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Long Range Weather W Yorks and Yonder 2nd August – 24th

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2-9th August
The low temps for the south continue to make themselves felt and this phase brings potential for high levels of precipitation, but having examined where this is going to be most felt I have arrived at the conclusion that a new business could now be established with a water carrier going out to sea to collect the massive amounts of rain water about to fall mid Atlantic for this phase…contact me for further details about where this new enterprise could be…..

Conflicting warmth and dryness with cool wetness defied teasing out for daily forecasts, so I decided to just stick to a tour of weather outcomes for the phase, though I think the cool wetness lies to the lower south and warmth and dryness is above Midlands and beyond to the north, though East Anglia looks like seeing more warmth and sunshine than we do…

Remember it is a Full Moon that brings barbecue time but this is a rather risky time (March2012) to forecast for consistency in weather outlook to support it. Usually a Full Moon does clear up bad weather, and we can expect better evening  than daytime weather…I’m not happy with this forecast at all….We usually get cooler nights for this time of the month as there is less cloud around overnight, but there is a lot of cloud and mist around for this phase.

2nd A sporadic showery outlook some sunshine between clouds. Temps climbing but humidity is high bringing mistiness near watery places. Seems like a calm before the storm develops today
3rd Mists and mizzles around especially near valleys and watering places, even fogs. Humidity is high  and thick hazes mists and fogs cause travel problems high humidity continues.
4th Similar outlook continues from yesterday but some some sunshine expected.  Scattered showers or mizzles potential around sunrise, but clearer outlook by evening
5th More settled now till 6th when at the start of the day some rain and heavy showers looks likely, the evening looks clearer

7th a quick downpour around sunrise again cool temps  sun with cloud and another showery outlook more prolonged by evening 7pm time
8th Temps look set to be warmer today and tomorrow  rising temps with southerlies

 

9-17th August

I had to track back a long way to see a similar chart to this rare display of weather outcomes..I also had to return to 1982 to see what Saturn battling with Mars brought while in fair weather sign Libra. I got lucky and found a brilliant account of severe thunderstorms from May till late summer accompanying this outlook and a wonderfully detailed account on the net,  of how bad weather battled with some high temperatures to create thunder and lightening during July 1982. However, in 1982 there were lots of other planets joining in the affray, and this isn’t happening this time around, though I do expect something exciting by the end of this phase in the form of t/storms and even high levels of precipitation to some parts of the UK with weather warnings in place….The first half of this phase is good but the change comes in from 12th when the air begins to get unsettled.

9th Looks like some showery weather coming in from the west but the air is generally refreshing and good for outdoors, we may escape with a few spits and spots blown in on wind, southerlies are strong with some mists to watery areas and still air, higher temps range and some sultry conditions by evening.
10th Should be a lovely serene summers day
11th Temps still seasonally high with wool packed clouds, any rain coming in should be out of the way 2-3am if it does wend its way here, some whistling breeziness could start up heralding some changes to come in the fair trends
12th Conflicting air currents between hot and cold begin to make themselves felt. There is humidity and static around and lightening strikes can begin to break out from today, warning of rain threats.
13th I expect our region to encounter some heavy outbreaks of rain today from early morning. Temps are still on the high if muggy side and mistiness is hogging some watery and lowland areas marring visibility Ipswich looks most affected by misty mizzly and drizzly conditions so I’ll be catching up with their weather outlook for this phase to check my forecast result.  The weather continues to remain unsettled as temps are on the rise again by the afternoon which is generally a fair outcome.
14th Some highs expected for 14th creating more static, while my money is on 15th for more lightening and thunder strikes which for some regions beyond ours will be awesome. Some lowland areas can expect windstorms
16th Seems like the weather is less unsettled with temps rising and some nice woolly cloud around. Some westerly breezes prevail.
17th brings another very high temperature day and some good weather but check any modifications to this in my next forecast…….
17th-24th August
This phase is unsettled and it took a while to decide that its migrating droughts hitting the headlines at this time of the year. I expect headlines similar to the ones we got for January this year when an avalanche hit Zermatt and Bosnia and beyond had the coldest temps on record to east of Europe…..I only wish I could spend more time analysing the trends across Europe to see how this will manifest weather wise for this summer, though I do expect the drought will be heavy to those parts, as will temps reaching viciously high levels……..
We have the conflict of highs and lows continuing, though I am trying to stay communicative in plain English rather than resort to obscure messages used by many forecasters. In a nutshell it seems that there is the threat of stormy outbursts, but somehow the planets prevent these from breaking out into too much rainy stuff and we get some high temperatures and fair weather, though breezes and gusty winds can interfere with smooth sailing….or help it along!
The conflict in fair and foul conditions centres over the middle of England from north to south and going across east coast of Scotland. It seems to convey that the drought for the eastern quarter, East Anglia especially, will continue to cause problems at this time of year. The fair is weather we all enjoy; the foul is a trend to parching conditions that isn’t good for harvests and farmers. 
Astro mets will know that the drought conditions are peaking now and won’t return to increasing heavy rainy wet conditions until 2017/19 when the planetary cycle reverses the trend for migrating droughts.

17th Fair weather around with high temp range, dry conditions but some risk of scattered localised showery conditions 5am and 5 pm time wise approx. Temps cooler slightly by evening.
18th Some gusty breezy/windy conditions NW for north Eng and Scotland especially and high ground, we will get gusty breeziness ad risk or more localised hail showery outbreaks, but this also goes with blue skies and fluffy cloud conditions.
19th Cloud with sunshine spells, cloudier outlook for morning  with more risk of scattered showers, some cloud coming over mid afternoon but clearer overnight skies into tomorrow morning, temps on seasonally warm. Windy from last night N Westerly
20th rising temps, abnormally dry conditions ruling, with clear skies risk of some scattered showers and southerlies blowing. Looks like an uncomfortably warm night as well….
21st Muggy conditions around today, haziness and static atmosphere, some breezes to keep things aired, some cloudburst potential late at night and into following morning
22nd Cloud and mizzles potential but a finer outlook for the afternoon, warmth from sun and night skies look clear.
23rd Moon is perigee today, close to the earth so exerting a strong pull on tides, cloudy start if not haziness for watery areas, temps still seasonally high today. The afternoon looks better than the morning for clearer skies and sunshine.
24th Hazes mists and cloudiness around today especially to lowland areas, southerlies active and gusty, warm temps and high humidity. Clear overnight skies

 

You can read the full summer season to end of August on  http://www. UKweatherbrief.wordpress.com

You can find out more about astro meteorology down the ages on my website at www.starsite.org.uk

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FEEDBACK Long Range Weather Forecast 19th July – 2nd August

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FEEDBACK 19th-26th August

19th brought heavy showers in the early monring with sun and cloud later and warm temps but some breezy conditions, a dry day though some localised showers were widespread as I expected.
20th Very early light showers but another dry day for us cludy though with sun spells as forecast
21st Sunny and dry day as forecast
22nd light early shower, cloudy but a sunny day develpping by mid day, windy but hot in the sun as forecast, but no showers for us.
23rd Very windy conditions blue skies wool packed cloud with temps ave to high depending on how sheltered or in shade you were, given a cool windy outlook.
24th-28th Generally the weather turned out to be be fair to good but I wasn’t in my usual locality though given I foecast good weather to the east coast, I have to say I was delighted to find my foecast, given early this year, was correct as the east coast was enjoying excellent summer conditions in spite of the met giving poor conditions to the North of England. I was at Whitby where folk were saying they had enjoyed fantastic highs and sun from Saturday 21st……….and notice my foecast, delivered in February said that the East Coast of Yorkshire would have good place for highs from the start of this pahse…so an excellent result for this phase forecast. Thursday 26th was the one to watch out for as the met forecast t/storms for this day and these didn’t materialise at all instead there was just a break in blue sky conditions with rain arriving early on Wednesday but only in drizzles that didn’t spoil outdoor pursuits.

An excellent long range forecast for this phase.

26th July- 2nd August FEEDBACK
26th-28th as above, lovely weather
29th cluody, some sun and some brief localised showers around W Yorks
30th Cloudy day with occasional sun spells cooer temp[s due to breezes and windiness.
31st Cloudy all day, cooler temps, some few sun spells drizzles by late evening leading to mistiness and fog patches late at night
1st August Cloudy start, sun attempts by mid day, sun and showers in the afternoon and evening soradic as forecast.
2nd Sunny generally though a quick showery outburst in the afternoon, not long lasting though and ave to warm temps…..

Cooler temps this phase than the previous one as forecast……

19th July-2nd August Long Range Weather forecast West Yorkshire and Yonder 2012

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19th-26th July
I had to go back to February 2009 to find a similar chart to this one, but of course the weather then was icy though the snowfall and severe cold were on the wane as temps began to mild up a bit. This phase is going to be breezy, some rainy spells and some gloom but there will also be some fair but breezy weather.
I also expect news about viral outbreaks spreading at the speed of light perhaps coming over from Europe and it could be a similar thing to the blight affecting sheep in February this year, which was spread by mosquitoes coming
over in the mild spell from Germany. More viral outbreaks are expected to fly around in the air.
 Also a warning of comms systems being affect by lightening strikes, pylons could be hit or even wind farms, especially to east coast areas of sea and across to west coast of Europe where strong high speed gales look set to cause a bit of a fuss from the outset. This can also indicate wildcat strikes by lightening that can cause fires.
 
The East coast of Yorkshire looks to be the place to be for the highs from the start of this phase…the heat wave of former days gets broken up today.
 
Around 22nd brings any bad weather outlook moving to southern regions where temps will be abnormally cooler than usual. Unsettled systems for this day expected.
 
19th Shower potential mid morning-sporadic and later in afternoon, hopefully some drier spells in between scattered t/storms seem to be spreading their wings rapidly and we could hear some of these as they strike around the north and south. Winds look blustery and gusty and the weather is disturbed today finding it difficult to settle into a pattern we can enjoy.
 
20th A drier day and less unsettled some warmer temps breezes and some sun spells
 
21st a fine day some fair conditions and breezy weather.
 
22nd Should see some attempts at rising highs returning for us after a  cold start so some temperatures vying with each other so don’t expect a settled outlook. Some static  causes quick outbursts, but these shouldn’t stay around for long, although I’m not guaranteeing that by last thing at night some heavier showery weather could arrive due to a slightly unsettled atmosphere, difficult to forecast how far the drought conditions are interfering with precipitation at this time of year of writing in February…certainly wide of flood levels, but both the moon, and Venus are heralding either a heavy downpour from turn of day i.e 12-1:00 am, or else lots of cloud and mistiness, highs develop during the day with breezy but fair conditions, any bad weather looks to be moving south and off the east coast hopefully….
 
Seismicity is high also and news of EQ +/-2-3 days around this date. N Westerlies keep things mainly dry for us
 
23rd Any rain will be over to the west today and we should have a normal summer day seasonally average temps
24th Rain could arrive early in the morning before sunrise but a warmer sunnier day develops and it should be warm with a nice evening to enjoy outdoors
25 Some haze clouds or mists around at birth of day temps could be a bit muggy winds are strong NW turning to brisk and gusty by mid morning and more westerly later in the day. I expect clear skies during the day some cloud
likely but electric blue skies by evening.
 
26th July -2nd August
No rain mid day to midnight is usually what happens for this phase but it is only a 90% rule of thumb. But even this kind of rule is helpful for those planning summer events.
Temps are a little on the cooler side for this phase, some breezy to gusty weather along with some good outdoor conditions and sunshine.
 
26th -27th  Rain warning for NW regions we should get some dry breezy weather with afternoon southerlies taking over from early day gusty westerlies
 
28th some good outdoor conditions cold though, but sunny and some brisk westerlies until late evening.
29th A showery outlook for today cold, sun with cloud and breeziness
 
30th Some warmer temps mid day but these could be just cool to moderate temps. Fair generally but some rain or showery intervals especially late evening 11 pm approx.
31st Some cold pockets around today so take a wrap with you if going outdoors. Sun with cloud some temps starting to rise by mid day but it is breezy and a bit of a squally outlook for today. This could see some sporadic showery localised spray and showers in the afternoon
1st similar to yesterday clearer skies by evening, southerlies can thicken the atmosphere a little and breed some cloudiness. Could be some fast sudden sporadic and spartan hail or sleet but not the kind that linger…
2nd will be a nice sunny outdoor day with temps above ave.

Feedback Long Range Weather Forecast W Yorkshire and Yonder 3rd-19th July 2012

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FEEDBACK 3rd-11th July
Certainly there was a weather battle but only one person I know in the whole of the UK could insist drought was ruling the summer, and she lives in Oxfordshire. However, by the end of the week she apologised as more rains created floods to Cornwall ensuring she could no longer continue believing we were in the grip of drought as her town remained dry whilst the rest of us watched flood headlines raging all week!

Unsettled air certainly raged around and static burst arrived here by 4th and on 5th we were treated to a mega 1 hourly amount of thunderous outbursts with lightening and almost monsoon levels of rain by 6-8 pm Thursday 5th.
The drought was finally even if reluctantly, declared over as the last four water authorities in the south removed the dreaded hosepipe ban as waters welled up everywhere and overflowed, leaving no one in any doubt that we were having a washout summer season!

EARTHQUAKES
The seismic indicators brought an avalanche in Mont Blanc mountains where sadly two men from our region were killed by an avalanche along with others attempting to climb the French alps. I also expected reports of an EQ to Beijing region of China but the nearest I got was M6.3 – 99km S of Dushanzi, China 2012-06-29 21:07:32 UTC which is quite a long way to the SE of Bejjing which was where I expected a hit to be honest……
The Kazakstan ones weren’t in evidence for Omsk and Alma Ata but these hit Russia and I need to check if they are along the path I picked out for Omsk etc…
1 5.1 285km E of Kuril’sk, Russia 2012-07-11 02:50:02 45.344°N 151.519°E 49.3
2 5.7 281km E of Kuril’sk, Russia 2012-07-11 02:31:17 45.414°N 151.467°E
3 Quite a few at 4 or 5 magnitude east of Kuril’sk —– i.e 4.7 265km E of Kuril’sk, Russia 2012-07-08 16:58:28 45.465°N 151.259°E 49.4 and one bigger 6 + magnitude one for 8th July 6.0 268km E of Kuril’sk, Russia 2012-07-08 11:33:02 45.502°N 151.285°E

In fact most of the EQ for Russia were beyond 140 East, so it is interesting that I didn’t hit the target for my forecast on this occasion.

FLOODS AND LIGHTENING STRIKES TO EAST OF US

I did warn in February in my summer season blog, that countries one hour ahead of us for this phase would be the worst hit by weather indicators I saw in charts for this season and it seems I was correct and clearly Russia, one hour and more ahead of us, was one of the worst hit with 2 months rainfall arriving in only a few hours to cause chaos, Krymsk saw a third of houses flooded on 7th, some areas has flash floods rising seven metres high, and the port at Novorossiisk in the Krasnador region had to shut down. Many more similar headlines kept pouring out of Russia this phase accompanying some of our own weather headlines which were nearly as bad. People further east in Russia were hit by lightening striking children during unusually heavy storm in Moscow. 13.07.2012: 14 killed in lightning strikes in India’s storms JULY 13: Man survived after lightning strike in East Kazakhstan region. 11 July 2012, 11:04. I did warn that lightening strikes would be spectacular for this phase……….and they certainly were with headlines streaming in from all over the globe of hits to buildings and people in the northern hemisphere at least…

OUR LOCAL WEATHER RESULT
3rd was overcast very mild temps muggy conditions high humidity and a mild breeze but showery by 8pm onwards.
4th Cloudy muggy and showery by 4 pm thunderstorm by 5 40pm
5th-6th Dry bright but cloudy daytime but prolonged thundery outbursts by 6 50pm followed by torrents of rain till 8 pm then again into following day which was a complete washout as rain continued to pour relentlessly accompanied by mists I had said would characterise this summer’s weather. ( a good forecast for rain and static outbursts but a poor forecast for sunshine and blue skies in between!!)
7th No rain thank goodness, but the ground was exceedingly soggy and it was muggy and misty from the drenching of previous two days. Sun spells by late am full cloud for afternoon but sunshine till 7pm and just when you
thought it couldn’t rain any more it did at 7 10 pm…..in fact flood warnings were springing up all over the UK by now and sales of wellies and brollies must have rocketed…..
8th Ground soggy and spongy and slippery, cloudy am, temps mild, no breeze, cloudy pm showery rainy by 5pm approx very muggy conditions for evening. (not good days for the sunbathing I said you would get then–not enough
sunshine around !)
9th Sun spells to let us know what we are missing, cloudy though but dry, thank goodness, then heavy showers 1 pm onwards but drier later in day (unsettled as forecast)
10th Mists due to moisture till 2 pm overcast, drizzles and mizzles to keep us miserable no breeze and a cool temp. ( I forecast for highs but it didn’t feel that way though there was a lot of humidity around)
11th Some sun spells again and clouds around a quick shower by 9 30 am dry later and breezy, then sunny by 4pm average temps but still a washout summer, but this days forecast wasn’t too way out thank goodness…

I’m not surprised my forecasts are not as clearly successful as normal as the weather patterns are so unusually unsettled the lack of a stable pattern was difficult for any met to be confident of. I said ”Erratic weather conditions at this part of the weather phase…..” and for sure this was the best thing I could have forecast……erratic weather conditions seem to be the norm now for summer 2012……..Hebden Bridge got flooded three times by this stage of summer and within a few weeks of each other, not only that there are two many floods reports from all around the UK for me to incorporate them into my feedback so I’m just keeping to local outcomes as above, as I have recorded them.

FEEDBACK 12th July-19th

12th a dry day mostly sunny and some cloud around. fairly accurate forecast though no showers around at sunrise as forecast
13th Early shower overcast day so not a good forecast for today though as expected a dry day and no rain arrived
14th Tiny amount of spray 4 pm but otherwise sunny with cloud spells, breezy with ave temps but varying hot spells in sun. A very good forecast for today
15th Sunny day blue skies with white fluffy clouds, but winds were strong at times and blustery keeping things cool in exposed areas. Another good forecast, not sure what direction these cool winds were though
16th Overcast day some spray around 10 40 am, then rain around from 1-2pm, remaining cloudy. Very breezy afternoon. A very good forecast.
17th Very light spartan showers from early morning and again around 9am in our locality. I suspect other localities got variances on these time wise, showery attempts at intermittent intervals during the afternoon along with some sunspells and cloud. Showers continued at intervals in the evening when winds got stronger and more blustery. a fairly accurate forecast for today.
18th Overcast start, strong blustery winds/breezes. A mini shower around 9 am with clearer sunnier afternoon occasional high temps varying with cooling strong alternating breeze/windy weather
19thVery heavy very early morning shower leaving the morning feeling refreshed and cool, but temps got warmer during daytime with sunshine and cloud, though some localised spartan showers did browse around.

So long range forecasting arrives back on track at last…..
Don’t forget my full season is published on http://www.amazingweather.wordpress.com always months ahead of the weather arriving with no last minute updates.

West Yorks and Yonder Weather Forecast 3rd – 19th July

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Image

3rd July-11th July

Drought indicator battle with planets trying to produce cloud and unsettled air and more lightening or static outbursts for this phase. However, it does look like there are some windy trends that upset fine days and from the outset some disruptive weather unsettles the finer outlook. The drought phase, lasting till 2017 I might add, is hitting the south more than the north and looks like getting more noticeable for this time of year with farmers struggling to keep plants properly nourished.

There are some seismic indicators as well and this echoes disturbances such as those at Zermatt in January when an avalanche trapped people in the mountain village, also by end of January we had record snow and disruptions toair travel as well as people dying on street in eastern Europe due to the lows, with Heathrow and other airports encountering problems with flight schedules as well. This freak weather looks likely to occur again due to weather disturbances high up in the atmosphere, bringing in news from Eastern Europe about record breaking weather–could be t/storms that feature, causing problems.

This is a full moon phase normally the barbecue phase for summer addicts or for evening walks and al fresco dining. I honestly don’t think you will be disappointed, although the sun is apogee at the moment and this often means lower temps at this time of year, so I’m surprised to see so many planets battling to keep things summery for this phase, thank goodness.. I do expect some lightening strikes to be quite spectacular for this phase.

3rd brings in some gusty windy westerlies but still some southerlies around keeping things seasonally mild but I do expect temps to climb today also. Cooler outlook for evening so wrap up warm if you are planning a barbecue, and Ido recommend putting the fire in a sheltered place to avoid winds blowing flames where you don’t want them to be! The air is unsettled and as mentioned in the previous forecast I can’t rule out a flash t/storm for today ( oh dear as I post this on 5th I see I’m one day out again for the t/storm forecast as this occurred yesterday 4th at 5 40 pm!! WHOOPS how bad am I getting…yes I know I did these in February but I still shouldn’t be a day out with forecasts, sorry everyone) but these will be localised static outbursts and it’s difficult to see at this stage exactly where they’ll fall, but I do expect them to be over as quickly as they began with no lingering. (no it didn’t linger, but brought a five minute downpour, then another by 7-8pm speedily over so accurate on that score)

4th Could see some cloud around after a cool night but I also expect some sunshine along with continuing sporadic and gusty westerlies vying with southerly breezes. Some strong NW arrive mid afternoon but southerlies are staying around for a few days to stop things from turning exceedingly stormy or too cold. Temps will drop suddenly so be prepared to wrap up when they do.

5th-6th More static around lightening strikes potential, erratic hail, isolated showers very localised, with very strong gusty NW winds active veering strong gusty and westerly late at night on 5th staying until 6th. Some sunshine in between sporadic static outbursts, in fact there should be a lot of sunshine and blue skies making it an excellent time for photographers.

 Some seismic elements around as well so news of either volcanic outpourings or big EQ expected +/- 2-3 days. One of the areas singled out are Omsk and Alma Ata regions of Kazakhstan…..East region of Beijing alsovulnerable…..haven’t time to look at the southern hemisphere…

7th-8th Should see temps rising higher, drought conditions causing problems but good days for sunbathing I expect…..outlook unsettled from tomorrow so make the most of this trend

9th A scattered showery outlook, but not heavy for us if they do arrive here, very spartan indeed and a fine outlook for temps rising for our region and beyond. Changes begin to come in weather wise. Some fogs and mists or hazes could create problems for air traffic at this time expect increasing humidity and cloud from today.
Some windy conditions cause problems possibly to the SW region of England I’ll be on watch for tornado breeding but always get foiled by the fact that our British press prefers US tornado reporting to our own, making it impossible for anyone seeing a localised tornado to see the importance of reporting it sadly…….. Weather  conditions begin to change today with a more unsettled outlook reigning, isolated storms can spring up for some regions and by 10th it does look like the west is looking at some scattered showery conditions coming in after the highs create more static. The 10th looks like more highs are around with some northerly flows

11th Most likely day for rain to arrive from the west and travel east, but there is a drought indicator as well, but this may just have blocked precipitation being too heavy in previous days, so although temps are seasonally high I don’t see this rain being heavy or prolonged, more like a sudden outburst that soon passes over and refreshes the atmosphere from early morning Erratic weather conditions at this part of the weather phase…..

11th-19th July
Some high temps arrive again halfway through this phase but we can also expect some cold and draftiness from variable  breezes and windiness gusting at times from 11-15th Easterlies get stronger by 15th with gusty westerlies strong and speedy at times by afternoon on 16th, but temps climb faster from today. Rain more than likely for 17th and 18th

11th As previously forecast
12th A dry sunny day expected any showery outbreaks would arrive at 6-7 am potentially
13th Some cloud around from 1am with potential for shower but by sunrise it looks like a fine weather outlook for today. seasonally average temps continuing
14th Sunshine and cloud around with warmth from sun, clouds expected to form by evening when some easterlies get kick started and warm air could create haziness to watery areas.
15th Fine start some clouds forming quick sporadic probably localised showery precip around 5-6 am cool start but sunny with temps rising as sun gets higher easterlies prevailing
16th Cloud or rain expected mid morning and some quick hail showers can arrive bringing localised sporadic scattered outbreaks again by late afternoon. Gusty westerlies could be bringing in some rain late afternoon, getting gusty and speedy at times.
17th Expect some high temps to reign today but around 1am some showery stuff could water the garden and this could be a longer rainy spell than in previous days So it could be a cloudy start that develops into sunshine and blue skies as the day progresses with warmth increasing.
18th Some mists cloud or haziness, even showery stuff at start of day and into the morning but a fine afternoon is likely with temps climbing a little higher than yesterday, but this could result in some cloudiness with showery stuff by evening ….19th looks wild and windywait for next phase to be posted………………

 

Here’s hoping I redeem my forecasting for these two weeks of weather predicitions:-)

FEEDBACK Weather 19th June- 3rd July W Yorks and Yonder

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FEEDBACK 19th June-3rd July
The overview for this phase said it all. Glastonbury didn’t happen this year but we did see people in muddy wellies at the Isle of White festival where mud baths were enjoyed by all as the foul weather over-ran the event, but at least everyone remained in good festival spirit!

20th was bright and sunny with some breezes and warm temps but cloudy by evening heralding the very heavy rain for 21st and 22nd No blue skies at all, so a bad forecast, but then I was expecting cooler conditions to reign but it rained instead —torrentially!
23rd was drier with some sun spells and the occasional showery outburst with stronger windy spells as well and much cooler temps. I’m not sure which region got t/storms but none encountered in my locality. I think the 23rd forecast for rain continuing overnight was two days out and should have been dated 21st/22nd weather….must do better at timing next season!!
24th Showery before 4 am suny by 8-9 am with occasional showery spells later and strong gusty winds rather than nebulous breezes that I expected.
25th was a dry day with some sun spells………….
26th-27th unfortunately no feedback as I wasn’t here to keep a check on outcomes for the weather………though I expect my forecasts for these two days were more accurate than for the previous days…..

I did warn in my introduction to the season that this summer would echo that of 1685 when similar planetary conditions brought drought, paricularly for the south, until June…..and certainly this general forecast seems to be coming true. By the end of June hosepipe bans were lifted, especially to the south.

 

27th June- 3rd July 

I can’t give feedback for the 27th -3rd July due to being in the south of England where weather to East Anglia at least was fairer than in our region. The 28th June gave amazing weather events to the NE where mudslides captured headlines, and elsewhere rain caused havoc with rail and road travel, but not to the SE region where I was….In fact though a t/storm was forecast by the met for my SE region we got only a spattering of a shower before 9 am and a lovely sunny day to follow…

My own W Yorks and Yonder forecast was brief for this phase with only an overview which didn’t mention the flooding and chaos, and I have no idea how bad it was in W Yorks. I’ll be honest and say that the chart for this overview was challenging and I was very wary of any interpretation it defied!

Certainly by 1-3rd fairer days broke out, as forecast, with temps mild and muggy, haven’t had time to check my forecast for static in Scotland, but certainly the muggy conditions contained static energy to these parts too, leading to showery outbursts late on 3rd.

The overview I gave seems wide of the mark for I forecast fine weather to the east coast, which was where the NE mudslides occurred on 28th, but I was on the SE coast, and my forecast was fine for that region! Oh dear, I seem to be off kilter and not as accurate as usual for this season. Certainly it wasn’t a good forecast for the NE, and I have no idea how accurate I was for W Yorks either.

Thankfully my summer forecasts only go up to the end of August for the summer season and lessons have been learned which I can only hope stand me in a more accurate state for the forecasts for the rest of the year.

By June we had many planets changing signs and the Venus Sun combination, which was challenging the usual outcomes of forecasts I am used to reading, but hopefully I should be returning to my higher accuracy levels for September onwards……fingers crossed…

Interesting though that the usual Full Moon clearer weather pattern isn’t happening this year, it seems to be the New Moon that’s bringing the highs and clearer outlook. and the quarter Moon sometimes bringing worse weather than the three quarter Moon…….this could be a clue to planning my next getaway for good weather so I can make the most of what is becoming the wash out summer I told friends to expect back in February…..

19th June – 3rd July Summer Weather W Yorks and Yonder 2012

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19th-27th June

This phase interrupts the previous good weather but then it is the solstice and usually at this time we get used to seeing lots of people in muddy wellies trying to find their way around Glastonbury and taking unplanned mud baths. ( new edit—Glastonbury doesn’t meet this year, so don’t expect a repeat of these scenes-we already had them at the Jubilee Pageant 🙂  )
For this week for us there are some fair and not so fair indications arriving and it took a lot of time to tease out what the planets were trying to tell me so bear with me for this forecast, hopefully I got the right messages……but no guarantees.

There will be some fair conditions overall but also some t’storms around elevated places like hills and moor tops due to static conditions that are brewing. We can expect sudden low temps to herald not just hail showers and sleet, even snow showers on some elevations, but also some frostiness overnight. Mists are prevalent in valleys and near watery places and more likely to arrive mid phase…. The mildest temps look likely to break out from 24th which should be a fine day if only it wasn’t for the misty start that may stay around and create haze that blocks full on sun, but I hopefully am wrong about this…..

20th  Quick hail or sleet outbreak potential around 9-11 am, with a fair breezy showery outlook before sunrise. Temps look warmer to east and south today, we may get some good temps in our locality but beware sudden drops in temps and expect cold pockets to be strong by evening along with cloud appearing to gather. Easterlies begin to flow by 8-9pm warning of cooler temps to arrive and some precipitation likely by 9-10 pm it could be sleet or hail, even snow on high ground, with frostiness around to greet tomorrow. Some potential for prolonged showery intervals hail, sleet if not t/storms very late evening.

21st Potential for a frosty start with more hail, sleet or snow outbreaks expected before or around sunrise, temps may rise slightly as sun tries to rise to solstice position, but mostly cold conditions reign, with clearer skies. Scattered showers for during the day but some blue skies with cloud heavier at 2-3pm Some southerlies keep things from being wintery, some gusty NW can arise on exposed areas

22nd Fair outlook from sunrise, after some quick showery attempts at start of 22nd,  with some brilliant blue skies and lovely clear atmosphere during the day, I hope. Temps on the low side with scattered showery intervals likely by evening into early next day,  over as soon as they begin. Southerly flows stop temps getting too biting but I’m not ruling out frosty ovenight conditions or this could be a marker for dew on the ground so be warned if camping….occasional gusty N Westerlies around so make sure your tent is well pegged if camping on exposed areas………

23rd Flash t/storms expected along with fierce hail or sleet outbreaks combine with gusty north westerlies. Mists and haze and cloud can hover around watery places and valleys, a lot of humditiy around keeping things chilly, cloudy as well by  evening with some heavy showery conditions hail and sleet again, but this looks heavier, though not prolonged into overnight.

24th Looks like a better day with a misty start but if the sun can make its way through the haze it should become a fair day, then there should be some warming temps just a little muggy with haziness around and nebulous breezes

25th Summer is breaking through in case you hadn’t noticed but where is all that nice weather I wonder…..This afternoon looks a little damp with even some mizzly drizzly stuff around, but temps feel less hostile for a summer outlook, but this condition could result in some fogs and mistiness. Luckily some northerlies are around from evening trying to clear up the muggy trend.

26th-27th look like better days with some warmth from sun and slight rise in temps, much clearer skies by 27th which should bring a fine night. Venus finally stops her seeming backward motion on these days also.

27th June-3rd July

I’m only giving a quick tour for this phase as it does look mostly settled weather wise with some fresh atmosphere around 29th and 30th and lots of sunshine as well to follow. There could be some windy and breezy outbreaks now and again, but nothing too upsetting for outdoor activity.

Looking at my charts the east coast seems to be the place to be for this phase as the sun looks likely to shine down those shores……. This looks like a fine weather phase so make the most of it. Temps look set to climb by 2-3rd and this could bring some static outburst to north Scotland at beginning and for us by the end.

The 3rd is unsettled and there could be a risk of lightening or other static outburst for some along with some windiness beginning to be a little fiercer.