Archive for the ‘summer 2012’ Category
FEEDBACK Long Range Weather Forecast 19th July – 2nd August
19th brought heavy showers in the early monring with sun and cloud later and warm temps but some breezy conditions, a dry day though some localised showers were widespread as I expected.
20th Very early light showers but another dry day for us cludy though with sun spells as forecast
21st Sunny and dry day as forecast
22nd light early shower, cloudy but a sunny day develpping by mid day, windy but hot in the sun as forecast, but no showers for us.
23rd Very windy conditions blue skies wool packed cloud with temps ave to high depending on how sheltered or in shade you were, given a cool windy outlook.
24th-28th Generally the weather turned out to be be fair to good but I wasn’t in my usual locality though given I foecast good weather to the east coast, I have to say I was delighted to find my foecast, given early this year, was correct as the east coast was enjoying excellent summer conditions in spite of the met giving poor conditions to the North of England. I was at Whitby where folk were saying they had enjoyed fantastic highs and sun from Saturday 21st……….and notice my foecast, delivered in February said that the East Coast of Yorkshire would have good place for highs from the start of this pahse…so an excellent result for this phase forecast. Thursday 26th was the one to watch out for as the met forecast t/storms for this day and these didn’t materialise at all instead there was just a break in blue sky conditions with rain arriving early on Wednesday but only in drizzles that didn’t spoil outdoor pursuits.
An excellent long range forecast for this phase.
26th July- 2nd August FEEDBACK
26th-28th as above, lovely weather
29th cluody, some sun and some brief localised showers around W Yorks
30th Cloudy day with occasional sun spells cooer temp[s due to breezes and windiness.
31st Cloudy all day, cooler temps, some few sun spells drizzles by late evening leading to mistiness and fog patches late at night
1st August Cloudy start, sun attempts by mid day, sun and showers in the afternoon and evening soradic as forecast.
2nd Sunny generally though a quick showery outburst in the afternoon, not long lasting though and ave to warm temps…..
Cooler temps this phase than the previous one as forecast……
West Yorks and Yonder Weather Forecast 3rd – 19th July
3rd July-11th July
Drought indicator battle with planets trying to produce cloud and unsettled air and more lightening or static outbursts for this phase. However, it does look like there are some windy trends that upset fine days and from the outset some disruptive weather unsettles the finer outlook. The drought phase, lasting till 2017 I might add, is hitting the south more than the north and looks like getting more noticeable for this time of year with farmers struggling to keep plants properly nourished.
There are some seismic indicators as well and this echoes disturbances such as those at Zermatt in January when an avalanche trapped people in the mountain village, also by end of January we had record snow and disruptions toair travel as well as people dying on street in eastern Europe due to the lows, with Heathrow and other airports encountering problems with flight schedules as well. This freak weather looks likely to occur again due to weather disturbances high up in the atmosphere, bringing in news from Eastern Europe about record breaking weather–could be t/storms that feature, causing problems.
This is a full moon phase normally the barbecue phase for summer addicts or for evening walks and al fresco dining. I honestly don’t think you will be disappointed, although the sun is apogee at the moment and this often means lower temps at this time of year, so I’m surprised to see so many planets battling to keep things summery for this phase, thank goodness.. I do expect some lightening strikes to be quite spectacular for this phase.
3rd brings in some gusty windy westerlies but still some southerlies around keeping things seasonally mild but I do expect temps to climb today also. Cooler outlook for evening so wrap up warm if you are planning a barbecue, and Ido recommend putting the fire in a sheltered place to avoid winds blowing flames where you don’t want them to be! The air is unsettled and as mentioned in the previous forecast I can’t rule out a flash t/storm for today ( oh dear as I post this on 5th I see I’m one day out again for the t/storm forecast as this occurred yesterday 4th at 5 40 pm!! WHOOPS how bad am I getting…yes I know I did these in February but I still shouldn’t be a day out with forecasts, sorry everyone) but these will be localised static outbursts and it’s difficult to see at this stage exactly where they’ll fall, but I do expect them to be over as quickly as they began with no lingering. (no it didn’t linger, but brought a five minute downpour, then another by 7-8pm speedily over so accurate on that score)
4th Could see some cloud around after a cool night but I also expect some sunshine along with continuing sporadic and gusty westerlies vying with southerly breezes. Some strong NW arrive mid afternoon but southerlies are staying around for a few days to stop things from turning exceedingly stormy or too cold. Temps will drop suddenly so be prepared to wrap up when they do.
5th-6th More static around lightening strikes potential, erratic hail, isolated showers very localised, with very strong gusty NW winds active veering strong gusty and westerly late at night on 5th staying until 6th. Some sunshine in between sporadic static outbursts, in fact there should be a lot of sunshine and blue skies making it an excellent time for photographers.
Some seismic elements around as well so news of either volcanic outpourings or big EQ expected +/- 2-3 days. One of the areas singled out are Omsk and Alma Ata regions of Kazakhstan…..East region of Beijing alsovulnerable…..haven’t time to look at the southern hemisphere…
7th-8th Should see temps rising higher, drought conditions causing problems but good days for sunbathing I expect…..outlook unsettled from tomorrow so make the most of this trend
9th A scattered showery outlook, but not heavy for us if they do arrive here, very spartan indeed and a fine outlook for temps rising for our region and beyond. Changes begin to come in weather wise. Some fogs and mists or hazes could create problems for air traffic at this time expect increasing humidity and cloud from today.
Some windy conditions cause problems possibly to the SW region of England I’ll be on watch for tornado breeding but always get foiled by the fact that our British press prefers US tornado reporting to our own, making it impossible for anyone seeing a localised tornado to see the importance of reporting it sadly…….. Weather conditions begin to change today with a more unsettled outlook reigning, isolated storms can spring up for some regions and by 10th it does look like the west is looking at some scattered showery conditions coming in after the highs create more static. The 10th looks like more highs are around with some northerly flows
11th Most likely day for rain to arrive from the west and travel east, but there is a drought indicator as well, but this may just have blocked precipitation being too heavy in previous days, so although temps are seasonally high I don’t see this rain being heavy or prolonged, more like a sudden outburst that soon passes over and refreshes the atmosphere from early morning Erratic weather conditions at this part of the weather phase…..
11th-19th July
Some high temps arrive again halfway through this phase but we can also expect some cold and draftiness from variable breezes and windiness gusting at times from 11-15th Easterlies get stronger by 15th with gusty westerlies strong and speedy at times by afternoon on 16th, but temps climb faster from today. Rain more than likely for 17th and 18th
11th As previously forecast
12th A dry sunny day expected any showery outbreaks would arrive at 6-7 am potentially
13th Some cloud around from 1am with potential for shower but by sunrise it looks like a fine weather outlook for today. seasonally average temps continuing
14th Sunshine and cloud around with warmth from sun, clouds expected to form by evening when some easterlies get kick started and warm air could create haziness to watery areas.
15th Fine start some clouds forming quick sporadic probably localised showery precip around 5-6 am cool start but sunny with temps rising as sun gets higher easterlies prevailing
16th Cloud or rain expected mid morning and some quick hail showers can arrive bringing localised sporadic scattered outbreaks again by late afternoon. Gusty westerlies could be bringing in some rain late afternoon, getting gusty and speedy at times.
17th Expect some high temps to reign today but around 1am some showery stuff could water the garden and this could be a longer rainy spell than in previous days So it could be a cloudy start that develops into sunshine and blue skies as the day progresses with warmth increasing.
18th Some mists cloud or haziness, even showery stuff at start of day and into the morning but a fine afternoon is likely with temps climbing a little higher than yesterday, but this could result in some cloudiness with showery stuff by evening ….19th looks wild and windywait for next phase to be posted………………
Here’s hoping I redeem my forecasting for these two weeks of weather predicitions:-)
19th June – 3rd July Summer Weather W Yorks and Yonder 2012
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19th-27th June
This phase interrupts the previous good weather but then it is the solstice and usually at this time we get used to seeing lots of people in muddy wellies trying to find their way around Glastonbury and taking unplanned mud baths. ( new edit—Glastonbury doesn’t meet this year, so don’t expect a repeat of these scenes-we already had them at the Jubilee Pageant 🙂 )
For this week for us there are some fair and not so fair indications arriving and it took a lot of time to tease out what the planets were trying to tell me so bear with me for this forecast, hopefully I got the right messages……but no guarantees.
There will be some fair conditions overall but also some t’storms around elevated places like hills and moor tops due to static conditions that are brewing. We can expect sudden low temps to herald not just hail showers and sleet, even snow showers on some elevations, but also some frostiness overnight. Mists are prevalent in valleys and near watery places and more likely to arrive mid phase…. The mildest temps look likely to break out from 24th which should be a fine day if only it wasn’t for the misty start that may stay around and create haze that blocks full on sun, but I hopefully am wrong about this…..
20th Quick hail or sleet outbreak potential around 9-11 am, with a fair breezy showery outlook before sunrise. Temps look warmer to east and south today, we may get some good temps in our locality but beware sudden drops in temps and expect cold pockets to be strong by evening along with cloud appearing to gather. Easterlies begin to flow by 8-9pm warning of cooler temps to arrive and some precipitation likely by 9-10 pm it could be sleet or hail, even snow on high ground, with frostiness around to greet tomorrow. Some potential for prolonged showery intervals hail, sleet if not t/storms very late evening.
21st Potential for a frosty start with more hail, sleet or snow outbreaks expected before or around sunrise, temps may rise slightly as sun tries to rise to solstice position, but mostly cold conditions reign, with clearer skies. Scattered showers for during the day but some blue skies with cloud heavier at 2-3pm Some southerlies keep things from being wintery, some gusty NW can arise on exposed areas
22nd Fair outlook from sunrise, after some quick showery attempts at start of 22nd, with some brilliant blue skies and lovely clear atmosphere during the day, I hope. Temps on the low side with scattered showery intervals likely by evening into early next day, over as soon as they begin. Southerly flows stop temps getting too biting but I’m not ruling out frosty ovenight conditions or this could be a marker for dew on the ground so be warned if camping….occasional gusty N Westerlies around so make sure your tent is well pegged if camping on exposed areas………
23rd Flash t/storms expected along with fierce hail or sleet outbreaks combine with gusty north westerlies. Mists and haze and cloud can hover around watery places and valleys, a lot of humditiy around keeping things chilly, cloudy as well by evening with some heavy showery conditions hail and sleet again, but this looks heavier, though not prolonged into overnight.
24th Looks like a better day with a misty start but if the sun can make its way through the haze it should become a fair day, then there should be some warming temps just a little muggy with haziness around and nebulous breezes
25th Summer is breaking through in case you hadn’t noticed but where is all that nice weather I wonder…..This afternoon looks a little damp with even some mizzly drizzly stuff around, but temps feel less hostile for a summer outlook, but this condition could result in some fogs and mistiness. Luckily some northerlies are around from evening trying to clear up the muggy trend.
26th-27th look like better days with some warmth from sun and slight rise in temps, much clearer skies by 27th which should bring a fine night. Venus finally stops her seeming backward motion on these days also.
27th June-3rd July
I’m only giving a quick tour for this phase as it does look mostly settled weather wise with some fresh atmosphere around 29th and 30th and lots of sunshine as well to follow. There could be some windy and breezy outbreaks now and again, but nothing too upsetting for outdoor activity.
Looking at my charts the east coast seems to be the place to be for this phase as the sun looks likely to shine down those shores……. This looks like a fine weather phase so make the most of it. Temps look set to climb by 2-3rd and this could bring some static outburst to north Scotland at beginning and for us by the end.
The 3rd is unsettled and there could be a risk of lightening or other static outburst for some along with some windiness beginning to be a little fiercer.