitation moving around the UK migrating up through northern England into Scotland by 6th W Yorks sees some better weather after rain subsides by evening.

6th Temps reach seasonal highs, but there is a lot of humidity around. Mists may hide sun till mid day.

7th Looks like a better bet weather wise with some sunshine and warmth
8th turn of the day sees heavy rain again but by breakfast onwards sunshine with cloud around, but muggy
9th Sunshine and cloud, south easterlies keep it a bit gloomy but some gusty spurts of westerlies move it along.
10th-12th Looks reasonable for W Yorks but flash flooding to NE Scotland/ England North Yorks too keeps things sombre
12th turns into a nice Spring day…aha if only summer were here…..don’t worry it is coming…..

 

My Favourite Place Friar's Crag Walk

My Favourite Place Friar’s Crag Walk

12th-20th June

I expect more flash floods due to heavy waterlogged areas continuing to get heavy flash downpours NE Scotland/England Northern Yorkshire, Cumbria and Wales from the outset. rivers overflowing and flooding roads and routes in valleys flooded too….all good fun if you are wearing wellies, but not if your home is flooded again, so a great time to book a helping hol with those who are worn out with water…..

Some strong winds along narrow corridors and in high places with likelihood of wind funnels and I expect some tornado to West Midland region around 18th.

For W Yorks and Yonder the 13th June is wet for us around sunrise but for days after it will be very windy with gusty westerlies operative and W Yorks moves towards the solstice on 20th with better drier weather but Summer is coming in on a boat, just like the Egyptian Rah, so expect more stormy waves as the sun rises above the equator….what will summer bring I wonder……

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Written by tricia astro meteorologist

February 9, 2016 at 1:59 pm

WINTER WEATHER W YORKS N YONDER 2016

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astrometeorologyWinter 2016

The lookout at this stage of the year end of 2015, time of finalising the forecast, doesn’t look good for the NW and Cumbrian regions where mists, very high humidity and floods may still be causing a damp and chilly surround.

The year starts Wet Wet Wet and looks set to continue the trend along with auguring some lower temps for the rest of the year to
come………camping may become a thing of the past…..for few years at least.

16th-24th Jan is a very eventful phase with headlines of EQ, pollution and mud/land/snow slides. Beginning of February is a bit challenging, but 10th Feb is great for outdoor pursuits.

22nd Feb-1st March look more settled with the planet Jupiter warding off any nasties out in the Mid Atlantic.

9th March onwards is a phase to watch for due to a return to conditions seen 3rd Dec onwards when weather wars broke out fostering many floods. While circa 6th March is very EQ sensitive.

This reminds me of old interpretations of ancient books that morphed into ”and prehistoric man worshipped their gods” …..errr……..of course enlightened people without prejudice or hidden agendas know the correct translation is ”they studied the planets. ”Astro mets use the ancient science of satellite technology to produce their forecasts long range, as done since Paleolithic times on antler bone, and highly honed in Sumerian and Babylonian times, then by Kepler and subsequently by intelligent long range forecasters such as McCormack and Pearce.

 

sundialkerbrennan2nd-9th Jan

The final throes of 2015 will have seen roads with the usual rivulets forming in dips, drains and culverts yet again belching under the strain, and brolly and raincoat sales rising.

The first half of this phase has some strong but variable winds around but also mists and mizzles to add to the mix.

2nd Sees temps trying to get milder but breeziness offers wind chills. Mists and mizzles around with fogs, thicker mists to the west of the region, cloud around once the mists clear away
Mid morning seems to be slightly clearer but some showery outbursts arrive by 4pm into evening with sudden winter showers, sleet and hail. Mists may turn foggy if you are travelling beware. This trend continues into early 3rd

3rd-5th brings in some spurts of whipping gusts and more lusty showery outbursts into the evening with a gloominess beginning to roll into cloudier skies. Sporadic Gustiness increases on 4th and it is the 6th when this dies down. The north is much cloudier than the south of England and some stormy turbulence likely for northern UK over next few days.

6th-7th is less unsettled though some breeziness prevails. Showers follow early mistiness, mid day on 6th, temps seasonally mild leading to gloomy outlook on 7th and sudden lowering of temps high in atmosphere for frost even snow on very high ground, some sloughing downhill into valleys.
8th-9th clearer skies around 2am on 8th wont prevail, giving way to some easterly flows after mid day, bring in chilly damp conditions promising winter showers of rain turning to sleet and snow, very heavy to far west and north and in Dales, and on high ground such as Pennines so take care on the roads, snow will also expected in W Yorks.

 

winterscenes astrometeorology10th-16th January

10th could see strong winds off W Ireland coastline but these are travelling westwards, and on 14-16th Jan this system is also operative.
Snow could still be covering some ground around W Yorks and yonder from the outset, but with temps getting colder it can turn frosty and icy as the days march onwards.
Some variable conditions but it does look like we get a few good days 15-16th while a storm is brewing out to sea.

10th Mists/mizzles clear by 8am onwards, some blue skies with cloud developing in mid pm, but remaining fair into the evening with any rain arriving to NW regions around 10pm, travelling east.

11th Similar to 10th though some precipitation potential mid morning, breezes wafting residue showers around, cloudier by mid pm, flurries expected as clouds that bring them form.

12th Sporadic hail and sleet from midnight intermittent into early morning, cooling temps and flurries on high ground keeping things cool, more sporadic outbursts/flurries during evening towards late at night. Rainier to NW regions from around 10pm. Winds stronger on high ground.

13th Clouds/ mists in valleys to start the day, which turns duller by mid morning with potential mizzles mid-day. Snow on high ground could drift down on wind but overnight looks clearer for better overnight conditions.

14th Any precipitation seems easterly of our region, some ghoulish winds haunt chimneys and alleyways, cloudy but fair day expected generally.

15th Storm breeding will be headlining today for areas out to sea. Inland looks gloomy with short sharp cutting showery outbursts from 1am onwards. Today and tomorrow should see some finer weather to enjoy with gradually clearer skies and undecided but strong northerlies trying to see off some of the gloomier weather.

16th May bring some sporadic intermittent fast and furious showers, mingling with winds, with frost to high ground early morning, and possibly lingering during the day, along with cooling temps and mists to valleys overnight as cloud grows thicker. Expect colder winter temps from now on.

 

frosty

16th-24th January

There are three major events for this phase. One is land/snow slides, the other is seismic affecting our region but also longitude from Brighton through Grimsby and northwards, 20th-22nd, my money is on 22nd, and the other is air and land pollution from the onset arising from widely fluctuating weather extremes and drilling activities–gas and deep cavernous rock minerals are likely to be actively triggered causing hazardous events.

Communication lines will also be at risk as well as transport routes where ice, blizzards and harsh weather breaks out.

Landslides expected to Komi, ASSR, Russian federation area 17th-19th, some seismicity affecting the area too.

Air pollution coming in from the east is highly likely to impact on health in W Yorks region.

16th As above some westerly battles with gloomy easterlies. Clear cool and crisp outlook.

17th Snow flurries likely around 6-8 am, mid day and evening; winter showers heavy to NW with rain sleet or snow in the mix, and travelling our way possibly overnight into 18th. NW Scotland could be seeing unsettled weather for seagoing.

18th A mixed bag will create problems with milder low lying currents overlaid with colder higher air strata, so in valleys expect milder temps but on high you will feel the cold coming in, and frostiness. This is a combination of freeze and thaw meeting and sudden thawing to soil can create slide hazards, snow or mudslides on mountains and moors, Pennines and cliffs. It all depends on altitude of regions affected.
Conditions established today also affect gases and other minerals underground.

18th into 19th Erratic winds NE and SE circulate with routes affect by blizzards and either rapidly thawing or rapidly freezing surfaces. Communication and power lines in Eastern areas can also be affected as blizzards begin to take hold.

20th Is very icy with blizzards continuing on high routes and to the north UK affecting comms mostly and exposed transport routes, but some sunshine may break through the mix up, the sun laughing at earthling folly! Ozone rich atmosphere operative today.

21st, Mists mizzles and gloominess freezing fogs at start of day, with spurts of icy hail and winds driving in sleet and sporadic winter outbursts till after midnight tonight. Today sees temps dropping low brining an icy cold day.

22nd Is when I expect seismic offerings so will be tracking where the EQ affects UK landmasses. Air and land pollution high today, so take care when out and about. Heavy winter showers expected to fall across mainland UK take care if travelling or check your air or train availability due to disruption over past few days.

23rd Freezing mists and fogs in high places, but less wind and more settled outlook ahead, with temps levelling out from icy, icy temps. Some clearer skies to help us feel less assaulted by weather dramas.

Bowness Gala 201424th Jan – 1st Feb

Very cold, frosty time ahead, some icing on exposed watery places, but temps will get milder as this phase progresses. Some dry days with sunshine around, clearer evening skies keeping things cool, unless otherwise forecast.

Likely days for winter showers are 25th around 6-8pm when showers with sleet and snow and hail can race around. 28th sees a fair start with snow flurries around mid afternoon but 31st looks like being the worst day for rain stopping play but this looks like happening late evening around 9-11pm, and could continue into early next day.

Winds more settled, less blustery till 27th when they get gusty but a good day for drying out anything that got drenched.
EQ aftershocks may reverberate around S E seaboard US 25th or 30th Jan likely dates. The butterfly effect, cause damage in one part of the globe and see it affect another part………………………..

Mists, high humidity and cold damp air, though less cold by 30th when southerlies bring in some promise of more weather battles to come.

31st seems to potentially bring in more blizzards.
broodyUllswater

1st -8th Feb
The stormy nature continues but temps eventually less cutting by 6th. EQ potential again 2+ or – 4th, haven’t time to see where this is likely to be…east of UK suspect longitude 25 E

1st-2nd is full of blizzards intense from midnight to mid day with power lines and air traffic affected. the system begins off NW sea areas of Scotland and slowly moves SE over next 2-3 days eventually fizzling out to East sea regions Gales to high spots affect air travel and routes and comms. Gusty spurts lashing any prominent landmark. Worst of weather should ease after mid day 1st, but start up again early morning to mid day on 2nd, which will be a very unsettled outlook with winds of gusts at varying speeds, bringing in rain sleet and snow to high ground. Temps cold to freezing depending how exposed you are. Winds dying down on 2nd but evening could see potential residual precipitation.

3rd Low temps prevails, some cloud and sunshine, breezy. Cloud thickens by evening with potential for sporadic isolated sharp showers.

4th Weather systems move quickly eastwards so varying cloud, sunshine, fair and not so fair scurrying along. Some blue skies to enjoy with sunshine in the mix. Overnight into 5th could see some static outbursts.

5th Chilly start, gusty again, erratic sudden spurts, some static lightening may also arrive in the morning, with sleet or hail outbursts, mostly localised in micros.

6th-8th Northerlies are active now trying to clear the weather away some spits or spots around blowing in the wind but generally a fair outlook expected. 7th more likely to see more winter flurries arrive before mid day with snow in the mix, snow settling on residual frost likely. Winds can be active but not so strong as earlier in the phase.

 

Malham astrometeorology

8th-15th February

Winds are less active though any breeziness will contain a chilly feel. Northerlies are moving westwards warding off some of the worst of the weather out in mid Atlantic and iciness attempting to come down from Iceland, so we can expect some fairer weather to generally prevail. If you’re organising outdoor pursuits the 10th is a fantastic day to put in your diary—pay me later…

8th Sun with cloud expected during daytime. temps colding (yes I know its not in the dictionary)

9th is cool and fair with varying cloud but heavy winter showers expected to the west around10-11pm

10th Could see the heavy overnight winter shower coming over our region before the day breaks out into refreshing and fine outdoor atmospherics. Wind chills but exhilarating, very pleasant.

11th temps seasonally mild should still be fair conditions generally.

12th Cold temps with occasional isolated sporadic short sharp showers pm and late evening

13th A chill factor and a little bit clammy with mists and likely breezes could turn windy with aloft air chill factor.

14th This looks like either snow or sleet around in our region from early am not sure, sorry…might even be mists lingering but with humidity around during the daytime.

15th ongoing……………….

Ullswater mound

15th-22nd Feb

This phase sees temps growing colder to frosty but mostly uneventful headline weather wise. 15th-17th mainly dry some clouds around and southerly flows, so any precip forecast is expected to be light.

15th early am could see sleet and rainy spells heavy to the west snow in the mix at the start of day slowly travelling our way, skies clearer by 4-6pm but chilly conditions moving in late evening

16th showery before sunrise mists and mizzles potential some cloud around but mostly dry during the day.

17th similar outlook to yesterday though snow bearing clouds look to get heavily laden

18th breezy chills frosts but some blue sky with sunshine around, fairer southwards cloudier to north with southerly flows

19th Fair but nippy outlook mists and fogs to valleys and low lying roads by late pm and overnight, freeze fogs potential

20th Looks like blue skies around with sunshine but little warmth freeze fogs by evening again.

21st similar weather as previous days some static hard hitting showery stuff circa 7pm

22nd I expect sleet snow and rain to arrive and move across many regions of the UK today, potentially southwards around break of day but moving around. W Yorks looks like being hit circa 8pm Mod to heavy precip expected.

22nd Feb-1st March

The worst of the weather stays in the Mid Atlantic for a while longer and this looks like being mild, with 28th unusually so for the season.

22nd as above with 23rd less likely to bring rain.

Without delivering a blow by blow account, I expect seasonally calmer trends with little precipitation or disturbance. Some cloud around but also some sunshine. 24th looks a little lively with gusty weather 25th is fair for the north with fast moving weather taking any rain threats away, 26th is blustery with erratic gusts, but mild temps, 27th is cool but clearer skies, varying winds with cloud scurrying along, thickening later into potential misty conditions near valleys and low lying routes.
28th will see mists and fogs in the evening and sun could find it hard to break through haziness during the day which will have very mild temps for a winter season.

29th still some mistiness and fogs but greater expectation of them clearing during the day

1st Cool fair weather could be disturbed after mid day by showers

fullsteamahead1st-9th March

Seismic intensity magnifies around equatorial regions of Indonesia or of equatorial region of South America for this phase. 2nd -6th March above 5 mag expected.

Some mists, fogs or snow could be to the west of us but the outlook is eerily calmer than expected for this time of year, unless I missed something major….the calm before the storm perhaps however, here goes

1st is cool fine and fair some cloud around but nothing to worry about, and late evening skies look very clear indeed pehaps inviting frosts to form and mists.

2nd is similar to 1st but potential for showery outbursts around mid day, sudden sporadic and intermittent spells.
3rd Looks like a very nice day with a clear atmosphere for those with a camera

4th-5th again nice outside but some blustery whippy gusts beginning to get active

6th is disturbed and a little unsettled but by mid day again things should look good.

7th sees winter hail sleet and snow coming over, may be heavy at times, heavier to the west but travelling our way too arriving potentially circa 9 am

8th full of mists and fogs or haze so it will be hard for the sun to get through…could be mingled with some pollutants as well

Wharfefloods20159th-15th March

This looks like weather Armageddon when the weather shows us who is in charge, and it isn’t flood defences or other man made attempts to rule the globe! Weather alerts galore expected. Cyclone breeding off NE coast South America adding to turbulent Spring Tides expected to bring dangers to sea off Northern coast of Scotland and Orkneys breeding gales, within first few days, travelling to SE Scotland into North England and downwards .

Similar conditions to first week in December 2015 are set to break out. I often hope I get predictions like this wrong, so here’s hoping I am.

Blizzard territory likely to break out this phase….

This is a total solar eclipse with perigee Moon on 10th, so we expect some wild and extreme weather to come and continue. In December the world watched as floods broke through defences in Cumbria and many parts of the UK were assaulted by torrential rain, gales and landslides in Altura in the Highlands and at Ullswater, with gales across Wales and western parts to add to the spectacle.

Severely disturbed atmospherics continue, with record breaking outbursts expected, Lowestoft/E Anglia region singled out for
headlines–possible air and travel and sea disruptions but could also be lightening strikes, along with other parts of the UK seeing action hitting headlines.

The equinox isn’t far away and usually the heat of Australian summers get dragged up to clash with the cold of our winter breeding Spring in it’s wake. Spring with noisy labour pains.

Temps can be metal bending cold in high regions and as this crystallises it will drop down to meet the warm air travelling northward, often this results in tornadic breakouts circa 11th for W Midlands and circa 13th to some valleys as cold air falls downslope.

A quick tour of the drama begins with unsettled outlook for 9th-10th, showery outburst expected, but some fair weather possible during the day, though to the west there will already be signs of winter showers. Static outbursts expected
10th-11th The worst of the weather comes overnight 10-11th and looks set to migrate around the UK with record levels of precipitation as well as flash floods breaking out as the sleet, snow and rain circulates, W Yorks in the firing line for this event, as well as other regions. Fogs and mists highly likely near sea and valleys and watery areas.

Rivers and other watering places in low lying valleys expected to flood plains and beyond, so collect your cattle, and keep vulnerable creatures and people safe over next few days as well.

12th looks set to bring in some breezes with some milder outlook but humidity high with more wintery outbursts potential sleet/hail during the evening.

13th-15th Some isolated narrow storms travel through valleys with tornado potential to Midlands, air transport affected as well as high routes across Pennines and traffic on bridges over estuaries, as scattered electrical storms move around. There could also be news of more mudslides. Precipitation expected overnight 14-15th when mugginess and mists and cloudy conditions prevail.

Very strong northerlies around by 15th trying to clear away the mess King Weather has ruled us with. Tendency for cold miserable bouts of sleet, hail, snow and rain with valley areas feeling the brunt of high levels of accumulation……..

Rivers and other watering places in low lying valleys expected to flood plains and beyond, so collect your cattle, and keep vulnerable creatures and people safe

grazingandlazycow15th -20th March
More furies to contend with as a stormy outbursts hits from the West to NE GB, gale force winds arise strong and northerly, seagoing affected and major routes and air travel disturbed by this trend. More heavy precipitation coming in as the northerlies, often high speed and fierce, try seeing off the stormy weather. Western parts most hit with disruption to air, sea land, rail. Gales around from 15th, hurricane likely to rage in from the sea—-destructive by 16/17th., 18th might be more settled but not for long while 19th is very cold and windy with northerly chill.

The Equinox is early on 20th disturbing conditions further and sudden falls in temps partner a cold front descending from the north with sudden abundant rains to watering places in valleys overstretching capacity in rivers, on roads and low lying pathways and routes…….mass floods heralded.

Spring arrives with a grand entrance letting everyone know hell hath no fury like a global climate on the attack

 

tarneasedale

Time to think of those wonderful summer days ahead…………..

Written by tricia astro meteorologist

December 22, 2015 at 8:26 pm

Posted in abnormally cold, astro-meteorology, Azores High, blustery winds, Earth friendly weather forecasting, east coast, electrical outbursts, flood alerts, floods, fog, fogs, gale force winds, gales, Great long range weather forecasting, gusty winds, heatwave, high speed gales, high temps, high temps, ice, icy showers, lightening strikes, lingering showers, long range weather forecast, Long range weather forecasts, meteorology, mild spell, mists, mists and mizzles, mudslides, precipitation, rainy weather, river floods, satellite technology, Satellite technology for weather forecasting, seismic conditions, snow, Spring Weather Yorkshire and UK, static, sun spells, tornado conditions, UK long range weather forecasts, UK weather forecast, viral spread, weather forecasts, weather history, west coast of Europe, west yorks and yonder, West Yorks weather, West Yorkshire, wind pockets, windy weather, Winter 2016, Yorkshire and yonder weather forecasts

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SUMMER 2015 West Yorks N Yonder UK Weather Brief

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Your Summer Weather Forecast for 2015 W Yorks N Yonder UK

Rock carvings Langdale

Rock carvings Langdale

Apologies to those trying to visit over the past few weeks, but due to some unagreed interference with acceptable transmission of my work and mega plagiarism and reuse  of it,  I have had to temporarily offer only private access to my site. Hopefully this can now change.

This is a quick tour of the weather for W Yorks and Yonder for summer 2015 where yet again I haven’t analysed wind charts nor have I gone into my usual detailed accounting of daily weather patterns but hopefully the forecast wont be too far out and should yield at least 70-80% general accuracy. I am quite pleased with the results of my Spring tour this year which did deliver often 100% accuracy and mostly 85-90% accuracy for my region.

I should advise I normally look at daytime weather rather than overnight conditions, due to most people wanting to know which days are best for outings etc.

I will try and post the August weather trends sometime soon folks………….Enjoy this summer for it could begin to develop into colder summers to come……more of this later.

24th June-2nd July

Potentially seismic outbursts to East China Sea area between Japanese and Chinese/Shanghai region, watch out for this +/- 2 days 24th June

Meanwhile back in W Yorks it looks like some gusty and varying easterlies are around, mostly affecting western regions.

The pattern is optimistic weather wise, if not cause for racing outside and shouting ”hurrah” as it looks likely the week will progress into some gorgeous if not fabulous weather with clear electric blue skies, great photography weather and time to go paragliding, ballooning, fly your kite or just get out into the great outdoors to enjoy the summer conditions.
Temps will be above seasonal ave, while those of you walking the Pennines or peaks will find some cooler temps telling you to walk faster to keep warm, but put your sun hat on and watch it doesn’t get blown away by some gusty cheeky breezes on high.
The only cloud on the horizon is around 30th when some cloud could bring in sporadic showery stuff coming in from the west but don’t worry it wont be enough to spoil things for long. The 1/2nd could see some mists in valleys overnight to early morning near river valleys, humidity levels high overnight with some cloud stopping warmth from escaping our terrestrial atmosphere.

2nd –8th July

I haven’t even bothered delivering the usual analysis for this phase, with two major benefics showing a wonderful combi for all to enjoy in our part of the world, I expect fabulous weather described earlier to continue…the temp highs come later folks and will be worth waiting for unless I see thundery outburst to accompany, watch this space….

8th-16th July
Wow! The only blot on the horizon is some polluting influence, not sure how air based it is, this is due to temps climbing and aggravating conditions for those who have breathing disorders.

The 9th could bring some sporadic showery outbursts, over as fast as they begin, localised hail outbursts likely if they do arrive, mostly to the west of our regions but could spill out over here too, whilst 11th cloud see some precip, but I doubt it will last long, and will provide a welcome breath of fresh air as well as relief for thirsty hard working plants, though of course it will keep the atmosphere cooler. So expect a refreshing downpour.

The East coast looks like getting the real highs of summer this week, however this could also bring in some sea frets potentially spoiling the view at Whitby 13th-16th, but the south westerly region also looks hot, hot, hot, but most of Britain benefits from a lovely summer outbreak of rising temps with some showery outbreaks moving around but not spoiling things too much. The 16th potentially brings in some clear skies and sunny weather for us but I’m not ruling out some scattered hail outbursts in some localities….

summer flowers astro meteorology16th-24th July

Azores highs seem likely to continue for a few more days at least, always a welcome trend in summer, even though there may also be some showery outbursts and cloud forming as a result of static building as the week progresses. Expect an Azores high building to peak around 14th.
Mars and Mercury combine by 16th to bring in some fast, furious and gusty westerlies, so at least they will move any clouds quickly onwards. There will be turbulence out to sea with this influence- the mid Atlantic suspect, could even be refugees fleeing over sea to Americas.
More clouds to the east at the start of the phase, with potential for quick hail or sporadic showery stuff around mid day on 17th for us, earlier for areas to the west of us, that’s lakes, and further to Wales etc whilst on 18th this is further to the eastern areas where more gloom and cloud are likely, but this could gradually travel east our way on following days.

Some gusty N Westerlies continue keeping temps cool on 18th, getting more hectic and speedy by 19th. By 23rd we can expect some breezy, gusty weather sometimes very brisk and breezy, particularly on high spots and this will create disturbances for air transport, air temps decline and lowering……this system should die off by 20th bringing us up to 21st and onwards into following days when fair weather prevails but with lowering temps.
Sunshine is likely to be around in occasional outbursts rather than prolonged uninterrupted levels 23rd/24th are very unsettled.

24th-31st July

Some mists, cloud and gloom around so don’t expect a brilliant week ahead and scattered thunderstorms could circulate, but haven’t time to track these. Some subterfuge being hidden away on the high seas as well……

Doesn’t look good at all really.. Some fair conditions at the start, but very unsettled, with some easterly gloom hovering further east and threatening to rain on our parade potentially around 26th when it looks likely to be heavier to the east but travelling back our way. Cooling breezes stubbornly refuse to give way to summer from the start. Mists prevail to the NE regions, more heat to areas far south for this phase.

Temps bottom out by 28th while whippy westerlies keep things lively, so no hope of a sunbathe; I also expect some thundery outbursts mostly East/South/N East. Things look to go downhill 29th-31st and farmers struggle to keep haystacks dry, while fruits need careful watching under some unwelcome broody damp weather.

31st also brings in more breezy conditions to keep things cool but 31st things will be humid and still damp but with a promise of better weather ahead….or not..

Prettiest Viallge in Yorkshire Dales

Prettiest Village in Yorkshire Dales

AUTUMN WEATHER 2013: W. YORKS: UK: LONG RANGE FORECAST

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Photo0236 Autumn 2013

Writing this in early July 2013, after the heady heatwave that broke by 22nd, it’s easy to see more heatwaves continuing well into Autumn….in our dreams. Certainly the season starts with some highs and the area between GB and

Europe is where the best temps reign supreme for a while, so eastern GB looks to be enjoying some nice highs at this stage. To the west of GB some highs also linger but with mists and hazes and some cloud that stops Sun
performing as well as we would like. This looks like turning very autumnal by 5th October when I expect high winds and some stormy outcome.

In fact I expect signs of autumn to show early in leaves and grass due to the drought conditions that left herbiage unquenched and needing sprinklers to keep them moist. In such conditions we get early drop and dying out of
summer growth, the signs usually associated with Autumn in fact.

October charts brought a bit of a challenge. First of all for three weeks we get the same indicators for similar weather patterns for three weeks of the month from 5th-18th and even by 26th there is only a slight variation on the theme with a more intense outlook being generated.

Winter makes its presence around the corner quite clear by 10th November phase when temps try to remain mild but begin to give way to an icy cold front and freezing mists and fogs by 12-13th and this could create some transport
problems. it was chilly just looking at these temps let alone living with them!

This forecast takes us up to the end of November and will be updated in October to take us up to Christmas.

geese takeover September 2013

FM 19th-27th September
Could be some outpourings to the west prior to this phase, with any residue meandering eastwards from the outset on 27th. If you can remember back in 31st May and first week in June, the Mets kept telling us about the Azores
high and sure enough we got mosquito outbreaks in its wake!

We will still be enjoying a continuation of some good weather for this phase, another potential Azores streak that bathes us in some nice seasonally high temps. NW Scotland could see some variable temps with occasional
dullness, mists haze and cloudiness depending on altitude and this could slowly move further down the west. But overall a good weather trend to enjoy.

27th October-5th October

This is where Autumn discernibly moves in.

The fair weather continues for a few more days, but temps get cooler as the phase progresses growing autumnally cold by 30th when I expect precipitation to hit NW regions, i.e lakes area. Unsettled conditions turns the tide on the good weather from 29th with winds growing restless and ready to blow off the dead leaves. Winds grow ever more erratic by 1st keeping things cool and a little chilly, with sporadic rainy outbursts, mizzle and drizzles heralding the end of summer and dawn of Autumn. Temps much cooler by 3rd onwards when winds rev up in speed and temps grow even more variable and cold, could mean gales for some regions, but some sunshine afterwards for last 2 days I would think.

5th-11th October
The cold weather looks likely to continue with gentle southerlies around at the outset trying to ward off any bitterness, but with northerlies above we can expect mostly clouds forming and localised showery outbursts from 5th, moving eastwards.

By the 7th the weather gets much more unsettled with mists haze and cloud around watery places, with warmth and cold air vying with each for space. I expect clouds if not mists and haze to predominate by late afternoon or
evening, particularly to the eastern areas of our region.
8th Brings a cloudy morning, some mists may linger, more showery outburst likely. Easterlies predominate increasing cloudiness as the day wears on, erratic gustiness makes things unpleasant if not a little stormy with NW one of
the areas of GB most vulnerable to these outburst and squalls. Could be hail or sleet and it is cold so I’m not ruling out snow arriving or heralded by these weather conditions, and it could be highland areas that gets news of the impending arrival.
9th slightly milder conditions, snow still likely as previously mentioned and showery outbursts localised but very heavy at times, but some sunshine spells around to brighten up the outlook.
10th-11th Southerlies blow with a slight rise in mists and haze lingering , high humidity and isolated cloudbursts with heavy downpours for many regions, again looks most likely to North east and west at this stage.
1

1th-18th October

Clearer but cooler conditions rule off east of GB with these slowly moving in later this phase. Milder temps look more likely to far west of UK and this could clash with fogs and mists forming when the two meet.
Residual flood conditions could still be taking up traffic news at the outset and the NW region looks like one of most likely candidates.
A more biting chill factor arrives after 16th when temperatures will get colder as days progress, reminding us winter is on the way.

I expect sporadic isolated cold showery outburst 12-13th, hail or sleet for high places, some cloud to contend with but winds blowing them about creating some windows for sun to shine through now and again. Winds can be gusty
on some days. 13th sees snappy westerlies gusting at times and easterlies bringing in a cloudy outlook with localised showery outbursts, most likely before lunch, 15th and 17th stronger gusty outlook.

14th colder with some sun spells and less likelihood of showery outbreaks
15th Much more unsettled, winds get gustier and lustier and sharp
16th temps move cooler than previous days with frosts likely but a crisp atmosphere more moderate winds and clear visibility with lovely skies. High places could see snow and will be much colder than in lower areas.
17th Rain hail or even sleet, could be heavy at times beginning in the morning for us. Winds gusty, cold coming in from east, a touch of frost early in the morning and at night also heralded for the end of this phase.
18th seems to herald a likelihood of scattered showery outbreaks but read on………………..

18th-26th October

A continuation of similar weather to the last phase but with echoes of a chance of breaking the 1985 March Cambridgeshire 29.4C high on 1st October, but this time it looks at if Suffolk beats the temps with Felixstowe region the most likely winner. Certainly highs rules there from the 18th. This temp was broken 1st October 2011 when 29.9C was hit at Gravesend Kent, and highs will reach by18th a well.

The theme for weather in October 1985 for a similar chart to our current one was showery outbursts with thunder around the UK for 6 days between 2-9th October, and this pattern will repeat as some mugginess and warmth moves
in and isolated torrential downpours arrive as the phase unfolds. Some outbreaks can be short sharp hail showers as at Stainburn Cumbria when 20mm stones hit unsuspecting passers by on 4th of that month. The west of GB as
well as Scotland got the worst of the rain by 6th with snow falling to Cairngorms and Highlands 8th-9th—I expect a similar pattern to emerge as days progress. 1985 brought an Azores High into play and we miss the full heat of this
but a warm front is forming far wet and north of the Azores and we can expect some semi tropical lows to come over, but this is likely to form mists, haze clouds and fogs as it clashes with some of the colder air from 16th.

Isolated and scattered thunderstorms expect, to our region.

Sunset to sunrise should see less to no rainy outbursts for the most part and temps are very mild for the time of year. Evenings look likely to be a bit muggy and foggy, when usually a Full Moon sees clear night skies, but this
could change after midnight for a short while till after sunrise when precipitation favours falling at this stage of the moon.

Winds could get very lively to some regions with westerlies gusty and cutting at times, and northerlies joining in by 23rd but these usually bring a turn in the weather outlook and can clear up and bad conditions.

18th As previously forecast but the scattered showery stuff looks to be moving eastwards and seems further south. This is the day when Suffolk and SE regions get the highs. news of thunderstorms for GB could also be breaking.
Sun spells likely for us.
19th I expect a dry day with northerlies seeing off any total cloud cover forming, but it can be a little muggy with these temps. Fogs and mists likely near water over next few days.
20th Atmospheric disturbances expected from today. Localised sporadic downpours erratic, and intermittent during the day, heavy to some regions, ours too. A seismic time with EQ news for SE Russia or NE China…132E lat
55-60N long but 21st has more signals for exactitude? Semi tropical lows arrive with high humidity and cloudburst slowly circulating, thick hazes and fogs can also form with travel over the Atlantic under stress in these conditions. Gusty on occasions but mostly nebulous and variable breezes and winds.
21st Could be a drier outlook but high humidity and some cloud mists and fogs to valleys.
22nd Quick isolated and localised hail outbursts, but temps seasonally mild generally, very unsettled weather outlook.
23rd We can expect extremes of temps for the season to be causing raised eyebrows but I expect them to be on the warm side rather than colder than expected (famous last words!) Weather now gets pulled eastwards for a few
days and it does seem a little squally with variable winds, gusting at times and strong to NW and Scotland causing some travel problems on roads and highways. More mists fogs and haze around and by 24th onwards isolated
rainy weather travels eastwards with muggy conditions .
25th has some promise for sun spells and more semi tropical type temps but accompanies by mists and haze, so it looks like a cloudy night is heralded keeping the temps seasonably mild. Haze expect, mists and fogs to valleys
with variable winds continuing.

NT walk AmblesideOct 26th-3rd November

Perhaps levels of rain might be lower than we usually expect, and temps milder than expected for this time of year, and East Anglia seems to be getting a lot of the better ranges of sunshine with perhaps drier conditions and warmer
temps than the rest of us, I’m not ruling out drought conditions creating some problems for the region either.

For this phase I expect thunderstorms to arrive but little to no floods, although by the end of the phase heavier rain is likely, but the NW looks likely to get some pretty sharp or extreme outcomes.

Tornado Alley in the US looks busy at this time also.

26th Variable winds from the outset, some sunshine around but clouds developing, temps on the mild side

27th-29th Some quick sleet and sporadic showers expected, localised and intermittent but temps still mild generally and high humidity with occasional cloudbursts–quite sharp and heavy by 29th where NW sees the heavier precipitation.

From 29th weather gets easterly cloudier and skies duller and storms can be pushed northwards+ NE with outlook clearer for the southern regions. This system looks fast moving and consists of rain turning to sleet, snow with hail outbursts with winds breezy, very gusty and temps getting lower with rainfall cooling them off, some wild and windy weather is also expected.

1st Nov looks less unsettled with some chance of sunshine and clearer skies for days ahead, but breezy conditions are very active.

The last two days will have some sunshine during the day, but look more likely to see some rain travelling across by evening for us and for southern regions as well and strong westerlies remain gusty if not blizzard like, but some sunshine could also break out, but I expect snow to be in the news at the outset of our next phase Dublin and some parts of GB look to be white by 3rd, could be frost or snow…read on……

3d Nov-10th

A cold front arrives during this phase but turning milder by the end. 4th and 8th look to be the main culprits for wet weather, but other days can bring in some cold showery outbreaks. Winds should be less active for us.

3rd Looks like a little warming for southern regions anyway, but there is also cloud around and cold pockets, with rain sleet and snow showery outbreaks.
4th A low system brings a cold front, not ruling out snow either, skies look dull with cold mists and fogs likely to coast and valleys, showers can be intermittent and drizzly the skies are much better before sunrise so get up early to see them!
5th Some sun attempts by morning, accompanied by quick hail and sleet showers, sporadic and localised, unsettled conditions with occ sun spells.
6th The next few days brings in some haze, variable winds, some dull cloudy weather from 6th, but some sun spells, 7th will be cloudier later with poor visibility trends, could be more drizzles overnight to next day 8th is calm but humid and mists from overnight, easterlies shows some muggy conditions around but a bright promise around 6-9 am
9th can see some sun around mid day a risk of short sharp showers around sunset and more easterlies keeping things a bit dull
10th Generally fair but a risk of showers again by evening.

10th-17th November

This is when temps come to be extremely wintery with icy cold conditions and freezing over likely. Generally fair conditions at the first few days between mists and showery outbursts

10th Some windy weather from the outset with easterlies gusting around mid day, but this gives way to calmer conditions later at night. Sporadic hail and sleet showers expected from around midnight to early 1 am on 10th onwards. freezing fogs likely late at night towards 11th so take care on the roads.
11th Rain and showery conditions moving to east of us, some southerlies around but mild, and more freezing fogs by evening.
12th Some cloud with sunny spells during the day
13th Cool with sun spells from sunrise onwards should be a nice by the afternoon but some clouds and mists to valleys expected by evening.
14th Hail and sleet can burst out but not be long lived otherwise some fair trned operating
15th Today brings a very noticeable cold low into play when we could see water begin to freeze over. Icy cold showers could break out late evening and there is some potential for sleet if not snow storms with higher elevations affected, but this cold front is going to be very chilling.

16th-17th Cloudy some gentle breezy conditions about, cloudier to northern parts, fairer to the south but chilly, some warmth from sun during mid day on 17th.

17th-25th November

This phase shows extremes of temp lowering to very icy with the big freeze coming over. By 20th we could see some cold air descending to meet iciness producing some wind emergencies down in the Midlands, and the west
could also see some action from westerlies veering north to try and clear everything up a bit.

East Anglia, Norfolk regions look very cold too, so does NW of Scotland where temps are very low the SW England and NE Scotland also look in line to get snowfall by 17/18th……….

17th-18th Looks windy to the east of us, temps nippy, frost on the ground likely with potential for sleet and winter showers giving a show of white cover. Some sun could be around to keep things cheerful, with evening skies being clearer but creating cold conditions due to no or little cloud cover.

19th-20th Some rising temps during the day with sunshine trying to gain control, but hail and sleet flurries look set to come over from the east for us, heavier to the eastern parts, heavier for us on 20th and to southern shores.
Today -20th-brings in the winds I mentioned above , these can be gusty, the Midlands and Scotland look worse hit by these, nippy, keeping things very cutting, temps very icy out of the daytime sunshine. I’m not ruling out sleet hail and snow blizzards with this wind, creating a bit of a news headline.
21st Icy showers arrive today possibly by lunchtime, some sun spells with cloud and some south-easterly air flows keeping things muggy during the day.
22nd is very unsettled with south westerlies around, could be a rough ride weather wise if not an all weather day when we get rain, hail sleets snow and sun till the weather decides what it is going to do. These outbursts will be very localised and intermittent through the day.
23rd Cloudy but fairer potential for snowfall also or sleet and hail creating fogs and mists by late afternoon due to high humidity and by 24th little to no or nebulous winds growing cloudier by evening with an intensely cold low front moving in heralding dull leaden skies and moving eastwards today and on 25th when easterlies make things gloomier Bbbbrrrrrrr……..

This post is also repeated on http://www.amazingweather.wordpress.com
Reports on accuracy of weekly outcomes will be resumed at a later stage. Read previous postings on weekly feedback of previous seasons to get a measure of accuracy which is often 80-90% and for many weeks in a season it can be 100% using the same methods our ancient forecasters used to forecast weather using ancient satellite technology.

Weather Forecast 4th Oct-12th W Yorks and Beyond

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4th Oct-12th
Some good outdoor weather expected but some rainy conditions as outlined. Mostly dry, sunny with breeziness The record breaking weather looks to be to SW

regions of the UK at the outset of this phase….could be windy conditions that attract attention…..but some unsettled weather for this phase made it difficult to be confident of the forecast at this stage……..(well it is only July when I’m doing these)

4th Some precipitation moving over the far east from outset, breezy-very windy condition for some regions Cooler outlook but still seasonally average conditions and thundery outbreaks likely to some parts of UK.
5th-7th Sunshine with clouds, noisy winds and sudden spartan showery outbursts especially on 7th
8th Rain bearing cloud formations moderate temps, nebulous breezes and potential for rain/thundery showers by evening
9th Warmth in mid day sun, more sunshine around for us today.
10th A bit unsettled today.  Sudden showery outbreaks by evening, some hail and sleet and potential for snow on high ground. Brisk westerlies and sometimes strong along with some southerlies.
11th Strong easterlies blow in some mugginess could even be the white stuff coming over with this unsettled air, early hail sleet outbursts possible from around sunrise Clearer skies after 6pm

12th….read on….

UKWeather Forecast 23 June-1st July West Yorks astro meteorology

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This phase should bring us some fine outdoor weather with warmth from sun in sheltered places. Some Rainy spells can interrupt play by 30th especially to southern parts of UK

Winds can provide good kiting and sailing conditions some breezy air flows keep things cool with conditions around 22nd-25th seeing the liveliest days for gusty blustery conditions, and there may be potentially cold and cutting winds to contend with in unsheltered places centring around 24th. Some cool spots on down slopes and in high exposed areas around 26th but the temps look set to turn into fine high pressure by 25th- 27th with the temps rising to monthly highs over next 2-3 days from 27th.
Some static could build as a result of rising temps and the 30th looks the likely culprit for a break in the fine spell especially to southern parts of UK.

Some spartan showers could break out on occasions but will clear quickly.
Read http://amazingweather.wordpress.com  for longer range predictions/weather forecasts for both Spring and Summer 2011 or go to https://ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com
Read http://learnastrometeorology.wordpress.com  to find out some interesting information about weather forecasting
visit … www.starsite.org.uk/1491.html  home of ‘astrology doesn’t cost the earth’ for more discussion of astro meteorology and access FREE lessons in weather forecasting and lots of free book downloads with much more..