WINTER 2017 WEATHER BLOG

With not enough time to deliver a forecast for winter 2017 I decided instead to blog my old piece of research into references found in old texts about climate change, that old debate about whether the world is square round, doomed or saved….or just endlessly fascinating.

I am blogging this tp give fodder to the debate on climate change and global warming, with no bias or preference, just a tour of the debate over the centuries but in brief.

http://www.ebooksread.com/authors-eng/charles-lyell/the-students-elements-of-geology-hci/page-23-the-students-elements-of-geology-hci.shtml shows evidence of climate change through plants.

http://www.icecap.us/
http://www.sacred-texts.com/earth/pf/pf12.htm

Paradise Found, by William F. Warren, [1885], at sacred-texts.com

Some interesting findings to suggest that rather than being scaremongered into believing carbon emissions and burning fossils will destroy the planet ( though for sure some of the e methods of exploiting them do cause tremendous pollution and irreversible desecration of the environment), should we be delighting in the fact that climate change could take us back to our very origins. Here’s a tour of some ancient texts reportage of climate change down the ages:-

CHAPTER IV.
THE TESTIMONY OF PREHISTORIC CLIMATOLOGY.
Ver Iliad erat, ver magnus agebat Orbis.—Vergil.

One of the most startling and important of the scientific discoveries of the last twenty years has been that of the relics of a luxuriant Miocene flora in various parts of the Arctic regions. It is a discovery which was totally unexpected, and is even now considered by many men of science to be completely unintelligible, but it is so thoroughly established, and it has such an important bearing on the subjects we are discussing in the present volume, that it is necessary to lay a tolerably complete outline of the facts before our readers.—A. R. Wallace 1880).

It is now an established conclusion that the great aggressive faunas and floras of the continents have originated in the North, some of them within the Arctic Circle.—Principal Dawson (1883).

All the evidence at our command points to the Northern hemisphere as the birth-place of the class, Mammalia, and probably of all the orders.—Alfred Russel Wallace.

Another well-known naturalist says: “It should also be observed that in the beginning of things the continents were built up from North to South,—such has been, at least, the history of the North and South American and the Europeo-Asiatic and the African continents; and thus it would appear that north of the equator, at least, animals slowly migrated southward, keeping pace as it were with the growth and southward extension of the grand land-masses which appeared above the sea in the Paleozoic ages. Hence, scanty as is the Arctic and Temperate region of the earth at the present time, in former ages these regions were as prolific in life as the tropics now are, the latter regions, now so vast, having through all the Tertiary and Quaternary ages been undisturbed by great geological revolutions, and meanwhile been colonized by emigrants driven down by the incoming cold of the glacial period.” …..

……Professor Friedrich Müller, of Vienna, and Dr. Moritz Wagner, both of whom place the probable cradle of the race in some high latitude in Europe or Asia, lay the utmost stress upon the mighty climatic revolution which came in with the glacial age, ascribing to it the most stupendous and transforming influences that have ever affected mankind. 1 In our view the deterioration of natural environment reduced the
vigor and longevity of the race; in theirs it changed one of the tribes of the animal world into men! Which of these views is the more rational may safely be left to the reader’s judgment. Few will be disposed to accept the doctrine that man is simply a judiciously-iced pithecoid.

….We must now be prepared to admit that God can plant an Eden even in Spitzbergen; that the present state of the world is by no means the best possible in relation to climate and vegetation; that there have been and might be again conditions which could convert the ice-clad Arctic regions into blooming Paradises.—Principal J. W. Dawson.

Mr. Scribner’s answer to the question, “Where did Life begin?” human as well as floral and faunal life should be included. After examining these fresh lines of evidence it is believed that the reader will find more impressive than ever the words with which our author concludes his charming tractate:—

“Thus the Arctic zone, which was earliest in cooling down to the first and highest heat degree in the great life-gamut, was also first to become fertile, first to bear life, and first to send forth her progeny over the earth. So, too, in obedience to the universal order of things, she was first to reach maturity, first to pass all the subdivisions of life-bearing climate and finally the lowest heat degree in the great life-range, and so the first to reach sterility, old age, degeneration, and death. And now, cold and lifeless, wrapped in her snowy winding sheet, the once fair mother of us all rests in the frozen embrace of an ice-bound and everlasting sepulchre.”

http://www.sacred-texts.com/atl/rag/index.htm
RAGNAROK:THE AGE OF FIRE AND GRAVEL.BYIGNATIUS DONNELLY,
[1883]

Ragnarok, The Age of Fire and Gravel, proposes that a comet impacted the Earth several tens of thousands of years ago; the impact produced the ‘Drift’ layers of gravel which have been attributed to the Ice ages; this event destroyed a civilization which had high technology, a civilization which vanished completely except for some myths; the disaster was accompanied by catastrophic fire followed by years-long cloud cover and extreme cold. Humanity survived only by hiding in deep caves; when they re-emerged they had to restart civilization from scratch. Donnelly provides extensive geological, archeological, astronomical and mythological evidence for this theory. The book is not academic and often sensationalistic, but his populist style does not seem to detract from the argument.

Today, mass extinction from cometary impact is considered mainstream science, supported by a huge body of physical evidence.
More recently the book When the Earth Nearly Died When the Earth Nearly Died by D.S. Allan and J.B. Delair [1995] (reissued as Cataclysm: Compelling Evidence of a Cosmic Catastrophe in 9500 B.C.), brought together a mass of evidence that a catastrophic impact of extrasolar material occurred in 9,500 B.C.

You can also read how it may be that the Zoroastrians may have left us evidence that they were preparing for a nuclear disaster and how it may be that climate change is a result of extra terrestrial impacts of earth with comets and other objects…..

http://www.sacred-texts.com/afr/we/index.htm Wonderful Ethiopians
of the Ancient Cushite Empire by Drusilla Dunjee Houston
[1926, no renewal] read how the desert regions of Africa have been subjected to horrors of horrors….CLIMATE CHANGE!

CHAPTER III. ANCIENT ETHIOPIA, THE LAND.

The Nubo-Egyptian desert was once abundantly watered and a well timbered region. With the exclusion of the narrow Nile valley, all of this is generally a barren waste today. Geology reveals that in the primitive ages, this country had a moist climate like the Congo basin; but these conditions prevailed in remote geological times, probably before the creation of the delta. The changes that turned the Sahara into a burning waste in time made Upper Egypt dry and torrid. Keane describes its climate as often fatal to all but full blooded natives. Under those brazen skies the children of even Euro-African half castes seldom survive after the tenth or twelfth year. Passing southward, we find that ancient edifices occur throughout the whole extent of Ethiopia. In the olden days, the climate there was favorable to the nurturing and development of a high type of civilization and produced an Ethiopian so superior to the later types, that they were called by the ancients, “the handsomest men of the primeval world.”

http://www.sacred-texts.com/nam/ca/lly/lly64.htm

The Lore and the Lure of the Yosemite The Indians Their Customs, Legends and Beliefs, and the Story of Yosemite Herbert Earl Wilson
[1922]

Not only Africa but the Yosemite Valley as well…..was affected by climate change and not a motor car or airplane in sight….

‘It is known that since the beginning of time the surface of the earth has undergone various changes brought about by its cooling and shrinking and by internal eruptions and disturbances.

During one of these disturbances the region between the Pacific Ocean and the Rocky Mountains was affected. Here the surface of the earth was broken into great blocks and one of these, four hundred miles long and eighty miles wide, was pushed up at its eastern edge, separating it from the depressed region to the east, leaving a steep scarp, and pulled down at its western edge giving it a gentle slope to the sea.

The streams which flowed in diverse directions before the uplift of this block now were given a definite course flowing down the slope to the west and forming broad shallow valleys. One of these streams was the Merced River which now flows through the Yosemite Valley.

After a great period of time there occurred a second upward thrust which raised the eastern edge of the block to an elevation of several thousand feet making a distinct mountain range, later known as the Sierra Nevada. This second uplift gave to the western side a greater incline so that the Merced River was given enough velocity to enable it, through the millions of years elapsing before a third series of uplifts, to cut a narrower valley within its old broad valley.

The tributary streams which flowed parallel to the range and at right angles to the Merced River were not benefited by the tilting of the block, hence the deeper the main river cut the higher the side streams were left above it. With the broadening and leveling of its bed the Merced lost its cutting power and flowed lazily over the valley floor.

http://www.sacred-texts.com/cla/gibbon/01/daf01026.htm
Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire, Vol. 1 by Edward Gibbon 1776

We can learn ever so much about the impact of climate change in this book……
Find out how Germany has been affected by CLIMATE CHANGE…….which meant that vines brought to the dinner table were still frozen posing a problem for hungry diners…and find out if the reindeer ever lived in Germany…

‘The modern philosophers of Sweden seem agreed that the waters of the Baltic gradually sink in a regular proportion, which they have ventured to estimate at half an inch every year. Twenty centuries ago the flat country of Scandinavia must have been covered by the sea; while the high lands rose above the waters, as so many islands of various forms and dimensions. Such, indeed, is the notion given us by Mela, Pliny, and Tacitus, of the vast countries round the Baltic. See in the Bibliotheque Raisonnee, tom. xl. and xlv. a large abstract of Dalin’s History of Sweden, composed in the Swedish language.

Diodorus Siculus, l. v. p. 340, edit. Wessel. Herodian, l. vi. p. 221. Jornandes, c. 55. On the banks of the Danube, the wine, when brought to table, was frequently frozen into great lumps, frusta vini. Ovid. Epist. ex Ponto, l. iv. 7, 9, 10. Virgil. Georgic. l. iii. 355. The fact is confirmed by a soldier and a philosopher, who had experienced the intense cold of Thrace. See Xenophon, Anabasis, l. vii. p. 560, edit. Hutchinson. Note: The Danube is constantly frozen over. At Pesth the bridge is usually taken up, and the traffic and communication between the two banks carried on over the ice. The Rhine is likewise in many parts passable at least two years out of five. Winter campaigns are so unusual, in modern warfare, that I recollect but one instance of an army crossing either river on the ice. In the thirty years’ war, (1635,) Jan van Werth, an Imperialist partisan, crossed the Rhine from Heidelberg on the ice with 5000 men, and surprised Spiers. Pichegru’s memorable campaign, (1794-5,) when the freezing of the Meuse and Waal opened Holland to his conquests, and his cavalry and artillery attacked the ships frozen in, on the Zuyder Zee, was in a winter of unprecedented severity. – M. 1845.

Note: The passage of Caesar, “parvis renonum tegumentis utuntur,” is obscure, observes Luden, (Geschichte des Teutschen Volkes,) and insufficient to prove the reindeer to have existed in Germany. It is supported however, by a fragment of Sallust. Germani intectum rhenonibus corpus tegunt. – M. It has been suggested to me that Caesar (as old Gesner supposed) meant the reindeer in the following description. Est bos cervi figura cujus a media fronte inter aures unum cornu existit, excelsius magisque directum (divaricatum, qu ?) his quae nobis nota sunt cornibus. At ejus summo, sicut palmae, rami quam late diffunduntur. Bell. vi. – M. 1845.

http://www.sacred-texts.com/chr/ecf/008/0080496.htm Ante-Nicene Fathers, Vol. VIII The Twelve Patriarchs, Excerpts and Epistles, The Clementina, Apocrypha, Decretals, Memoirs of Edessa and Syriac Documents, Remains of the First Ages

A good source of ancient documentation quite long but this link takes you to the bit about climate…http://www.sacred-texts.com/chr/ecf/008/0080496.htm

Are the Romans responsible for climate change…..read on….

Chapter XXVII.—Doctrine of “Climates” Untenable.

“Moreover, we ought to remember the things which have been mentioned, that in the one country of India there are both persons who feed on human flesh, and persons who abstain even from the flesh of sheep, and birds, and all living creatures; and that the Magusæi marry their mothers and daughters not only in Persia, but that in every nation where they dwell they keep up their incestuous customs. 847 Then, besides, we have mentioned also innumerable nations, which are wholly ignorant of the studies of literature, and also some wise men have changed the laws themselves in several places; and some laws have been voluntarily abandoned, on account of the impossibility of observing them, or on account of their baseness. Assuredly we can easily ascertain how many rulers have changed the laws and customs of nations which they have conquered, and subjected them to their own laws. This is manifestly done by the Romans, who have brought under the Roman law and the civil decrees almost the whole world, and all nations who formerly lived under various laws and customs of their own. It follows, therefore, that the stars of the nations which have been conquered by the Romans have lost their climates and their portions.

Origin of Species, by Charles Darwin, 6th ed. [1872], at sacred-texts.com

Let’s see what Darwin had to say on the issue of climate…but surely he isn’t arguing we can adapt to climate change ….is he???….

‘The capacity of enduring the most different climates by man himself and by his domestic animals, and the fact of the extinct elephant and rhinoceros having formerly endured a glacial climate, whereas the living species are now all tropical or sub-tropical in their habits, ought not to be looked at as anomalies, but as examples of a very common flexibility of constitution, brought, under peculiar circumstances, into action.

How much of the acclimatisation of species to any peculiar climate is due to mere habit, and how much to the natural selection of varieties having different innate constitutions, and how much to both means combined, is an obscure question. That habit or custom has some influence, I must believe, both from analogy and from the incessant advice given in agricultural works, even in the ancient encyclopaedias of China, to be very cautious in transporting animals from one district to another. And as it is not likely that man should have succeeded in selecting so many breeds and sub-breeds with constitutions specially fitted for their own districts, the result must, I think, be due to habit. On the other hand, natural selection would inevitably tend to preserve those individuals which were born with constitutions best adapted to any country which they inhabited.

http://www.sacred-texts.com/chr/tbr/tbr094.htm
Now lets visit and old treatise named the Bible and see what Revelations we can find there …..millennia old I might add, that inform us of how old climate change actually is….THE NEW EARTH.
Rev. 21:1.
“Thus saith the Lord that created the heavens; He is God; that formed the earth and made it; He established it, He created it not a waste, He formed it to be inhabited.” See also Jer. 4:23-26. What caused the earth to become a waste after its original creation is not expressly stated. Some awful catastrophe must have befallen it. It is clear from the account of the Fall of Adam and Eve that sin existed before man was created. The inference is from Ezek. 28:12-19, and Isa. 14:12-14, that when the earth was originally created that Satan was placed in charge of it, and that he and his angels rebelled and led astray the inhabitants of the Original Earth, and that the Pre-Adamite race are now the demons who as they are permitted liberty seek to re-embody themselves in human beings that they may again dwell on the earth. It is clear that the Original Earth was inhabited, or God would not have blessed Adam and Eve and said–“Be fruitful and multiply and REPLENISH the Earth.” Gen. 1:28. It does not follow however that those inhabitants were human beings like ourselves. No human remains have been found ante-dating the creation of man.

http://www.sacred-texts.com/chr/tbr/index.htm The Book of Revelationby Clarence Larkin [1919]

‘Is there a conflict between the biblical and scientific theories of the origin of our planet and climate change??

There can be no question but what the Earth in its original formation required millions of years. There is ample time in the statement of Gen. 1:1 that–“In the BEGINNING God ‘created’ the heaven and the earth,” for all the “Geologic Ages” that science declares were necessary for the creation of the Earth. There is no conflict between the Bible and Science as to the time occupied in the formation of the Earth.

Happily, we are told not to worry about the earth being overcome by a natural process of climate change because:-
‘NEW HEAVEN AND A NEW EARTH.” 2. Pet. 3:13. These words of Peter reveal the fact that this Earth is to pass through 3 stages. First the Original Earth that “perished” by WATER. Second the Earth that is now, that is to be renovated or cleansed by FIRE. And the New Earth that is to exist forever. See the Chart “The Three Stages of the Earth.”

Goodness me…. a new earth that will last forever……..amazing…

“And I saw a new Heaven and a NEW EARTH: for the first heaven and the first earth were passed away; and there was no more sea.”

http://www.sacred-texts.com/piri/index.htm
Why haven’t we got a map to show how the UK was once joined to mainland Europe and other geo changes that would give us a better idea about how climate change is a natural process, pre the motor car, air travel and energy giants trying to charge us more for setting up sustainable fuel systems that none of us will be able to afford?

Such a map does exist though. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Piri_Reis_map
The Piri Reis map is a patchwork which has gaps (most notably the Drake Passage between South America and Antarctica) which can be explained as non-overlapping areas between the source maps. Maps of the Ancient Sea Kings and Hapgood’s other book The Earth’s Shifting Crust, in which he advanced a theory of polar shifts, are controversial, and earned him the scorn of official academia.

http://www.sacred-texts.com/earth/jei/jei14.htm
A Journey to the Earth’s Interior
by Marshall B. Gardner
[1920]

Finally, in 1999 the http://www.dailycal.org/ featured an article by Westyn Branch-Elliman entitled Longterm Climate Change Due to Astronomical Cycles.

‘’Climate cycles on Earth are directly related to astronomical cycles in the solar system, UC Berkeley researchers have found.
The team of scientists collected evidence of ice ages stored at the bottom of the oceans and found that there is a distinct pattern of cycles – an ice age that lasts approximately 90,000 years is followed by a warm period that lasts approximately 10,000 years.
“Astronomy is responsible for almost all climate changes,” said project leader Richard Muller, a UC Berkeley professor of physics and a researcher at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratories. ‘’
In addition, the researchers examined the astronomical cycles caused by variations in the tilt of Earth’s orbit. They found that the tilt cycles match the cycles of the ice ages.
“When we look at ancient records of planets, these astronomical cycles appear in the climate record,” Muller said.
Due to gravitational forces caused by other planets, the tilt of Earth’s orbit changes depending on the position of these other objects.
“The orbit of the earth around the sun is constantly changing due to the gravitational effects of other planets,” Muller said.
The law of gravitation is dependent on the distance between two objects. When objects are closer together, they exert stronger forces on each other than when they are farther apart.
Other planets orbit the sun, so their proximity to Earth varies over time. Due to gravitational forces exerted by other planets, the tilt of Earth’s orbit changes in a cyclic pattern.
“By using the laws of physics, we can figure out what kind of cycles (other planets) induce on the orbit of the earth,” Muller said.
The two planets that most strongly affect the tilt of Earth’s orbit are Jupiter and Venus, Muller said. Jupiter is large an massive, so the planet exerts strong gravitational forces on Earth. Venus is relatively close to Earth, so it also has a large effect on the tilt of the orbit.
“Jupiter, which is the biggest planet (in our solar system), is the most important,” Muller said. “The other planet that is very important is Venus. Even though it is much smaller, it comes much closer to the earth.”

…………………………………………………. All of civilization has taken place during this short and relatively unusual warm period, which won’t last very long,” Muller said. “We have been through 10,000 (years of this warm period), so some time in the next 10,000 years, another ice age will arrive.”

FOOTNOTE Astro-meteorologists have been watching planetary cycles down millennia using satellite technology to forecast weather and still do so proficiently and accurately today.

Autumn 2016 Long Range Weather Forecast, W Yorks and Yonder

Autumn   Long Range Weather Forecast, W Yorks and Yonder

Astro meteorology has been around for a couple of millennia and hasn’t brought any harm to the planet. Astro mets use tried and tested and highly honed techniques, along with fantastic insights from George McCormack who used Pearce, Goad and other brilliant astro mets,  to add to Kepler and ancient mariner laws of celestial-terrestrial converging , to give long range forecasts of a meteorological nature.

 

We use the original satellite technology that has been around since time began and you can be very assured that long range astro meteorological forecasting doesn’t harm the planet at all.

 

Autumn 2016

Autumn 2016 sees some good weather to enjoy as well as storms from a cyclone east of Trinidad for November, along with widespread floods and travel disruption. Snow to Highland for October, and potential for more snow late November in other parts of GB. The first week of November looks poor for W Yorks and yonder, with strong winds expected but mid November brings the weather dramas to NW Scotland circulating to northern parts of England so watch out for this. 7^th-14^th Nov are best for weather outlook that month.

The first week of October sees thunderstorms circulating, and last two weeks of October seem full of heavy precipitation outbursts which could affect transport to NW regions.

23rd Sept -1st Oct

 

Temps continue on the warmer seasonal range and days prior to this phase could outstrip the headline high of Oct 2014.
Seismic outbursts to southern hemisphere expected around 27th Sept…Tonga/Polynesia region or Southern sandwich Island regions on opposite side of globe….The East coast of Georgia also looks seismically vulnerable or it may just be a revolution breaking out…………Some rain expected heavier to NW regions.

 

23-24th Look to have static around with humidity ruling along with mists and mizzles to east of us. Very high seasonal temps for us to enjoy but this can lead to outbursts of showers too. Cooler temps to NW regions where rain will have cooled before arriving here…23rd warmest of the two days. Durham areas also experiencing higher temps with accompanying outbursts.
25th Could bring some early morning showery conditions but a fairer oulook to folow with some lovely sunshine around during pm fetching early showers after midnight into 26th
26th Highs still operative after overnight cooling with sunshine to enjoy.
27th weather changes to South England some cooling on temps  northern parts of UK some showery conditions, with short sharp showers for us around  9-10 am again at 4-5pm and more outbreaks to NW regions by late eve. Cooler temps.
28th Mists and mizzles, humidity around to eastern parts, could be patchy fogs around but skies clearing slowly.
29th Clearer outlook expects some sunshine.
30th Any showery outburst will be spartan and move eastwards swiftly rapidly changing skies sun with cloud scurrying along finer outlook late pm.
1st NW winds scattered t/storms likely from last night into this morning.

1st-9th October
This phase is unsteady weather wise with scattered t/storms circulating and Autumnal lows setting in to remind us summer doesn’t last forever. Winds becoming lively to gale force potential as the days progress.
Generally drier during the day with scattered t/storms overnight but some days will see scattered showery outbursts.

 

1st Gusty Nor westerlies, localised showery outbursts, winds variable high humidity to valleys with mists forming overnight.
2nd Stronger erratic winds around cold and strong on high and exposed places producing turbulence in high stratas therefore for air transport and exposed bridge and road routes. Strong and gusty to N West so take care on mountains and moors. Sudden erratic outbursts of t/storms in many areas and some precipitation for us overnight 1st-2nd.
3rd Weather to southern England changing with more rain expected there and to Scotland, winds increase speeds blowing around clouds, but we should see some blue skies in between, temps on cold side.
4th Some blue skies with much gloomy cloud around but clearer by evening, should be a drier day.
5th Circulating t/storms to Scotland and NW now, but we should see a dry day with sunshine with static.
6th Dry but gloomy start, fair day but scattered localised outbreaks by evening.
7th-8th Northerlies are strong today trying to see off the bad conditions, winds icy, gusty and stronger on high ground. Cold sharp sudden showery outbursts around breakfast time will be short lived some blue skies around as clouds get blown onward….very cold temps. Winds could move to gale force for some regions…..

9th-16th Oct
A little gloomy over to western shores potential mists and hazes out to sea.

9th Appears to be a dry day with precipitation in very early hours–heavy at times, but winds still strong blowing away clouds that scurry by.
10th Seems like a fair to fine Autumnal day
11th Strong northerlies around with milder temps arriving but not reliable, some mists and haze over watery places, generally fine to fair day otherwise.
12th Cold to varying temps with snow herald for Scotland’s Highlands, skies clearer for us by sunrise, could even be some frost around.
13th  Whippy westerlies, some blue skies, easterlies with gloomier outlook to south but much fairer for us in the north.
14th Weather moving quickly along with more touches of frost around or ovenight mists, fair Autumnal conditions continue
15th -16th Potential precipitation around the start of the day with a promise of some blue skies with icy temps especially on high or exposed places…..short sharp showers could break out to the west, arriving here by 17th…

16^th-22nd October
The Orionid meteor showers arrive by 21st, and with a Full Moon promising clear night skies these should be easy for stargazers to spot.

Not a dry phase and many GB areas will get heavy precipitation around 18th.

 

16th Generally dry with any showers further to west of our region, where it will be heavier.
17th Fair seasonal outlook, breezy, potential frost overnight.
18th  Some haze and early morning rain expected during the day. very heavy and prolonged.
19th Rain to west of us continues heavy, varying temps but sunshine and warmth by mid day for us.
20th Find mid day but Rain 4pm approx, but temps varying from mild to very cold depending on whether you are on high exposed places. Clearer night skies but some erratic gusty winds about continuing into tomorrow
21st-22nd some overnight frosts likely but temps warm in mid day sunshine, winds less active 21st, 22nd warmer day although some northerlies could start up.

22nd-30th October

Not too confident for this phase so don’t use the forecast for anything important………
It does appear to show potential floods to western regions due to heavy precip there on previous days and more added during this phase.
Generally this phase can be greatly unsettled with generally drier outlook early morning to mid day, but no guarantees.
22nd A fair day but growing unsettled towards late evening
23rd Winds active, but some serene weather otherwise
24th Rain, heavy from 2am
25th-27th Cold but weather improves, nice afternoon 26th fast moving systems by 27th
28th rain likely to western parts causing some problems with floods on roads, gale force winds breaking out, likely across southern shores but also high places to NW for a few days with rain brought our way by 30th around 5-8 pm

30th Oct- 7th Nov

A quick tour of this phase which continues the gloomier or droll weather trend  with some dull skies around as easterlies prevail along with fogs, haze mists and mizzly outbursts. The Taurids are expected to play in the skies on 5th but clouds could hinder full view of the spectacle. Winds have potential to be very strong, erratic and troublesome to northern and high regions 5th-7th.

 

30th Rain early morning and dull skies around damp and humid atmosphere
31st Unsettled some good vying with bad trends nothing settles
1st more mellow but haze and mist to low lying places, winds around but not gale force!
2nd Rain looks to be travelling clockwise east and down southern ways, still atmosphere and could see some sun between clouds for us
3rd -4th A warming trend if sun peeks out mid day, high humidity around
5th Southern Taurids display, but expect sun with cloud to continue bewildering any attempts at good weather.
6th mists mizzles and haze around much of GB, snow and frost on high or exposed places autumnally cool.
7th Some strong winds across northern parts sun with cloud expected.

7th -14th Nov
Some thunderstorms expected and likely dates are 12th-13th when conditions get wild and very unsettled. This will interfere with those wanting to see the display of northern Taurids on 12th, but the drama of the weather will more than make up for it!

7th Looks unsettled and a little wild but some fair conditions after mid day
8th Looks like a fair to fine day
9th Fair till evening when showers may arrive
10th Seems fair Autumn day
11th Some haze around but any weather conditions soon move onwards quickly
12th-13th Stormy outlook very unsettled with winds active and gusty too
14th Perigee moon read on……………………..

14th-21st Nov

Stormy outlook batten down the hatches, and if you are out at sea check the shipping forecast for this phase.

14th Sees perigee Full Moon the closest of 2016 so a very intense weather outlook expected.
Cyclone forming to East Trinidad travels here by 23rd, creating sea turbulence for 16th-18th to NW Scotland then travels NE direction to northern England over following days bringing much rain in with strong winds and turbulent weather.
Expect very heavy rain 16th-18th, and unsettled conditions continuing till 23rd. Stormy conditions expected for this phase.

17th Might be too busy weather-wise to see the Leonids display………………….

21st-29th Nov

Seismic events expected for Germany 10E 15 53N15 , while Neptune looks active over the Azores….watch that space…

 

This phase has two halves.
Neptune, Lord of the sea is very powerful now going Direct with his rule on 21st and watch the seas to note his strength. T/storms breaking out in response, with floods likely to NW and lake areas as precipitation adds to former rainfall causing traffic and transport problems, farmers may need help taking sheep away from flood zones.
The cyclone I told of last phase is swinging around fetching t/storms 20th-23rd, dull easterlies causing gloom and cloudy skies, but precipitation continuing again by 24th, adding to floods and stormy outbursts.

 

The second half of phase begins on 25th when clearer weather is expected to fetch a brighter day to clear up the mess left by this storm outburst and strong winds on 26th help dry things out.
27th Sees potentially more precipitation for some regions this could be frost or snow.
28th-29th Drier with windy conditions……..feeling decidedly wintery!!

29th Nov- 7th Dec

Expect some drier conditions during sunrise to sunset but some snow and frost around to keep everyone on their toes.

29th frosty with potential for some snow to fall, clear blue skies and sunshine to enjoy.

 

Similar over next few days with some gusty northerlies active from 2nd-7th while 1st sees seasonally cold temps arrive to warn of winter coming in.
6th looks good with bright conditions and blue skies but gusty winds which become erratic and stronger by 7th. Frosts prevail by 7th too.

7th-14th Dec

Not a happy weather phase as conditions become more wintry and heavy precipitation wil add to water logged areas of previous weeks.   Far North West regions could be flood prone at this time
10th is singled out as the day for heavy rain to begin across GB including London. I expect record levels to fall to the western regions for this phase.

 

7th-8th Are gusty with wind chill and frost looks likely. Weather systems move rapidly so don’t expect the bad or good outbursts to stay around for long as conditions are not reliable or stable and soon change.

 

9th looks gloomy, breezy and cold with potential showers around 7-8am onwards, heavy clouds forming by mid day, but clearer outlook late at night into early morning.
10th IT WILL RAIN. The rain will be prolonged with a damp gloomy cloudy atmosphere prevailing over a few days now, rain can turn to sleet and snow then back to rain again, outlook can see storminess to northern GB, chilly days ahead.
11th continues gloom of yesterday and i expect icy conditions overnight with frost likely on roads so drive carefully. Winds active too today so any lying snow in any region will drift.
12th Moon is perigee today, temps icy some showery outburst, sporadic and intermittent. Skies could begin to clear to icy blue over next few days.
14th Geminid Meteor showers should be visible as overnight skies get clearer with less cloud, but we will see more winter showers today in our region moving eastwards, heavier by evening. Temps peak today at wintery cold.

14th-21st December

The good news in the run up to Christmas and Pagan festivities is that this should be a week of some days with spectacular icy blue skies with sunshine, but less to no cloud overnight means that it will be icy temps so watch out when travelling on icy roads. Temps gradually moderating by the end of the phase when more cloud develops.
The weather is much more settled this phase and more reliable.

 

14th as previously forecast, while 15th is set to be a fine Autumn/wintery day but cold, frosty and icy underfoot.
This theme continues over next four days, allowing some respite from unsettled weather on previous weeks just in time to get festival shopping done.
20th sees some clouds forming but will be cold frosty overnight, though some milder conditions sees a gentle thawing.
21st SOLSTICE today so get your long pagan dress out and celebrate the astronomical start of Winter in the northern hemisphere.

21st-29th December

An extremely seismic phase for some regions of the globe. Southern hemisphere re SW Australia region likely to experience this event 22nd, with cusp of Chinese republic and Islamabad also vulnerable, but by 25/26th we may get repercussions from a massively powerful opposition by Jupiter and Uranus spanning the region W Yorks/Leeds city so will be watching to see how this plays out. Potentially a trend for wild NW strong winds knocking down pylons, trees and comms systems as well as interfering with air travel by 26th, but hopefully I am wildly wrong due to Mercury zapped at perihelion!

 

Chronic cold conditions begin to ease for tis phase. Frost and snow could still be lying around at the start, but as days continue thawing gradually takes place getting stronger by 29th December when temps will be much milder.

 

21st-24th sees some sunny days with cloud around. Ursid shower display on 23rd, cloudier conditions by 24th when gustiness greets the day and perhaps a gloomy air  to greet the day, and rain could potentially arrive before sunrise on 24th but wont stay around.

 

25th The fairest day of the bunch, 3/4 Moon phases usually bring in storms or turbulence. Some fair conditions operating by mid day after a fine start, but some high northern altitudes could see snowfall or frosts forming today. Skies should be brilliant and clear good for photographers by late pm.
26th Brings strong and erratic winds, seismic shocks and comms problems and pylons swaying around, while overnight into 27th a gloomy air prevails with potential for more winter showers, so a bit of a stormy feel around.
27th  mists or cloudy some blue sky might be a rare sight while 28th-29th brings some sun between isolated patchy rain spells with haze mists if not mizzles, humid with much mild winter temps.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SUMMER WEATHER 2016 West Yorkshire and Yonder

     Long Range Summer Forecast 2016 West Yorkshire and Yonder UK

 

These forecasts are delivered using ancient satellite technology, tried and tested for millennia and results from such usage first recorded on Antelope Tusks a couple of millennia ago, with method used still working and used by many skilled astro meteorologists who deliver very accurate long range seasonal forecasts for you to plan your season with.

 

 

 

SUMMER WEATHER 20016 Overview

Summer Season with some highs to come but interrupted by bad bits. 27^th June -4^th July sees some highs arriving but quick flash floods to some areas as a result. . The real high seem likely to develop for W Yorks by  30^th-31^st July and 30^th August.

 

Around 14^th July tell me if you get the tornado or wind funnel I forecast, for as they are not as spectacular as those in Tornado Alley, US, too few of these get reported in the UK, yet we know they arrive here.

 

I also see a seismic event for UK around 12^th July, so will be watching for news of this as well as for 2^nd-10th August showing a seismic outlook for the UK with 1W45 long from Shetland down to W Sussex singled out for source of origin, not sure which latitude but both extremes vulnerable Shetland region gets my vote. Some rumblings of tectonic plates to Celtic Sea also.

Meanwhile Papua New Guinea is exposed to seismicity this phase too.153E30 I’ll be watching out for this one.

26^th July-2^nd August sees more summer highs but also a drill, spill and kill incident somewhere off either the West of Orkney, the Tay region or Caernarfon area,  3 deg west longitude. 18th-25th August repeats DRILLS, SPILLS and KILLS again, yes it’s that time of year.  Offshore W of Shetland, to North Sea and offshore to English Channel 1-2 W long, but may be felt down t/out GB.I expect a few cetaceans on beach too……………………Apologies for so little time to track this and be more specific and to be truthful I always hope I am totally wrong about such forecasts……………………

Heavy rains expected to hit the west by 24^th August travelling to W Yorks by 25^th with highs following as mentioned earlier.

Venus at equinox 1st September augurs  early Autumn cooling, followed by the traditional cyclical start of the Autumn 22^nd  Sept at Sun’s equinox seeing very heavy rain arriving.

 

20th-27th June

 

The good news is this solstice, a beautiful Azores High is forming out in the Atlantic, so book a plane for there now….because the bad news is off the West coast of England a low is developing, stopping the high from coming our way. Oh dear..

 

Solstice day usually does bring some unsettled weather and 2016 summer solstice day 20th,  is no exception.

 

However, as it operates on a Full Moon day, we can expect some better conditions in the evenings of the first few days at least, but don’t put your brolly to bed just yet. Some disturbances at high altitudes mean the Helm Winds can knock you back on High Cup Nick, Pennine, Moor, or mountain pathways, and radio hams could find disturbances from static in isolated spots. Air and water travel may also see some rocky moments as highs vie with lows, and winds are erratic.

Seasonal temps expected to vary, but on the cool side to begin the season, and likely as not, throughout.

20th  Some lows with easterly gloom round, but generally unsettled outlook today as solsticial atmospherics rule. Some rain could be moving eastwards and some mists to valleys and lowlands expected. A few northerly attempts to try clear away any gloom and cloud, but I don’t expect persistent sun today.

21st Temps varying, some showery attempts likely but brief and scattered, cloud around too. Better by evening.

22nd Temps varying again, but cooler range prevail. High humidity, static  but some sunny intervals as clouds scurry by.

23rd Potentially the best date to warm your hands on the evening barbecue, sun, cloud around during the day.

24th Not much change from yesterday but could be more clouds to west and potential for a few showery bits over here too.

25th Looks like the threat of heavy showers begins to actualise today and on 26th.

26th I expect some heavy showers from mid morning and some strong whippy westerlies come in with these.

27th Sees the moon on the equator so weather patterns continue eastwards for a few days, but temps will begin to feel more summery from now on. Very sporadic winds with gusts and high speed on exposed areas, see the intro again for warnings given.  Cloud around but winds trying to move them on.

27th June-4th July

I expect some record highs for the season along with thundery and lightening outbreaks which will accompany heat moving northwards over coming eight days. Thunderstorms travel east. Any sudden heavy downpours will make way for brighter conditions, with flash floods to valleys expected to quickly pass over on western areas.

Mists and cloud predominantly in western shores. 30th looks the best of this block of weather outcomes.

 

27th  Sultry but winds are still high, gusty on high pathways, in the north mostly.

Intermittent sudden sporadic showery outbursts midnight to early am 28th.

28th and 29th look like the thundery outburst arrive after midnight as temps rise. West Yorks is in their pathway so I don’t expect to escape the onslaught. The days clear by mid day, so afternoons and evenings are generally better for outdoors.

30^th Fingers crossed all signs are for a more serene and reliable outlook with temps rising and some sunny weather to enjoy today and for 1st.

2nd Sultry, humid with temps still rising, could bring another static outburst early am before sunrise, not ruling out thunderstorms either, and rainy stuff on 3rd for many areas W Y and far beyond.

3rd –4th Little breeze but some blue skies likely once the wet stuff goes, slowly cooling after 4th.

 

4th-12th July

Highs stay in the Mid Atlantic sadly and weather systems in GB begin their journey from NW to SE over this phase.

Looks like some pollution across Europe continues to make its presence felt east of our borders (have we got any?)

Heavy outbursts of rain could hit NW regions of England and beyond but may not result in heavy flooding.

 

4th-5th Could see rain breaking out, heavy at times to NW and west coast regions, and low lying areas. Mists accompany. Fairer to the north with any residual storms of last phase slowly dying as they move SE direction.

6th Some noisy eerie breezy stuff but fair conditions for us and any rainy bits to the west begin to fizzle out as they travel over to our way and S. Easterly

7th  Less windy, some clearing skies, but temps on the cool side and any scattered outbreaks will be brief sporadic and around mid morning.

8th Northerlies active and clearing up conditions, some gloomy weather to the west, clouds mists to the east but better outlook by mid day, cloudier evening.

9th Dry day with sunshine and sweet breezes

10th Some gusty winds about today, westerly, some quick showery bursts could accompany, cooling temps, cloudy am but some sun spells.

11th Strong NW winds arise taking weather down south with it. Spurts of very gusty winds on high lands. Some cloud breaks with sun spells with this system.

12th Still windy, cooler and cloud around much like yesterday.

12th-19th July

 

Breezy windy, wet, cooler, highs to SW travelling further southwards. Unsettled for a few days with potential tornado or wind funnel to Midlands.

Could be a seismic event for us around the 12th too.

 

12th  Very unsettled atmosphere with potential rainy outbursts. Cloud around and mists lingering to some areas. Any rain arrives late evening.

13th Scattered showers before sunrise have a cooling effect on temps, sun plus cloud during the day, clearing skies by evening, but cloudier 9-10pm onwards and rain falling, mists likely.

14th Unsettled again, winds gusty westerly, tornado or wind spouts expected today to NE Scotland and or Midlands. Winds stronger on high ground to North Sunshine and cloud, dry but short scattered spells of rain by 8pm onwards.

15th Some gusty stuff, clearer skies, cool start early am. Showery by 9-10 am but soft breezes for us to dry out  by mid day. Some lightening releases static. Sun and clouds around.

17th Cool overnight into early am, more mod after sunrise and looks like weather stays to be fair for next few days…HURRAH!

26th July– 2nd August

 

This phase sees a drill, spill and kill incident somewhere off either the West of Orkney, the Tay region or Caernarfon area,  3 deg west longitude.

 

I always wonder when forecasting these, how much sperm whales and dolphins cost to replace….

The three quarter moon often brings in turbulence so best not book a getaway but even if I’m too late with the warning , all wont be lost with some good days to brighten up the phase.

Not a bad week for a British summer, when all is taken into consideration, but some interruptions of good weather expected, but they will be quick unless otherwise forecast. 29th singled out for rainy stuff and 30th-31st gets the highs.

Highs roll out in style to the east of GB, but inland there will be some developing too, with 30th singled out for our region.

Some sudden changes in temps can vary them over the phase so be assured that if it gets cool after rain the sun will soon return to warm you up again.

These are the high temps of Dog Days when Romans were aware there could be searing heat, prolonged, but difficult if on a war march. Hard times  for dogs too if tarmac or concrete gets hot, so take care of your dog and don’t leave it in the car on hot days.

A quick tour of these days:

Looks good fine and summery 26th- 28th, with sudden abrupt wind changes and erratic gusts kicking in by 27th

28th looks potentially showery with potential for sporadic isolated hail and sleet, but these won’t stay around and often leave sunny skies in their wake.

29th Oh dear I can guarantee rain, for many GB places in the form of scattered electrical showers. Some energetic gusties around too, with high spots and high altitudes affected.

30th continues as yesterday but the highs are high today, so some good temps as well as sunshine

31st The heat continues

1st August rain potential…sorry this always happens after a hot spell doesn’t it, but it won’t stay around, by sunset it will be better, but sunshine around as well today. Hail and sleet spells look likely to interrupt play and I’m not ruling out quick smattering of snow on very high northern parts……lots of condensation around due to cold air at start of day.

2nd New Moon, good weather sunrise to sunset usually but let’s look at the charts and see shall we……read on

2nd-10th August

A seismic outlook for the UK with 1W45 long from Shetland down to W Sussex singled out for source of origin, not sure which latitude but both extremes vulnerable Shetland region gets my vote. Some rumblings of tectonic plates to Celtic Sea also.

Meanwhile Papua New Guinea is exposed to seismicity this phase too.153E30 I’ll be watching out for this one.

2nd unsettled outlook as seismicity rules, temps still summery but cooling

3rd Sun and cloud around

4th-5th same as yesterday temps still lowering

6th no rain today…..hopefully….can’t see any….weather continues a downward trend..

7th some threat of precipitation with  NW more likely region for it

8th winds around or breezes blowing clouds over bog standard weather for next few days as systems migrate into southern regions.

 

10th-18th August

 

Just a quick tour for these days.

I’m not expecting a run of good weather, in fact some rainy spells could linger 11-12th early am -mid day time,  and arrive again  by 17th with temps cooling as a result. The 12th sees wet weather moving southwards as the low sinks, and

cool temps rule. The 13th sees the weather attempt to clean up a little after mid day. I don’t expect highs this phase, but very ordinary summer season weather.

13th-14th seems like  the best of the bunch with some blue skies and broken cloud, expect good conditions for photography, but rain could break out on high places inland, with mists around watery places. Some calmer spells around for these days.

15th16th uneventful but 16th-17th could see some hail or sporadic outbursts early am, though some clearer skies with sun spells later.

18th-25th August

DRILLS, SPILLS and KILLS again, yes it’s that time of year.

Offshore W of Shetland, to North Sea and offshore to English Channel 1-2 W long, but may be felt down t/out GB

I expect a few cetaceans on beach too……………………

Temps being climbing but don’t expect too much. Worst of weather to second half of phase.

 

Barbecue time for first few days, but get the heater out……………..

18th-19 th Erratic NW, gusty on high ground, sunshine with clouds scurrying by.

20th -21st Unsettled sunshine, clouds and sporadic short sharp showers around but they won’t linger. Midnight to mid day is likeliest time, evenings generally brighter after 8pm.  22nd sees some rise in temps but this brings some static outbursts along with it

23rd better outlook but don’t take any good weather for granted

24-25th Much friction weather wise with highs battling lows, warmer outlook but some very heavy rain to west travels this way by 25th. The NW Cumbria, Scotland and Wales get the worst of the downpours from 24th.

25th August -1st Sept

 

Guaranteed, no Azores High, BUT, temp do get pleasantly better than last week and we have at least 2 glorious days to come in this phase.

Some squally conditions continue at the start with high altitudes most affected. These will die down after first 2 days.

 

 

25th, as above but this could pass over by late pm, so not all the day is lost, some blue sky and cloud could make itself felt.

26th Humidity rules after rainy cloud burst around mid night, but the day may develop into a better one as a result, There is a counter clockwise flow of static which delivers quick sometimes heavy. downpours for a few days, but looks like ours is over and done with early this morning.

27th Very high seasonal temps today HURRAH the glorious weather arrives so put on your summer stuff to make the most of it over next few days…………………..

30th could see mists and haze coming out in response o higher temps with 31st being sultry. Slight cooling by 1st…….

1st -9^th Sept

Apologies for a quick tour, time restrictions apply…..

Pollution rests out in the Atlantic, probably residue from the drills spills and kills I mentioned earlier.

Venus is  equinoctial on 1st, but seems likely to affect us with hazes and more cloud around but by 7th she heralds lower temps with a cold front….

 

1st As previous, cool, rain in East still continuing, a fair day could break out in W Yorks

2nd Dry day, mists and hazes with sun behind cloud and some strong northerlies around

3rd brighter outlook

4th Rain, heavy at times from mid morning into afternoon

5th Mists, cloud and haze sun spells …perhaps

6th Sporadic rain, hail and sleet spells by 10pm, cloud around some sun spells during day

7th Cold front keeping things chilly less sunshine to keep us warm

8th unsettled but it will rain for sure

9th Rain likely to NW and strong high altitude winds running around icy on high places, gusty in stages

9th-16th Sept

Misty to Western regions and flash floods could be circulating as lowlands receive some heavy rainfall

9th Rain could be continuing from 8th until early morning, but drier outlook for later in the day

10th Cool, cloudy some northerlies trying to clear away the bad outbreak.

11th Cloud, potentially some sunshine but better by evening

 

12th Gusty some haze and mists around and lingering, spartan intermittent showers around mid am and later, but some sun spells too as gusts scurry clouds along.

13th Static, hail or sleet short and sharp overnight better outlook from  mid day.

14th Rain to North clouds, some sunshine late afternoon after sporadic showers.

15th  Rain coming could see some sun with clouds.

 

 

16th -22nd

The Full Moon will clear away the worst of the weather with some fairer evenings to enjoy, though the outlook is not good. I expect heavy levels of rain, more flash floods and a gloomy time.

21st will rain all day………………………………..and 22nd is equinoctial so very unsettled…..lots of wet stuff about.

 

I expect at least 80% + accuracy, and could do better if days were on 72 hours long…….sigh………………..

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SPRING 2016 West Yorks and Yonder

Astro meteorology has been around for a couple of millennia and hasn’t brought any harm to the planet. Astro mets use tried and tested and highly honed techniques, along with fantastic insights from George McCormack who used Pearce, Goad and other brilliant astro mets, to add to Kepler and ancient mariner laws of celestial-terrestrial converging , to give long range forecasts of a meteorological nature.

We use satellite technology that has been around since time began and you can be very assured that long range astro meteorological forecasting doesn’t harm the planet at all.

Spring: West Yorks and Yonder 2016

The best outlook arrives 14th April when we see some nice spring days, but this is followed by an Arctic all time low to freeze any bedding plants, noses and toes, so beware the sudden seasonal turnaround.I don’t see any prolonged spells of great weather for May and June, and the floods seem likely to return at the run up to Summer solstice, but hopefully I might be wrong….

Spring is on time this year, but it may feel weathergeddon has broken out as very unsettled conditions continue.
There is a meteorological hit, and potentially man made disaster around the Orkney Islands, from the start of the equinox, sometimes this has been either military or law enforcement incident, and pollution around those parts, could be another drill explosion or sperm whale/ drillkill from the start of the season.

 

20th-23rd March

The Western areas gather warmth but this creates moisture as well, with eastern parts of GB meeting precipitation created by it over the coming days.
Flooding to some regions expected due to heavy levels of rainy outbursts, my forecast is for these to travel south easterly from NW Scotland moving SE to northern England and southwards, to eastern parts. I don’t see floods to Cumbria from this weather outburst for this phase, though already saturated areas wont be exempt from the assault. North Yorks and Northumberland more prone to flood news and Derry region of Ireland seems to get some bad weather too for this phase.

20th Very unsettled with sporadic strong gusty winds mists, fogs and mizzles from around sunrise, could be some sun attempts during the day but varying weather patterns move faster over next few days from NW to SE

21st Pluvial conditions with highs levels of mist, fogs and mizzles expected to linger, heavy rain from the start of the day and not much sun around as clouds linger to obscure it and mists and fogs in valleys cling to watery places. The evening is a better bet for slightly clearer skies, but no promises as this weather remains unsettled.

22nd Rainy outbursts come in with warm air from the west, heavy at the start of day, news of very strong winds. Flooding to already saturated areas

 

23rd-31st March

The Full Moon phase is normally the time of month when we get bad weather being moved away for a few days but this is and equatorial Full Moon and might operate slightly differently to herald some disturbed atmospherics as Spring birthing pains continue.

Some high tides may create sea disturbance to West of Ireland there is also high seismicity operative.

I see clearer skies but cold to eastern parts but some windy outbursts.

From the outset the damp air can create mould conditions for those gardeners with seeds or young plants growing.

An ancient meteorologist Junctinius tells us, when the eclipse is in an air sign there is scarcity, pestilence and tempests….so beware all you gardeners!

23rd Sporadic spurts often gusty in nature and westerly. A wet start but weather systems moving quickly along so will be an all weather day today though some breaks in the cloud will allow the sun to peek through now and again to say hello.. Expect gentle breezes to low lying areas but colder stronger winds to slightly higher altitudes. By evening some cold and gloomy conditions could hang around along with fogs and mists
24th Strong gusty westerlies today and winds could scatter some showers around a finer outlook by evening and clearer skies but this herald’s frost and strong ozone. Sleet and hail outbreaks 6-9 pm, localised, will leave likelihood of overnight frosts.
25th Some hope for warmer temps after a nippy start to the day, so some ice will begin to thaw. Finer outlook till mid day with mid afternoon showery outbursts mid afternoon, more prevalent to the north. Cloud around overnight.

26th High humidity with mists and cloud around but this is marked down as a nice Spring day on my calendar.
27th Cool frosty start again and another day like yesterday.
28th-30th Fair afternoon and evenings but mists to low lying areas and cloud forming later by evening so unsettled, but mostly dry.
30th Fair weather to the north lower temps expected but some showery outbursts likely from mid afternoon
31st This looks very exciting and wild and windy with strong gales at high speed along corridors to the NW/Scotland to keep everyone engaged with the weather dramas.

 

31st March-7th April

Gales at high speed across high transport routes will create traffic disruptions for a few days, air traffic and bridges affected too to NW/Scotland. Communication systems will also be affected along with electricity routes. Stormy conditions to northern parts.
Spring temps higher to the eastern regions.

31st. As previous, it looks dry for W Yorks but very very blustery, though there will be some warmth from sunshine letting us know Spring is here.
1st-4th Wont see settled weather but will have some dry days with occasionally gusty winds and breezes. Temps average for Spring though some cool crisp outlook for 2nd, fairer conditions stay in North England
4th Some potential for rainy outbreaks later in the day along with whippy westerlies. Some pollution expected to N Eastern areas.
5th-7th Very unsettled outlook, low temps, cloud around but also some accompanying fair spring weather in the mix

 

7th-14th April

The New Moon on 7th is perigee and closest of the year, and with Moon equatorial we normally would expect some entertaining weather dramas, but this being April it looks less like fireworks and more like damp squib.

From Hebrides to Spain via the Irish Sea looks like having mists and mellow fruitfulness, and more cloud developing as well as sea frets.

Some sea turbulence to sea far South West of Ireland for a few days, and some of it could hit NW Scotland but it is seafarers that need to take heed and listen to shipping forecasts.

7th Shows gentle breezes and spring like conditions.
8th Some mists or showers around mid morning but also some fine spring weather as Venus heads northward in declination, promising a Spring to put winter behind us.
9th Cool crisp with some blue skies to enjoy
10th Northern weather may change a little now, mists around, milder temps and some occasional gusty breezes. Any showers arrive from 4pm.
11th similar to yesterday
12th -13th Temps rising seasonally higher sun with cloud and mist potential, northerlies active, but there may also be some very heavy showery outbreaks too as heavens flood gates open, this seems more heavy to southern areas such Somerset regions, but Wales may also see some tidal surge too.
14th Mists and mizzles with northerlies trying to clear up worst of the weather.

 

14th-22nd April

This phase looks pleasantly spring like with some good outdoor weather to enjoy.
The Mid Atlantic looks choppy from the start and sea NW of Scotland seems rough with some precipitation travelling into north parts but doesn’t seems strong enough to reach further than North of England by 16th A second weather system to reach NW Scotland arrives a little more turbulence, but with not enough strength to travel further SE into England.

London is hit by mists and fogs that could disrupt air travel from 14th with a fine outlook ahead of that to the east.

14th The start of day could see mists to valleys but eventually brings a fine Spring outlook with blue skies and white fluffy clouds although some strong blustery winds and breezes could interrupt at sporadic intervals.
15th Continues yesterday’s trend with some cooling off by late evening after some warmth during the day
16th Some showery release potentially just April showers, localised hail but clearing after mid day

17th sun with cloud during the day, generally fair outlook
18th Fair outlook again but the winds could get more lively turning gusty over next few days
19th-22nd are likely to bring better temps to the south England with seasonal rise in warmth, gusty conditions but for us a continuing trend of fair Spring weather with warmth.
 

22nd April-30th April

This phase sees a direct contrast to the pleasant days previously enjoyed. Winter returns with a vengeance to assault Spring and we can expect Arctic lows fetching a big freeze to your nose and toes. You will experience sudden deep steep drops in temps so don’t take bright sunshine for granted. Highly likely that overnight gives clear skies but that means that little warmth is allowed to develop.

22nd Cold and penetrating some damp, drizzle and mizzle along with hail sleet and snow sporadic outbursts, the latter to high regions the former to low lying valleys. Gusty westerlies provide extra cutting chill and can be quite lashing at times.

23rd Frosty overnight and icy with more intermittent sporadic and localised varying wintery showery outbursts to mid morning Exceedingly cold to NW and high places.
24th Breathtakingly cold an intense cold front reigns and higher precipitation will hit the south of England with magnetic disturbances interfering with some comms.
25th -27th continues cold and frosty along with icy cold breezes. From today some rivers may be flooding and western regions look likely to be swamped on flood plains. Mists hover around watering places in lowlands while freezing fogs will arrive to high areas.

28th A tiny bit milder weather outlook takes the edge off the breathtaking chilly factor; clouds and mists but some sunshine might break through if we get lucky!….
29th Frosts less widespread, some thawing out and mists hide sunshine and easterlies keep it still a little bit gloomy.

30th Milder temps, less harsh and some sunshine around but could see some showery outbursts by evening

 

30th April-6th May
Rain forms out to sea NW coast of Scotland, clearly we need a rain carrier out there to catch it before it arrives….
Normally systems like this take two days to come inland so precipitation for NW Scotland travelling SE over two days, but I think it stays north of W Yorks and yonder.
Temps move towards less intense and thawing begins as moderating influences grow stronger towards the end of this phase.

30th as above with some mists or fogs around lingering over valleys with sun finding it hard to move them along.

1st Cloud around, hazes and mists with atmospherics disturbed for the next few days at high altitudes to the north so mountaineering radio addicts beware….your frequencies may freeze up!

2nd Rain arrives to Scotland’s shores as mentioned earlier. West Yorks get milder temps moving over but it still feels a bit muggy, so can’t see how good the day will turn out however…it wont be as bad as last week!
3rd HURRAH. Nice day, but some showery potential later in the afternoon or evening depending upon where you live for example Lancashire folk get these systems a few hours before we do………..
4th-6th The weather moves along slowly now, some sunshine and haziness and cloud around but temps improve all the time.
6th Some wild funnels of high speed corridors of wind could create wind funnels or mini tornadoes to W Midlands and lower SW belts. News of avalanches expected as thawing completes the phase.

 

6th May- 13th May

I think for W Yorks this could be a dry phase with little rain to spoil play. For places yonder some drama could roll out in the form of static outbursts, thunder, lightening or both from 7th-9th as temperatures rise.

6th As above, fairer to S Eng, with mists clouds or mizzles drizzles to north around 4pm. A dry sunny outlook for W Yorks till evening
7th Looks like another spring day to enjoy with any rain coming overnight, some migrating static outbursts circulating generally yonder to W Yorks
8th Static again to South and north but any precipitation is soon forgotten as seasonal temps rise with likelihood of a fine day to come. The NW looks the worst hit early morning, it may try pour some remaining rain here, but the outlook is for a seasonally warm Spring day for W Yorks
9th Temps peaking, calm misty start, sultry weather in warmth
10th Looks like a serene day with blue skies and little clouds and sun shining down….nice day
11th Some cloud around but still nearly as good as yesterday. Before mid night would be time when any rain might spoil play, could just be more clouds forming
12th -13th Only mists spoil these days with sun and haziness likely, breezy southerlies active. Temps adjust to lower slightly.
13th-21st May

A rather drill tour of weather for this phase with temps lowering from the highs of previous days reaching quite damp and chilly for the last part as precipitation cools the air, and by 20th singled out for coolest of the phase.
The second half changes in more unsettled conditions with precipitation upsetting some regions, more to the Northern parts.

13th-15th starts with some likelihood of static and mists from 13th, but sunshine likely during the daytime. 14th brings in some southerly breezes and moderate temps prevail, some sunshine during the day and same on 15th which looks fairer with warmth from the sun.

16th could bring short sharp showery unsettled weather forming, evening most likely time for some quick showery outbursts for W Yorks, as well as at the start of the day. Some sunshine will be around during the day and this trend continues into 17th
18th more showery intervals but these are continuing sporadic and may miss some localities. I expect some record rainfall to some far north western areas from Scotland down to Cumbria. These are isolated micros. We could see some of these waft over in the afternoon–heavy to some localities.
19th The weather begins to see lower range of temps and generally fair for us but interrupted by some intermittent outbursts of widely scattered precipitation for some areas.
20th Mists and cloud with cooler range of temps making things a little chilly and damp. Unsettled weather, misty or cloudy around sunrise with some sunshine later in the morning. Very heavy showers expected for the NW regions for the afternoon, some residue here but clearing late evening.
21st Hopefully today sees off the gloomier stuff but it does augur cool spring temps, but some better weather outdoors breaking out.
 

21st-29th May

This phase is very difficult to report due to so many conflicting weather patterns and foul battling fair with few seeming to win out ultimately.
Static outbursts migrates fetching threats of thunder and lightening but rain may or not follow depending on your terrain and location. For sure lower valleys and river clearly show stress by the end of the phase with the potential for high levels of rivers bursting banks and low lying roads under water.
Northerlies operate the first few days trying to settle the weather affair and see off precipitation.

No guarantees for this forecast due to complex and conflicting systems operating.

Basically 21st- 24th brings the fairer outlook but sunshine and warmth can soon disappear and sudden outbursts may threaten the day. 22nd seems to be dry and temps pleasantly rising, this creates more static and humidity, but winds get stirred and some lightening or thundery outbreaks in some regions, may or not bring rain. My bet is on dry for us in W Yorks. 23rd looks a little cloudy perhaps even gloomy but the skies should clear overnight. 24th seems slightly milder with some warmth from the sun after mid day

25th South westerly mix fetches threat of mists, mizzles and some muggy conditions with showery outbursts likely late afternoon. Winds more westerly and gusty later in the day and into following day
26th Seems like a dry day for us rumbles of thunder to distance, along with lightening potential but the NW regions are on the receiving end of the real outpouring
27th a little turbulent; some mists and clouds but a warming factor around to create hope of better things to come, the sun could shine through in stages.
28th Seems like a dry day for us but certainly some precipitation is threatening to head our way and could arrive by evening and continue into the next day turning quite heavy especially to NE Scotland down into Cumbria and southwards, leaving rivers bursting banks and roads in valleys a little bit wet. Buy a canoe!

It’s great to be wrong with a forecast such as this turning into wonderfully dry weather…..but I don’t think that will happen yet…..but hey Mars is perigee now and usually brings in highs….read on….

 

29th May-5th June

With Mars now perigee on 30th we normally encounter drought and parching temps so during this phase we will encounter some rising temps drawn up from the South gradually as the phase unfolds.
The South Eng gets the higher ranges from 29th and these gradually move northwards over the coming days.
There are some wonderful features for W Yorks for this phase, much needed after the turbulence rocking around last week. Drought seems more likely for longitudes 2 degrees west of us and places around Auchterarder, Edin and Salcombe Glasgow/Dumfries seem likely to enjoy better, drier weather and higher temps…lucky you!

29th Wet outpourings continue, as before, with rivers at high levels. Around 4pm more rain likely to W Yorks after a cloudy day with some sun around.. Mod temps for the season.

30th Cloudy with sunshine but misty to watery places in valleys, mists and hazes develop evening and early morning as temps rise.

31st–4th looks very fine indeed with some pleasant warmth from the sun, but also some high humidity as residual precipitation dries out. Warmth drawing further northwards from southern regions over these days, as a slow moving weather continues to prevail.

4th Expect some heavy rain arriving for us during the evening after a fair warm sunny day with some cloud around. This will be heavy rainfall continuing into the 5th.

5th a fairer outlook only after mid day….sorry….new rainfall levels established for some western parts for this time of year….

 

Prettiest Village in Yorkshire Dales

5th-12th June

Sadly it looks like the return to similar weather at the Winter solstice run up, with floodageddon all over again.
Hopefully I am SOOOOoooooo wrong, but I don’t think I am…………….
Lowlands/valleys and river ways, misty and hazy during the daytime and fogs developing at night time.

Flash floods keep on coming and if you are in an area outside of NW and SE Scotland and Eng then you might escape the worst of the very wet weather. Flash floods to Western parts at the beginning, move to NE parts see 10-12th

5th as before with heavy precipitation moving around the UK migrating up through northern England into Scotland by 6th W Yorks sees some better weather after rain subsides by evening.

6th Temps reach seasonal highs, but there is a lot of humidity around. Mists may hide sun till mid day.

7th Looks like a better bet weather wise with some sunshine and warmth
8th turn of the day sees heavy rain again but by breakfast onwards sunshine with cloud around, but muggy
9th Sunshine and cloud, south easterlies keep it a bit gloomy but some gusty spurts of westerlies move it along.
10th-12th Looks reasonable for W Yorks but flash flooding to NE Scotland/ England North Yorks too keeps things sombre
12th turns into a nice Spring day…aha if only summer were here…..don’t worry it is coming…..

 

My Favourite Place Friar’s Crag Walk

12th-20th June

I expect more flash floods due to heavy waterlogged areas continuing to get heavy flash downpours NE Scotland/England Northern Yorkshire, Cumbria and Wales from the outset. rivers overflowing and flooding roads and routes in valleys flooded too….all good fun if you are wearing wellies, but not if your home is flooded again, so a great time to book a helping hol with those who are worn out with water…..

Some strong winds along narrow corridors and in high places with likelihood of wind funnels and I expect some tornado to West Midland region around 18th.

For W Yorks and Yonder the 13th June is wet for us around sunrise but for days after it will be very windy with gusty westerlies operative and W Yorks moves towards the solstice on 20th with better drier weather but Summer is coming in on a boat, just like the Egyptian Rah, so expect more stormy waves as the sun rises above the equator….what will summer bring I wonder……

WINTER WEATHER W YORKS N YONDER 2016

Winter 2016

The lookout at this stage of the year end of 2015, time of finalising the forecast, doesn’t look good for the NW and Cumbrian regions where mists, very high humidity and floods may still be causing a damp and chilly surround.

The year starts Wet Wet Wet and looks set to continue the trend along with auguring some lower temps for the rest of the year to
come………camping may become a thing of the past…..for few years at least.

16th-24th Jan is a very eventful phase with headlines of EQ, pollution and mud/land/snow slides. Beginning of February is a bit challenging, but 10th Feb is great for outdoor pursuits.

22nd Feb-1st March look more settled with the planet Jupiter warding off any nasties out in the Mid Atlantic.

9th March onwards is a phase to watch for due to a return to conditions seen 3rd Dec onwards when weather wars broke out fostering many floods. While circa 6th March is very EQ sensitive.

This reminds me of old interpretations of ancient books that morphed into ”and prehistoric man worshipped their gods” …..errr……..of course enlightened people without prejudice or hidden agendas know the correct translation is ”they studied the planets. ”Astro mets use the ancient science of satellite technology to produce their forecasts long range, as done since Paleolithic times on antler bone, and highly honed in Sumerian and Babylonian times, then by Kepler and subsequently by intelligent long range forecasters such as McCormack and Pearce.

 

2nd-9th Jan

The final throes of 2015 will have seen roads with the usual rivulets forming in dips, drains and culverts yet again belching under the strain, and brolly and raincoat sales rising.

The first half of this phase has some strong but variable winds around but also mists and mizzles to add to the mix.

2nd Sees temps trying to get milder but breeziness offers wind chills. Mists and mizzles around with fogs, thicker mists to the west of the region, cloud around once the mists clear away
Mid morning seems to be slightly clearer but some showery outbursts arrive by 4pm into evening with sudden winter showers, sleet and hail. Mists may turn foggy if you are travelling beware. This trend continues into early 3rd

3rd-5th brings in some spurts of whipping gusts and more lusty showery outbursts into the evening with a gloominess beginning to roll into cloudier skies. Sporadic Gustiness increases on 4th and it is the 6th when this dies down. The north is much cloudier than the south of England and some stormy turbulence likely for northern UK over next few days.

6th-7th is less unsettled though some breeziness prevails. Showers follow early mistiness, mid day on 6th, temps seasonally mild leading to gloomy outlook on 7th and sudden lowering of temps high in atmosphere for frost even snow on very high ground, some sloughing downhill into valleys.
8th-9th clearer skies around 2am on 8th wont prevail, giving way to some easterly flows after mid day, bring in chilly damp conditions promising winter showers of rain turning to sleet and snow, very heavy to far west and north and in Dales, and on high ground such as Pennines so take care on the roads, snow will also expected in W Yorks.

 

10th-16th January

10th could see strong winds off W Ireland coastline but these are travelling westwards, and on 14-16th Jan this system is also operative.
Snow could still be covering some ground around W Yorks and yonder from the outset, but with temps getting colder it can turn frosty and icy as the days march onwards.
Some variable conditions but it does look like we get a few good days 15-16th while a storm is brewing out to sea.

10th Mists/mizzles clear by 8am onwards, some blue skies with cloud developing in mid pm, but remaining fair into the evening with any rain arriving to NW regions around 10pm, travelling east.

11th Similar to 10th though some precipitation potential mid morning, breezes wafting residue showers around, cloudier by mid pm, flurries expected as clouds that bring them form.

12th Sporadic hail and sleet from midnight intermittent into early morning, cooling temps and flurries on high ground keeping things cool, more sporadic outbursts/flurries during evening towards late at night. Rainier to NW regions from around 10pm. Winds stronger on high ground.

13th Clouds/ mists in valleys to start the day, which turns duller by mid morning with potential mizzles mid-day. Snow on high ground could drift down on wind but overnight looks clearer for better overnight conditions.

14th Any precipitation seems easterly of our region, some ghoulish winds haunt chimneys and alleyways, cloudy but fair day expected generally.

15th Storm breeding will be headlining today for areas out to sea. Inland looks gloomy with short sharp cutting showery outbursts from 1am onwards. Today and tomorrow should see some finer weather to enjoy with gradually clearer skies and undecided but strong northerlies trying to see off some of the gloomier weather.

16th May bring some sporadic intermittent fast and furious showers, mingling with winds, with frost to high ground early morning, and possibly lingering during the day, along with cooling temps and mists to valleys overnight as cloud grows thicker. Expect colder winter temps from now on.

 

16th-24th January

There are three major events for this phase. One is land/snow slides, the other is seismic affecting our region but also longitude from Brighton through Grimsby and northwards, 20th-22nd, my money is on 22nd, and the other is air and land pollution from the onset arising from widely fluctuating weather extremes and drilling activities–gas and deep cavernous rock minerals are likely to be actively triggered causing hazardous events.

Communication lines will also be at risk as well as transport routes where ice, blizzards and harsh weather breaks out.

Landslides expected to Komi, ASSR, Russian federation area 17th-19th, some seismicity affecting the area too.

Air pollution coming in from the east is highly likely to impact on health in W Yorks region.

16th As above some westerly battles with gloomy easterlies. Clear cool and crisp outlook.

17th Snow flurries likely around 6-8 am, mid day and evening; winter showers heavy to NW with rain sleet or snow in the mix, and travelling our way possibly overnight into 18th. NW Scotland could be seeing unsettled weather for seagoing.

18th A mixed bag will create problems with milder low lying currents overlaid with colder higher air strata, so in valleys expect milder temps but on high you will feel the cold coming in, and frostiness. This is a combination of freeze and thaw meeting and sudden thawing to soil can create slide hazards, snow or mudslides on mountains and moors, Pennines and cliffs. It all depends on altitude of regions affected.
Conditions established today also affect gases and other minerals underground.

18th into 19th Erratic winds NE and SE circulate with routes affect by blizzards and either rapidly thawing or rapidly freezing surfaces. Communication and power lines in Eastern areas can also be affected as blizzards begin to take hold.

20th Is very icy with blizzards continuing on high routes and to the north UK affecting comms mostly and exposed transport routes, but some sunshine may break through the mix up, the sun laughing at earthling folly! Ozone rich atmosphere operative today.

21st, Mists mizzles and gloominess freezing fogs at start of day, with spurts of icy hail and winds driving in sleet and sporadic winter outbursts till after midnight tonight. Today sees temps dropping low brining an icy cold day.

22nd Is when I expect seismic offerings so will be tracking where the EQ affects UK landmasses. Air and land pollution high today, so take care when out and about. Heavy winter showers expected to fall across mainland UK take care if travelling or check your air or train availability due to disruption over past few days.

23rd Freezing mists and fogs in high places, but less wind and more settled outlook ahead, with temps levelling out from icy, icy temps. Some clearer skies to help us feel less assaulted by weather dramas.

24th Jan – 1st Feb

Very cold, frosty time ahead, some icing on exposed watery places, but temps will get milder as this phase progresses. Some dry days with sunshine around, clearer evening skies keeping things cool, unless otherwise forecast.

Likely days for winter showers are 25th around 6-8pm when showers with sleet and snow and hail can race around. 28th sees a fair start with snow flurries around mid afternoon but 31st looks like being the worst day for rain stopping play but this looks like happening late evening around 9-11pm, and could continue into early next day.

Winds more settled, less blustery till 27th when they get gusty but a good day for drying out anything that got drenched.
EQ aftershocks may reverberate around S E seaboard US 25th or 30th Jan likely dates. The butterfly effect, cause damage in one part of the globe and see it affect another part………………………..

Mists, high humidity and cold damp air, though less cold by 30th when southerlies bring in some promise of more weather battles to come.

31st seems to potentially bring in more blizzards.

1st -8th Feb
The stormy nature continues but temps eventually less cutting by 6th. EQ potential again 2+ or – 4th, haven’t time to see where this is likely to be…east of UK suspect longitude 25 E

1st-2nd is full of blizzards intense from midnight to mid day with power lines and air traffic affected. the system begins off NW sea areas of Scotland and slowly moves SE over next 2-3 days eventually fizzling out to East sea regions Gales to high spots affect air travel and routes and comms. Gusty spurts lashing any prominent landmark. Worst of weather should ease after mid day 1st, but start up again early morning to mid day on 2nd, which will be a very unsettled outlook with winds of gusts at varying speeds, bringing in rain sleet and snow to high ground. Temps cold to freezing depending how exposed you are. Winds dying down on 2nd but evening could see potential residual precipitation.

3rd Low temps prevails, some cloud and sunshine, breezy. Cloud thickens by evening with potential for sporadic isolated sharp showers.

4th Weather systems move quickly eastwards so varying cloud, sunshine, fair and not so fair scurrying along. Some blue skies to enjoy with sunshine in the mix. Overnight into 5th could see some static outbursts.

5th Chilly start, gusty again, erratic sudden spurts, some static lightening may also arrive in the morning, with sleet or hail outbursts, mostly localised in micros.

6th-8th Northerlies are active now trying to clear the weather away some spits or spots around blowing in the wind but generally a fair outlook expected. 7th more likely to see more winter flurries arrive before mid day with snow in the mix, snow settling on residual frost likely. Winds can be active but not so strong as earlier in the phase.

 

8th-15th February

Winds are less active though any breeziness will contain a chilly feel. Northerlies are moving westwards warding off some of the worst of the weather out in mid Atlantic and iciness attempting to come down from Iceland, so we can expect some fairer weather to generally prevail. If you’re organising outdoor pursuits the 10th is a fantastic day to put in your diary—pay me later…

8th Sun with cloud expected during daytime. temps colding (yes I know its not in the dictionary)

9th is cool and fair with varying cloud but heavy winter showers expected to the west around10-11pm

10th Could see the heavy overnight winter shower coming over our region before the day breaks out into refreshing and fine outdoor atmospherics. Wind chills but exhilarating, very pleasant.

11th temps seasonally mild should still be fair conditions generally.

12th Cold temps with occasional isolated sporadic short sharp showers pm and late evening

13th A chill factor and a little bit clammy with mists and likely breezes could turn windy with aloft air chill factor.

14th This looks like either snow or sleet around in our region from early am not sure, sorry…might even be mists lingering but with humidity around during the daytime.

15th ongoing……………….

15th-22nd Feb

This phase sees temps growing colder to frosty but mostly uneventful headline weather wise. 15th-17th mainly dry some clouds around and southerly flows, so any precip forecast is expected to be light.

15th early am could see sleet and rainy spells heavy to the west snow in the mix at the start of day slowly travelling our way, skies clearer by 4-6pm but chilly conditions moving in late evening

16th showery before sunrise mists and mizzles potential some cloud around but mostly dry during the day.

17th similar outlook to yesterday though snow bearing clouds look to get heavily laden

18th breezy chills frosts but some blue sky with sunshine around, fairer southwards cloudier to north with southerly flows

19th Fair but nippy outlook mists and fogs to valleys and low lying roads by late pm and overnight, freeze fogs potential

20th Looks like blue skies around with sunshine but little warmth freeze fogs by evening again.

21st similar weather as previous days some static hard hitting showery stuff circa 7pm

22nd I expect sleet snow and rain to arrive and move across many regions of the UK today, potentially southwards around break of day but moving around. W Yorks looks like being hit circa 8pm Mod to heavy precip expected.

22nd Feb-1st March

The worst of the weather stays in the Mid Atlantic for a while longer and this looks like being mild, with 28th unusually so for the season.

22nd as above with 23rd less likely to bring rain.

Without delivering a blow by blow account, I expect seasonally calmer trends with little precipitation or disturbance. Some cloud around but also some sunshine. 24th looks a little lively with gusty weather 25th is fair for the north with fast moving weather taking any rain threats away, 26th is blustery with erratic gusts, but mild temps, 27th is cool but clearer skies, varying winds with cloud scurrying along, thickening later into potential misty conditions near valleys and low lying routes.
28th will see mists and fogs in the evening and sun could find it hard to break through haziness during the day which will have very mild temps for a winter season.

29th still some mistiness and fogs but greater expectation of them clearing during the day

1st Cool fair weather could be disturbed after mid day by showers

1st-9th March

Seismic intensity magnifies around equatorial regions of Indonesia or of equatorial region of South America for this phase. 2nd -6th March above 5 mag expected.

Some mists, fogs or snow could be to the west of us but the outlook is eerily calmer than expected for this time of year, unless I missed something major….the calm before the storm perhaps however, here goes

1st is cool fine and fair some cloud around but nothing to worry about, and late evening skies look very clear indeed pehaps inviting frosts to form and mists.

2nd is similar to 1st but potential for showery outbursts around mid day, sudden sporadic and intermittent spells.
3rd Looks like a very nice day with a clear atmosphere for those with a camera

4th-5th again nice outside but some blustery whippy gusts beginning to get active

6th is disturbed and a little unsettled but by mid day again things should look good.

7th sees winter hail sleet and snow coming over, may be heavy at times, heavier to the west but travelling our way too arriving potentially circa 9 am

8th full of mists and fogs or haze so it will be hard for the sun to get through…could be mingled with some pollutants as well

9th-15th March

This looks like weather Armageddon when the weather shows us who is in charge, and it isn’t flood defences or other man made attempts to rule the globe! Weather alerts galore expected. Cyclone breeding off NE coast South America adding to turbulent Spring Tides expected to bring dangers to sea off Northern coast of Scotland and Orkneys breeding gales, within first few days, travelling to SE Scotland into North England and downwards .

Similar conditions to first week in December 2015 are set to break out. I often hope I get predictions like this wrong, so here’s hoping I am.

Blizzard territory likely to break out this phase….

This is a total solar eclipse with perigee Moon on 10th, so we expect some wild and extreme weather to come and continue. In December the world watched as floods broke through defences in Cumbria and many parts of the UK were assaulted by torrential rain, gales and landslides in Altura in the Highlands and at Ullswater, with gales across Wales and western parts to add to the spectacle.

Severely disturbed atmospherics continue, with record breaking outbursts expected, Lowestoft/E Anglia region singled out for
headlines–possible air and travel and sea disruptions but could also be lightening strikes, along with other parts of the UK seeing action hitting headlines.

The equinox isn’t far away and usually the heat of Australian summers get dragged up to clash with the cold of our winter breeding Spring in it’s wake. Spring with noisy labour pains.

Temps can be metal bending cold in high regions and as this crystallises it will drop down to meet the warm air travelling northward, often this results in tornadic breakouts circa 11th for W Midlands and circa 13th to some valleys as cold air falls downslope.

A quick tour of the drama begins with unsettled outlook for 9th-10th, showery outburst expected, but some fair weather possible during the day, though to the west there will already be signs of winter showers. Static outbursts expected
10th-11th The worst of the weather comes overnight 10-11th and looks set to migrate around the UK with record levels of precipitation as well as flash floods breaking out as the sleet, snow and rain circulates, W Yorks in the firing line for this event, as well as other regions. Fogs and mists highly likely near sea and valleys and watery areas.

Rivers and other watering places in low lying valleys expected to flood plains and beyond, so collect your cattle, and keep vulnerable creatures and people safe over next few days as well.

12th looks set to bring in some breezes with some milder outlook but humidity high with more wintery outbursts potential sleet/hail during the evening.

13th-15th Some isolated narrow storms travel through valleys with tornado potential to Midlands, air transport affected as well as high routes across Pennines and traffic on bridges over estuaries, as scattered electrical storms move around. There could also be news of more mudslides. Precipitation expected overnight 14-15th when mugginess and mists and cloudy conditions prevail.

Very strong northerlies around by 15th trying to clear away the mess King Weather has ruled us with. Tendency for cold miserable bouts of sleet, hail, snow and rain with valley areas feeling the brunt of high levels of accumulation……..

Rivers and other watering places in low lying valleys expected to flood plains and beyond, so collect your cattle, and keep vulnerable creatures and people safe

15th -20th March
More furies to contend with as a stormy outbursts hits from the West to NE GB, gale force winds arise strong and northerly, seagoing affected and major routes and air travel disturbed by this trend. More heavy precipitation coming in as the northerlies, often high speed and fierce, try seeing off the stormy weather. Western parts most hit with disruption to air, sea land, rail. Gales around from 15th, hurricane likely to rage in from the sea—-destructive by 16/17th., 18th might be more settled but not for long while 19th is very cold and windy with northerly chill.

The Equinox is early on 20th disturbing conditions further and sudden falls in temps partner a cold front descending from the north with sudden abundant rains to watering places in valleys overstretching capacity in rivers, on roads and low lying pathways and routes…….mass floods heralded.

Spring arrives with a grand entrance letting everyone know hell hath no fury like a global climate on the attack

 

Time to think of those wonderful summer days ahead…………..

AUTUMN 2015 Long Range Weather West Yorks N Yonder

Autumn Weather 2015.

Using satellite technology, all astro mets are able to see further ahead than traditional met methods allow, and use ancient satellite technology tried and tested for thousands of years.

I forecast for W Yorks N Yonder to make sure I can monitor my success rate as met forecasts often are different to what the outcome is.

Because micro weather patterns often circulate, such as mists, mizzles to valleys as Addingham, Ilkley and Otley, while hail and sleet can also travel micro style, as do some static showers, it takes too long to track them and would make the weather report too unwieldy to read, so if the forecast is for dry but over the road from you there is a shower or mist, this is the reason why.

10th-20th Oct looks stormy with flash floods likely, and Christmas could see high levels of precipitation with threat of floods for the season for some regions.

 

       Sept 21st-28th
Many changes as equinox arrives 23rd September with shifting planetary positions and move to closest perigee Moon 2015, adversely affecting the weather. Flash floods expected to headline to locations 24 east longitude of Britain. Rains will be heavy to East Britain around 26th, with 25th beginning the breeding of stormy outbursts to low lying areas in west regions; Ireland vulnerable to these, but they will travel over our way before moving eastwards. Expect choppy seas growing wilder over coming days with high tides causing probs on coastlines with mists n mizzles more likely to eastern shores.

 

14th-16th September sees more afflictions to East Asia regions such as China, Taiwan/Japan areas.

21st Sun with cloud, temps low to mod for season, some NE breezes, and any rainy outbursts will be further out to western regions of W Yorks.
22nd Clearer skies promising a fair day around sunrise but sporadic showers expected to come in as day progresses, heavier to west. Unsettled by late eve along with localised static outbursts to our region and yonder.
23rd Very unsettled today as the Sun moves into the southern hemisphere, with temps variable but some blue skies around and cool with much colder conditions to high or exposed places such as the Chevin, moors and highlands. Sudden sporadic micro hail or sleet showers can move around but wont be long lasting from 7-8 am and intermittently t/out the day and into next morning.

24th More rainy outbursts expected combined with northerlies trying to clear away the unsettled weather of previous days.

25th -26th Gusty westerlies around with a bright start 25th combining with gusty westerlies, but some stormy outcomes breeding to low lying areas indicating more unsettled weather, with very heavy rains forming flash floods expected further eastwards as referred to above, East Anglia may also see heavy rains. Mists, mizzles fogs and drizzles to eastern Brit generally.
27th A faster moving weather system begins to flow with warmer temps today but mugginess, could be misty start, cloud around and humidity. NE speedy winds arrive today

28th Sept-4th Oct
Temps begin to climb this phase peaking around 3rd. Expect clearer overnight skies generally, but some mugginess and clouds delivers mists and high humidity with clouds preventing sun shining fully during the day. The East coast of Britain gets the highs of the season, so book now to make the most of what looks like a mini Indian Summer coming in….

Some of the disturbances of previous week still operate and in W Yorks and Yonder there will be still some electrical outbursts with power lines affected, more fires to buildings could be in news.

28th Some warmth but also static outbursts. Winds strong NW with high areas more vulnerable to these speedy outbursts.

29th-4th looks likely to have showery outbursts due to rising temps, so humidity is high but rains can be refreshing. Winds die out after 30th.
1st Can be calm, misty, muggy in areas such as Addingham, Ilkley and other valleys, but higher ground should show a clearer outlook. A sultrier outcome prevails to southern Britain where mists and mizzles due to higher temps will be found. Around 2–5 am some mists and mizzles with cloud around to many Brit areas, but clearing for a better evening later in the day.
2nd-4th Windy/breezy with clearer skies indicating sunshine and warmth from sun and seasonal highs. Could be some sea disturbances NW Scotland region 1st-2nd so watch out for ocean news if you are a seabird.

4th Oct-13th Oct
Unusual Autumnal weather circulating and I had to look further than W Yorks and yonder to see what is going on and how it will break over our region as it travels. no guarantees due to some conflicting patterns making it difficult to see which would prevail.

Some sea disturbances moving around SE Anglia, Kent regions will create hazards for sea goers around 5-7th….but 6th is most likely day for culmination. Fruits and flowers affected by either drought for some regions, and humidity for others mould breeding conditions seem widespread.
Fogs mists and mizzles prevail more to eastern quarters, with some mini thundery showers circulating t/out this phase due to static build up as rising warmth hits falling lows.

4th Scattered showery outburst attempts from 6-10 am, with temps warming mod to high seasonal temps but causing static outbursts of hail and sleet by the evening rush hour.
5th Drier sun with cloud.
6th-7th A lot going on today with semi tropical lows off-shore East Anglia/Kent coastal regions migrating north-eastwards towards northern Midlands and further westwards during next few days. Troubled waters off-shore expected so check seagoing services.
Expect clouds to W Yorks and yonder as this humidity rises north, but fairer outcomes to our region than these southern parts. Further west of us on 6th another system shows some static creeps in around mid day and with an easterly wind/weather pattern we get some muggy atmospherics to contend with Some rain could break out but is more likely in southern GB and western areas.
By 7th Some mini cloudburst expected mostly in valleys where haziness is likely to prevail around watery places. Static, hazy and humid fungal, breeding weather travelling from S E towards NW regions.
8th-9th Cloud, mists mizzly, sultry and still but also foggy breakouts affecting traffic flow by rush hour after work, so visibility not clear. This looks like a damp wet and muggy day with southerly air flows keeping things muggy.
10th cooler temps around with clearer skies trying to break out some gusty breezes or winds helping move clouds away but this could be a day when thundery outbreaks arise, more evident to eastern parts.
11th Rain, sleet clouds and easterlies keeping things overcast, damp conditions if not heavy rain, fogs and mists to coast and inland valleys. It is fairer much further north from 10th-13th and we benefit too fairing better than southern regions, but with news of snow on mountains of Scotland not out of the question.
12th Looks cold overcast, gloomy and bleak with more lightening/ thundery outbursts….clearer better even sunnier outlook by evening around sunset…but read on will double check this…

12th-20th Oct
An exceedingly excitable weather phase with violent and intense electrical t/storms with lightening strikes, strong winds and floods expected, causing travel chaos and some damage to transport routes including M 62 and M1 and roads adjoining and city wide. Here is a quick tour rather than a detailed analysis……this is a very spectacular, dramatic and awesome weather phase. Normally a new moon brings rain from evenings into the night and at the outset this is the case, but with such strong celestial combinations it could be overruled and due to so much going on it would take too much space to record every detail of it.

12th-13th sees a taste of stormy outbursts stronger to western extremities i.e. Cornwall, Wales, NW Scotland and centring on Irish Sea. Ireland gets rising temps while mainland GB and W Yorks and yonder gets clearer skies but lower temps and we will hear of hail, sleet even snow to high ground. N Westerlies become strong and powerful during this phase. Winds will be howling around too.

13th-15th fairer days with 13th showing last pitch of rainy outbursts 6-8 am likely to finish off outpourings coming in from 12th with a fairer day to follow. Temps will be cold but skies will be clear and blue but winds will be strong and blustery blowing off your hat. Some quick showery outbursts intermittent, but mostly blue skies in between. 14th should be drier and more reasonable weather although a few scattered showers may break out, but by 15th strong winds continue with rising temps to west and t/storms can cause problems to transport routes.

16th More cracking electrical outbursts and there will be high amounts of speedy rainfall potentially creating floods to routes and places near rivers and lakes. Flash floods more likely further to western areas as we see heavy rain moving eastwards too. For us there should be some warmth and clearing occasionally to bluer skies with sunny spells alternating with sudden hail or sleet. Do prepare for the worst even if the skies seem to promise the best when you set off as these systems are speedy and can catch up with you with little warning.

17th Flood problems still trouble western regions where fogs and mists create low visibility, we may have fairer weather but the NW winds can soon scatter rogue showers around intermittently.
18th Storms still circulating with NW very strong it will be 19th before this drama of cracking static weather passes on leaving some destruction in its wake.

20th-27th Oct
At last a calm after the stormy outbursts of Autumn of the last few weeks. Some sunshine and good outdoors weather to come.

Temps are cooler but at least accompanied by calmer weather. Frosts likely but we will see some sunshine along the way.
20th-21st Some cloud around but a calmer autumn outlook with sunshine once mists clear, mini sporadic outbursts likely to 21st but this wont spoil outdoor events.

22nd Some gusty spurts around cheeky at times with cold frosts to keep you on your toes.

23rd Could see some precipitation, intermittent by late afternoon, cloud, mists and some unsettled weather but fair weather should prevail during the day.

24th Cold and cutting with gusty NW breezes/winds…this looks hazardous out to seas to Eastern regions. Frosts highly likely to form.

25th Looks like another good days for outdoors with fresh atmosphere, but very cold, though exhilarating. Some NW to nip your exposed extremities too.

26th Sporadic hail and sleet showery stuff around with gusty breezes turning windy and keeping things cold feeling wintery. Frosts also likely.
27th Very strong windy weather today likely to turn into gales to NW and on high ground..

27th Oct-3rd Nov
Strong winds and gales continue for the first two days of this phase, blustery weather as temps decline steadily. This is when we glimpse winter ahead.
Clearer skies at night allow temps to fall but this will please sky gazers.
It will be mountains, Pennines and moors that get the worst of some of the blasts blowing over with snow likely on very high ground.

27th-28th Very strong winds around with sudden spurts of speedy velocity, cold and cutting. Winds bring some rain on its wings and by 28th snow on high ground is expected, along with some sleet and strong NW Frost expect late night 28th. Cold, sunshine and cloud and windy weather for these two days with exhilarating fresh air to take your breath away.
29th Still windy but not as wild as previous days. Sunshine after a frosty start some roads could be icy. It seems too cold to allow rain to fall, but beyond W Yorks, to far west may have some outpourings today
30th The day seems sunny with cloud around, could be some freezing mists around valleys and low lying roads near watery areas.
31st Temps peak to coldest but a very bright sunny day expected.
1st-3rd Breezy conditions which can turn into whippy westerlies, frost around, some sunshine with cloud…..but read on for 3rd.

3rd-10th Nov
Indications are of a more settled phase with some gentle showery weather mostly overnight, and coldest temps gradually subsiding as 7th arrives.
3rd Looks to have sunshine and northerlies less active, but still chilly. Rain expected overnight into early 4th, bonfire piles will need to be kept dry if you want a good blaze for bonfire night— a little rain stills a great wind. Cloud and sunshine around for 4th -5th with more cloud expected to cover views of Taurids meteor showers. Cool but dry for 5th.
6th Looks fair by mid day some mists around watery places. Sudden winds spurts or breezy outbursts around today.
7th -10th Temps seasonally milder, with some showery outbursts. Clouds around with sun spells and mists/fogs likely.
11th Brings rain for the evening which will move eastwards overnight.

11th-19th Nov
We miss the weather dramas to be witnessed globally for this phase.
Temps still on seasonally mod to mild range and some fair days ahead until winds begin to be very lively from 15th.

11th can bring some showery outburst mid morning but this should be a fair day with sunshine.
12th Taurids are lively for sky watchers at night and sudden wind spurts will keep clouds moving to give occasional view of the night sky.
13th Northerlies seem strong today but outlook is for fair with fresh atmosphere after a cloudy night.
14th Rain or showers could miss our region, though some tail ends could be blown in by the wind mid morning. Cool with sunshine likely.
15th Some mists and clouds around but the afternoon should be sunny and fine. Windy outdoors
17th-18th Scattered showers likely, intermittent and sporadic turning to hail and sleet showers by 18th. The winds get extra lively for next few days. The Leonids may be difficult to spot with some cloud around.
19th Continuing windy with sun and clouds but also some showery weather later in the day……read on

19th-25th Nov
Not a pleasant outlook at all could turn out stormier than the outlook forecast for some isolated regions. News of landslides highly likely. Regions around John O Groats, Dundee, Gloucester, Cornwall, Blackpool, Keswick, Wigton regions look to encounter the worst of this weather and landslides could affect mountains and coastal areas.

Mists and mugginess can prevail with unsettled weather to come. Risk of high levels of rain from mid afternoon 19th creating isolated flash floods and very damp humid atmosphere.. Damp and oppressive weather around, not good for planning outdoor activities.
The 20th is unsettled with rains continuing and shows a little sun, with a lot of cloud also some winds racing around taking heavy rains eastwards. 22nd will see mini whirlwinds to some localities.
Excess cloud around and temps lowering again after 21st with potential for ice to form. Snow for mountains and Pennines peaks by 23rd when winds get wild and nasty, with cold, frosty outlook for us 23rd/ 24th onwards. 25th Continues the dark, dull gloomy weather with hazes, mists and fogs around and variable winds battling it out in sudden spurts.

25th Nov 2nd Dec
This phase should see an eventual turnaround on previous gloomy wet damp conditions. Temps get much colder and bring frost over, some iciness expected and it looks too cold to rain though some sporadic hail or sleet could affect isolated locales. Weather settles into cold frosty and less agitated by 27th for a few days and by 1st December it is looking very wintery.
Winds turning northerly to clear away the bad and bring in more settled outlook but will be chilly. 25th-29th has clearer calmer weather with sunshine, overnight frosts expected. 30th holds potential for showers around London areas, and 2nd could bring some winter showers to our regions.

3rd-11th December
Weather system flowing in from the East could be making headlines, as it did 13th 14th August when heavy rains came over from Spain and beyond. Some static conditions mean we can expect a few sleet and hail outbursts for this phase. Flash floods expected to cause problems to the western areas the general trend is for very heavy precipitation 3rd-5th causing more flash floods circulating to some southern regions too as with 13th/14th August.
This phase will prove extra stormy for Cork, Lewis and Stornaway with snow for Glencoe expected and a little turbulent for us too.

Some precipitation potential lingers to the west threatening to travel here to dampen our parade early morning on 3rd but we should see some sunshine breaking out in the afternoon with clearer skies by eve.
4th brings in some invigorating trends with blue skies and sunshine but winter temps leave an intense chill.
5th A little unsettled today and a mix of precipitation potential so winter outbursts likely with snow, sleet and hail in the mix, and some nippy breeziness to contend with.
6th Onwards continues chilly but less likelihood of showery outbursts, although 7th could see winter outbursts to eastern parts after sunrise. 8th sees northerlies active while 9th and 10th is cold but with sunshine around and some blue skies mid afternoon could bring some winter outburst around mid afternoon both days some sleet and snow expected.
11th Is when static brings down more cutting rain, hail, sleet and snow

The last three days will see likelihood of higher levels of winter showers crossing Gloucester, John o Groat’s regions.

11th-18th Dec
Gusty wind patterns for this phase but these can send clouds scurrying along and help dry out any winter precipitation.
11th sees some strong hail and sleet showers with gusts of NW. Air travel could be disrupted around these days, especially for those going to Iceland to see Santa, make sure your travel is insured. Disruptive weather mid Atlantic will interfere with journeys crossing them. Mists and fogs potential for early morning today and 12th, with some regions of UK seeing snow and sleet attempts.

13th-16th NW gusty weather, some haze, mist and cloud but with temps on the seasonally mod to mild side these won’t be freezing mists. Some showery outbursts around 8-10 pm on 13th, and evening to sunrise from 14th-15th with sunshine and cloud during the day. 16th continues the scattered showers theme but these will not be long lasting, though will cause mists to valleys.
17th Cloudy and misty start looks likely to be more cloud than sun today, Rain could be heavy over to far west regions
18th Doesn’t look healthy….read on

18th-25th December
Temps move towards very cold and wintery, turning to frosty by the last few days, with some bleak weather around for Christmas shopping.
The West coastal regions get covered in fogs mists and mizzles around the winter solstice on 22nd this year when the sun i giving Australia a dose of summer, and bringing us an awareness of how gloomy winter can be.

18th Winds with rain, scattered showery outlook rain could be heavy and NE Scotland looks likely to feel the heavy rains expected, some flash floods likely, but W Yorks seems to avoid these as fast moving weather systems move up from the south.
19th Cold temps with southerly systems active. Could turn frosty and snow to high ground highly evident. Air will be crisp and light snow, sleet and wintery outbursts continue from yesterday, some sunshine with cloud gathering gloomy during the day.
20th Could be muggy with some gusty weather at times very cold outlook but sun with cloud mid day, cloud more likely to northern parts and some of W Yorks, fairer weather to south.
21st Strong winds, spasmodically gusty and speedy at times look set to strike today and looks like blizzards herald the solstice. I expect hail, sleet and snow storms to develop as unsettled weather breaks out for 21st-22nd. Freezing fogs and mists develop to western coastal regions with some tidal traffic upsets due to low visibility/choppy seas. Expect transport routes to be affected, air travel included. Some fairer outlook trying to break out by pm on 22nd, but it will develop icily on high terrain by evening and overnight. Bleak weather for these two days.
23rd Outlook gloomy at times. Colder but less wild, sunshine with cloud by mid day with some northerlies trying to battle away the S Easterlies.
24th Fairer start and sunshine looks likely to prevail with occasional gusty breezes/winds fair to mod in strength, but some mists are likely, also some winter showers coming over W Yorks after mid day. This system is travelling eastwards on a very cold day and will affect eastern regions by 25th.
25th Happily the Northerlies are active today and these always clear away the bad weather–eventually. Wintery showers could greet the day around sunrise.
Full Moon Christmas Day indicates cold, frosty weather in winter. Mists break out, with some drizzles and mizzles to lowlands from Devon to East coast of Yorkshire.
The next few days will be very settled for W Yorks with clear evening skies but lots of frost around. However, the SE regions i.e East Anglia don’t seem to fare so well and some localised flash flooding may cause problems there and other southern regions, heavy precipitation expected.

I don’t see snow for us on 25th, but Boxing Day does show frost, potentially snowfall or sleet and hail by late evening, depending on how high your location is.

New Years day looks a better bet weather wise with a fair outlook for those going to the races.

SUMMER 2015 West Yorks N Yonder UK Weather Brief

Your Summer Weather Forecast for 2015 W Yorks N Yonder UK

Rock carvings Langdale

Apologies to those trying to visit over the past few weeks, but due to some unagreed interference with acceptable transmission of my work and mega plagiarism and reuse  of it,  I have had to temporarily offer only private access to my site. Hopefully this can now change.

This is a quick tour of the weather for W Yorks and Yonder for summer 2015 where yet again I haven’t analysed wind charts nor have I gone into my usual detailed accounting of daily weather patterns but hopefully the forecast wont be too far out and should yield at least 70-80% general accuracy. I am quite pleased with the results of my Spring tour this year which did deliver often 100% accuracy and mostly 85-90% accuracy for my region.

I should advise I normally look at daytime weather rather than overnight conditions, due to most people wanting to know which days are best for outings etc.

I will try and post the August weather trends sometime soon folks………….Enjoy this summer for it could begin to develop into colder summers to come……more of this later.

24th June-2nd July

Potentially seismic outbursts to East China Sea area between Japanese and Chinese/Shanghai region, watch out for this +/- 2 days 24th June

Meanwhile back in W Yorks it looks like some gusty and varying easterlies are around, mostly affecting western regions.

The pattern is optimistic weather wise, if not cause for racing outside and shouting ”hurrah” as it looks likely the week will progress into some gorgeous if not fabulous weather with clear electric blue skies, great photography weather and time to go paragliding, ballooning, fly your kite or just get out into the great outdoors to enjoy the summer conditions.
Temps will be above seasonal ave, while those of you walking the Pennines or peaks will find some cooler temps telling you to walk faster to keep warm, but put your sun hat on and watch it doesn’t get blown away by some gusty cheeky breezes on high.
The only cloud on the horizon is around 30th when some cloud could bring in sporadic showery stuff coming in from the west but don’t worry it wont be enough to spoil things for long. The 1/2nd could see some mists in valleys overnight to early morning near river valleys, humidity levels high overnight with some cloud stopping warmth from escaping our terrestrial atmosphere.

2nd –8th July

I haven’t even bothered delivering the usual analysis for this phase, with two major benefics showing a wonderful combi for all to enjoy in our part of the world, I expect fabulous weather described earlier to continue…the temp highs come later folks and will be worth waiting for unless I see thundery outburst to accompany, watch this space….

8th-16th July
Wow! The only blot on the horizon is some polluting influence, not sure how air based it is, this is due to temps climbing and aggravating conditions for those who have breathing disorders.

The 9th could bring some sporadic showery outbursts, over as fast as they begin, localised hail outbursts likely if they do arrive, mostly to the west of our regions but could spill out over here too, whilst 11th cloud see some precip, but I doubt it will last long, and will provide a welcome breath of fresh air as well as relief for thirsty hard working plants, though of course it will keep the atmosphere cooler. So expect a refreshing downpour.

The East coast looks like getting the real highs of summer this week, however this could also bring in some sea frets potentially spoiling the view at Whitby 13th-16th, but the south westerly region also looks hot, hot, hot, but most of Britain benefits from a lovely summer outbreak of rising temps with some showery outbreaks moving around but not spoiling things too much. The 16th potentially brings in some clear skies and sunny weather for us but I’m not ruling out some scattered hail outbursts in some localities….

16th-24th July

Azores highs seem likely to continue for a few more days at least, always a welcome trend in summer, even though there may also be some showery outbursts and cloud forming as a result of static building as the week progresses. Expect an Azores high building to peak around 14th.
Mars and Mercury combine by 16th to bring in some fast, furious and gusty westerlies, so at least they will move any clouds quickly onwards. There will be turbulence out to sea with this influence- the mid Atlantic suspect, could even be refugees fleeing over sea to Americas.
More clouds to the east at the start of the phase, with potential for quick hail or sporadic showery stuff around mid day on 17th for us, earlier for areas to the west of us, that’s lakes, and further to Wales etc whilst on 18th this is further to the eastern areas where more gloom and cloud are likely, but this could gradually travel east our way on following days.

Some gusty N Westerlies continue keeping temps cool on 18th, getting more hectic and speedy by 19th. By 23rd we can expect some breezy, gusty weather sometimes very brisk and breezy, particularly on high spots and this will create disturbances for air transport, air temps decline and lowering……this system should die off by 20th bringing us up to 21st and onwards into following days when fair weather prevails but with lowering temps.
Sunshine is likely to be around in occasional outbursts rather than prolonged uninterrupted levels 23rd/24th are very unsettled.

24th-31st July

Some mists, cloud and gloom around so don’t expect a brilliant week ahead and scattered thunderstorms could circulate, but haven’t time to track these. Some subterfuge being hidden away on the high seas as well……

Doesn’t look good at all really.. Some fair conditions at the start, but very unsettled, with some easterly gloom hovering further east and threatening to rain on our parade potentially around 26th when it looks likely to be heavier to the east but travelling back our way. Cooling breezes stubbornly refuse to give way to summer from the start. Mists prevail to the NE regions, more heat to areas far south for this phase.

Temps bottom out by 28th while whippy westerlies keep things lively, so no hope of a sunbathe; I also expect some thundery outbursts mostly East/South/N East. Things look to go downhill 29th-31st and farmers struggle to keep haystacks dry, while fruits need careful watching under some unwelcome broody damp weather.

31st also brings in more breezy conditions to keep things cool but 31st things will be humid and still damp but with a promise of better weather ahead….or not..

Prettiest Village in Yorkshire Dales

UK WEATHER BRIEF SPRING 2015: Long Range Weather Forecast W Yorks and Yonder

Best dog ever

First of all apologies to those people who have signed up for regular reading, life and the universe had other plans for recent seasons.
I can’t promise normal service resumed, but promise I will make every effort to do so as it would be reckless to ignore years of skill developed by using astrology to forecast weather.

I can’t promise 90%-100% accuracy for this forecast as I know for sure I abandoned looking at the wind charts settling instead for expedience and using indicators in the other charts instead. I do expect 60%-80% and for sure some weeks may even move towards being 100% accurate, and I do hope this will be the June part of the forecast which will bring in some fine weather if not a flaming June living up to normal expectations.

Spring Weather 2015

The New Moon on 20th March reached perigee on 19th so is not quite a massive headline supermoon but will bring some unsettled weather as this is also the day of the equinox, and the sun rising into the northern hemisphere along with the moon we will see some fast moving weather systems, so don’t expect sunshine or rain to stay around for long. However, this perigee is quite long lasting as some of my weather buddy friends point out (noteably the ever watchful Ken Paone) and Robert Nolle calls it a ‘stealth supermoon’ due to it forming an eclipse while perigee lasts from 13th-27th March capturing the equinoctial phase.

Not only that NM being at the end of one sign and ready to move into another we can expect trends to vary quite dramatically from the outset. The last time we had a New Moon at this stage of motion heralding Spring, was 1996, however this wasn’t eclipsed. I failed to find any records of weather drama for the UK, which is not to say there wasn’t; just that most websites I searched had headlines for other months and years than this. I do expect some spring tides to be wary of at coastal places, with sea frets and mists more to the east coast, but if you like the spectacle of sea horses and crashing waves the coast is where you need to be for this these few days. An eclipse can often nullify expected outcomes, whilst a perigee Moon can often exaggerate them, whilst a planet moving from water to a fire sign can often bring spectacular results all on its ownsome. Certainly the Sun cuspal for the equinox on 20th will bring in some static atmospheric turbulence and with the Moon in tow this indicates mists and fogs.

I’ll be watching the eastern central Philippine area to see if a hurricane arrives there around 20th-21st, but it will be fast moving and short-lived.

Here is a brief tour only:

 

20th-27th March

20th Very unsettled with one weather system soon replacing another in quick succession: cloudier if not gloomy to some areas by evening, and some nebulous wind flow.
21st Wetness seems to stay to the west of us, though some may blow over to parts of W Yorks, with some hail and sleet showers rapidly arising then stopping suddenly as it began, more likely to south of England, but in fast moving pockets. Usually weather like is accompanied with sunshine, but this can soon be overtaken by cloud as well so any sun spells may not be long lasting. 8-10pm could also see more outbursts as described. Some cold whippy northerlies and westerlies could be attempting to clear way the unsettled weather from today.
22nd Clouds around, humidity hints at warmer temps, clouds and mist by late evening.
23rd Some warmth could break out today but humidity rules so misty pockets could spoil visibility, especially at the start of the day (this means at the turn of day around midnight onwards beyond 1am) so take care whilst travelling throughout Yorkshire and beyond….Some cold pockets out of the sun where breezes wind around corners and some cloud around.
24th I expect some showery outbursts today evening the likely time centreing around 3-4pm. Mists and clouds rule especially denser to the east regions, Spring April like showers highly likely so don’t take a sunny spell for granted. Still some warmth around so a heartening trend for gardeners with bulbs enjoying the weather. I also expect some whippy westerlies to be active today, more so to the NW regions.
25th Cooler temps sun with cloud around, micro hail and sleet outbreaks, particularly in the evening, interfere with sunny spells.
26th NW winds in spurts bring in icy temps to high and exposed places, but ensure clouds get blown away faster leaving a promise of sunshine as well……………………but not for long……………………….read on

27th March to 3rd April

Rain over the West will slowly, oh so slowly, beginning to move into West Yorkshire from today and will bring some heavy outbursts which will leave roads flooding as it moves on. I expect parts of Cumbria to be vulnerable to this from the 26th, as well as some places in W Yorks where rivers and lakes and flood plains will be witness to the incoming deluge. Ireland, Wales and Western Isles of Scotland will also take in this system from the outset. The East of use fares slightly better, but rain will travel in their direction by 28th when it is heavier to W Yorks before moving east.

Winds will still be keeping temps cool on high or exposed areas and will be quite brisk and Nor westerly

The 31st sees off the worst of this slow moving system but is still unsettled, while the 1st is calmer in outlook with no surprises weather wise, and the 2nd brings cooler conditions to E Anglia but fairer weather to the north, some easterlies threatening to spoil things again with a bit of gloom and some unsettled winds around, but by evening the sun is beckoning and promises a better day to enjoy for 3rd….enjoy……………..a lovely Spring day at last.

4th — 12th April

Some migrating lightening and t/storms likely making it difficult to positively locate them without taking a long time, but they can be expected during daytime rather than the night. Eastern parts of UK, East Anglia especially will see a lot of this type of weather.

4th potential showery outbursts by mid day with sporadic hail sleet type outbursts in some pockets of W Yorks during mid afternoon, so sunshine in between these outbursts. Eastern UK could see some of these outbursts
5th Rain likely to move down eastern coastal areas, dry to W Yorks but cool, very cool and lots of static around. Some occasional sun spells
6th Thunderstorms look likely mid morning to North, South and Eastern parts of Britain, W Yorks may get some inward moving systems but for us this clears by 1-2pm when sunshine and better weather should break out. North Westerlies strong and active but will hopefully take away the static stormy breakouts.
7th Cool day with some sunshine around but NW winds are strong and cutting, on high ground and coming downslope so watch out when travelling in valleys where wind tunnels can create problems.
8th Cold day with some cloud around , winds are still active keeping things cold but blowing clouds away to leave some gaps with blue sky coming through. Unsettled outlook by evening.
9th Much better outdoor weather today temps can be warmer than previous days
10th Cool but sunny with temps warming up. Winds could prove lively and highly excitable at times.
11th Should be a better Spring day with some warmth around come the 12th ……………………………………

My mum is so going to miss me this time of the year

12th-18th April
A generally fair but blustery phase, overall cool, breezy just about says it all, but there should some sunshine around too with Spring warmth for first few days.
The winds excited on 10th may continue to affect NW regions which could encounter comms and transport probs, while from 12th-14th hail sleet and snow outbreaks to NW Brit regions could see snowfall on highland areas.

12th Cold start; warmth from Sun by mid day and afternoon. Some mists could arise near watery places. Temps rising with southerlies.
13th Warmth around mid day and pm, but this could trigger a quick shower or two mid afternoon scattered and intermittent until before sunrise on 14th. Some mists also due to warmth creating moisture.
14th Some dampness remains but temps mod for season and some sunshine could break out between clouds, with potential for rain after mid day.
15th Cool, breezy and cloud around, easterlies bring in some gloomy conditions, lowering temps.
16th A slow moving weather pattern with clouds around, lower temps but it will be fairer to areas to in North and South Britain. Some gentle southerlies around too.
17th A fairer outlook for today.

18th-25th April

Temps look like being seasonally lower range for us, but down in Aus they could be battling the usual treetop fiery outbursts so watch the weather news for these headlines……

Overall drier weather should prevail until last two days, with some good spring-like days emerging, notably 21st- 22nd when ozone highs should keep everyone happy, so try get outdoors for the spring lift, but wrap up warmly…..

18th Southerly flows, some sunshine to enjoy during the day but by mid night it looks like some scattered stormy outbreaks stop play outdoors.
19th A few micro showers around breakfast time and again by teatime 6pmish but some sunshine in between but remember temps will be lower than usual, though some warmth from the sun at mid day onwards.
20th Should turn into a lovely spring day, a great day for getting sheets dry but watch out for those whippy keen westerlies if you are kite flying or ballooning..
21st The ozone highs arrive so expect a sunny day; cold, if not nippy, but great for outdoors. Northerlies keep things cooler but fresher.
22nd Winds northerly then whippy westerly and pretty speedy by late evening could be lively but at least they keep any clouds from turning things grey……..but
23rd-24th are the days when rain may arrive to spoil things heavier to mid day on 24th when it should subside…temps lower still to that of previous days.

25th April-4th May

The eastern coastal regions look to be enjoying some sea mists due to getting the best of the sunshine from the outset with E Anglia getting what highs of Spring are operating, but it should also be reasonably spring like with sunshine to W Yorks at the start. Temps fresh and moderately Spring like with some improved temps by 27th, but not for long….

25th-26th Sudden air frosts but generally fair, sun with cloud around. Good for photography so get the camera ready
27th Sees better temps slowly arising along with less cloud
28th Some mists or cloudiness bring potential for showery outbursts, here by around 7pm
29th Cooler, sun with cloud and mists to watery areas
30th Fast moving system now, with showery outburst potential before sunrise over next few days, clouds and mist around to western areas so don’t expect too much sunshine to stay around today.
1st –3rd Breezy, cool Westerlies argue with Easterly flows unsettling the atmosphere and allowing for some gloom to slowly develop over next few days. Frosty with intermittent hail or sleet showers in between sun spells leaving it cooler but with sun around by 3rd.

My Favourite Place Friar’s Crag Walk

4th-11th May

This phase doesn’t look good at all. Weather headlines for Cumbria expected, generally most of Britain will not enjoy great conditions. Conflicting weather systems leave things very unsettled from the outset with clouds and winds keeping the sun at bay. Temps stay below normal range until 6th when things can warm up, but this may just trigger mists and mizzles afterwards.

4th Very unsettled outlook develops and prevails over next few days with gloomy easterlies arguing with westerlies, and ain may result, heavy at times.
5th Could see stormy outbursts with NW regions getting the worst of the weather, clearer by evening
6th Better day after a misty cloudy start cool but some blue skies around with breezes keeping temps cool.
7th Some warming of temps today but clouds around, mists develop later in the day near watery places
8th Some rain expected around sunrise, if not continuing sporadically from night before. Cloud around not sure if the sun will get out today.
9th Skies should be clearer temps less harsh but winds variable with intermittent sharp, scattered showers expected along with sun spells
10th Looks like the better weather is on its way………………..read on……….

11th May-18th

Not a very good outlook with some turbulence still operating though East Anglia looks to be the lucky part of the UK with better conditions augured. Temps still staying below seasonal average but the heavy rains look to be behind us for this phase. Less sun to enjoy than we would like, and we’ll be left putting heads down and getting on with it. Still, that’s Spring moving towards a better outlook for June…hopefully….here’s a very brief tour for W Yorks region

11th Could be some scattered showers around, suns spells possible today
12th Mists, gloomy to western parts but westerlies are getting lively today so should help blow some clouds around leaving gaps for sunshine to come through.13th A rather bland spring day for us.
14th More unsettled conditions sun around with humidity developing.
15th Sun with cloud and winds vying with each other again.

18th-25th May
This phase begins with wet weather but refreshing the gloomy atmosphere of previous days. Still some unsettled atmospherics that can interfere with air traffic, but the last few days hold a hint of better days to come. The damp chill of former days might not be so oppressive this phase.
18th showery very early before or around sunrise, clearing by mid day if not mid morning. Northerlies argue with westerlies, expect some wind chills to remind us this is Spring not summer.
19th-20th similar to yesterday but winds get more active and keep things cool, less likelihood of showers breaking out.
21st The weather begins to warm up a little with expectation of sunshine for today.
22nd It will definitely rain today…really it will…watch for 1-2pm
23rd -25th Isolated cloudburst expected potential for news of tornado affecting Midlands as winds may get a bit wilder, rising temps however, breezy, sudden wind spurts but fairer weather slowly breaks out but this means mists can form and it is they that can interfere with flights.

25th May 2nd June
Don’t worry the good weather news comes soon for June, just watch it trying to breakthrough valorously during this phase!
There will be some mists around mainly eastern quarters, but also to valleys as descending cold clashes with arising heat trends, and some lashing westerlies may cause problems by 27th, troubling some to NW Scotland. The south looks to get the fairer weather but this will change by 31st.
Generally a good phase for gardeners to watch their crops thrive on the weather conditions.

25th Stratus clouds dominate the north with hail and sleet likely to sporadically hit pockets to the north, with highlands getting snow. Very cold on high ground with chills lowering temps as they fall leading to some mists forming to valleys, late evening as well. In between showery outbursts some sunshine could be present but these micros are difficult to track-probably valleys such as Ilkley, Addingham will get the mists while Grassington will see fairer weather.
26th A misty start with lots of cloud around clearing by mid day leading to cool but sunnier outlook
27th A fast moving system aided by some high speed lashing westerlies sunshine covered by clouds as they speed along.
28th A more settled outlook as winds subside with warmth from sun by mid day onwards HURRAH! Summer beckons….
29th Variable breezes, sun with cloud.
30th Some mists around early morning but clearing away later, however it does look as though some more rain makes its presence felt by evening so don’t take anything for granted when the sun shines.
31st Sun provides heat but forms clouds drying up any rain from previous day leaving cloud around for 1st which could stay gloomy, but generally the pattern from 31st- 2nd is one of a fairer
outlook to the north with temps lowering on previous days and some cloud around……..But oh look at 2nd June………book this for your day off and plan a mega outing……………….might even be a great evening for a barbie!

2-9th June

This is the phase when you can get out the barbies, put on your best summer gear and plan for some great outdoors. The only blot on the horizon is some fast and furious sleet and hail and lightening storms raging around by 6th, like a petulant winter trying to stop summer from arriving. Expect both lows and highs with some areas reporting extremes for that day.

2nd Cool sunny day with warmth from sun pretty comforting by mid day onwards
3rd A lovely evening for sure, during the day some varying temps could see cold in shade and exposed areas but temps in sun in sheltered areas will be lovely
4th Fairer weather to north especially
5th some early mists as the earth warms up clearing the way for rising temps today, another lovely evening to enjoy outdoors
6th An all weather day with highs and sudden lows and some static around causing micro hail and sleet showery stuff, some lightening around too as micros circulate inland and to lowlands.
Take your brolly but don’t expect outbursts to last long, it’s a war of the weather but summer wins! Records could be broken today weather wise, some localities could end up with misty stuff but don’t worry it wont stay around long term..
7th onwards some lovely highs can now rule with fair summer weather and higher temps to enjoy though on 9th will be interfered with by whippy, cheeky, gusts and spurts of Nor westerlies.

9th-16th June

A very quick tour of the weather for this phase brings in seasonal record breaking highs by 11th-16th. The East looks set to be where the best weather of all is, the west could see a little more cloud, but overall this is summer at last with sunshine to enjoy.
Overall expect wholesome weather great for outdoors and smell the ozone. Scattered clouds, blue skies and perfect days to enjoy
9th-14th sees southerlies around while the 9th is a glorious day, the 12th could see some scattered precipitation on 12th, the 11th sees a real ratcheting up of temps with some isolated hail shower potential to some pockets mainly east late evening.
14th-16th potential for some breeziness turning NW but at least it keeps Mr Rain from spoiling things.

Aaaaah Summer days

Summer Solstice phase 16th-24th June

Slightly more cloud for us this last phase of Spring, but overall we can expect some fair weather to continue along with seasonal higher range of temps. Some breezes could keep things seasonally cool by 19th as the sun gets ready to rise even higher in the sky which of course always brings in some disturbance as we enjoy all those squelchey wellies around
Glastonbury…they might get drier ground this year!
On 21st, solstice day, we can expect a little cooling with some cloud playing with sun spells around mid day, breezy but overall fair weather to enjoy.
Records for the East GB expected.

SUMMER 2014 WEST YORKS N YONDER

Summer 2014

I expect to see some lovely weather over summer this year, but this wont be guaranteed every week till Autumn!

We have to wait till Jupiter moves into Leo, but this will be heralded by some extreme weather headlines around the middle of July…more of this later perhaps…if I get time.

I can only deliver the first few weeks of summer 2014 long range forecast and have focussed upon the weather for the Tour de France taking place in the fabulous landscape of Yorkshire this year. Yorkshire has a landscape I have always called Gods own country, so nice to know the local BBC programmers have also started calling it that too in recent years. Cyclists are not going to be disappointed if they lose after encountering some of the most fabulous rolling hills and dales on the planet.

Read on to see what my forecast predicts weather wise, and I can also say that for Leeds, this is a fabulous time astrologically to showcase the city and surrounding areas, as well as to host the start of this much awaited and celebrated sporting event and may I also say I expect a cyclist born within our city limits to arrive as a winner. Good luck!

19th-27th June
We can expect some great outdoor weather mostly dry, lots of sunshine around but wind spells can cause a few erratic wind tunnels, paricularly on high ground and along valleys in deep rifts 24tth-27th likeliest days for these to arrive, so watch out if cycling down on a practise run from Buttertubs to Grassington.
Potential arrives for scattered and localised electrical breaks to sunshine with hail spurts also expected to some localities.
Highs continue as summer announces the salute to the height of the sun in our hemisphere, on 21st, so get out your bikes to cycle to the stone circles on Ilkley Moor or in Grassington to help celebrate a major seasonal marker. The 21st usually sees a few weather disturbances due to the sun ingressing from one environment to another but precipitations looks more likely to hit the NW Scotland regions, though could arrive to some northern parts of England as days continue.. The 20th could see a few showery outbursts around breakfast but I don’t expect these to linger too long, and could even turn out to be just some mists and clouds.
Generally sunny fair weather with highs of the season to enjoy 24th-27th but as mentioned earlier these could be accompanied by winds as well in exposed areas paricularly. 27th could see mists lingering into mid morning.

27th June -5th July

I expect highs for the season to be checked against records for this phase. 30th sees some static build along with heat from former days. There should be some blue skies and good summer weather around but after 3rd things could begin to turn a little cooler.

The chart for this ‘Tour’ phase echoes some of the conditions we dealt with in March/April this year when easterlies brought over pollution from Europe, combining with strong winds fetching sand up from the Sahara. However, it does look as if this time the sands get blown over SE England across to mainland Europe leaving cyclists with better visibility than they would have had with sand in their eyes! I don’t discount the possibility of more pollution blowing over from the east and it does look set to hit east coastal regions. hopefully not hitting the main cycle route.

5th July-12th.

This phase brings in a tendency for lowering of temps on former week, but I am sure cyclists will welcome less intense heat for their race. I expect longer lasting weather disturbances to grow as the phase continues but fortunately these look set to be at their worst around the 8th after the race has finished.

This phase shows seimicity operating, but this will affect eastern parts of the UK avoiding cycling routes, or it could manifest as pollution coming in to the east coast regions from Europe.

I have focussed mainly upon race days 5-6th.
5th potential for early morning mists due to warmth lingering, or showers from midnight to before sunrise with some noisy pockets of wind of varying speed, mostly northerly keeping things cool. Potential for varying localised showery conditions for some parts of the Yorkshire region in the morning, for mid morning in W Leeds after the race has set off from the city centre. Weather should be clearer by the afternoon to midnight generally.

6th Again midnight to before sunrise there is potential for showery outbreaks, mists and clouds, so watch out on grassy areas that could be slippy if you are camping out. Mid day brings a risk of more showery outbursts, and mists or clouds could still be lingering near watery places in valleys. The afternoon and evening should see the better conditions with sunshine around.
Temps will be variable but lowering, with varying cloud and sunshine on these two days. Once the showery intervals clear we can expect sun and cloud and some good visibility to watch the race with.

It’s the 8-9th that bring in the worst weather of the phase, but before 12th Full Moon I expect better weather to be turning up.

Hopefully I shall be able to finish the summer long range forecast and publish it soon, watch this space……..

UK SUMMER WEATHER 2013 West Yorks and Yonder Long Range Forecast

Long Range Weather Forecasting that Doesn’t Cost the Earth

 

 

In February I published my Spring Forecast on my blogs at www.amazingweather.wordpress.com  so please visit there to keep up with the Spring long range forecast, also on www.ukweatherbrief.wordpress.com   where you can read feedback on previous season accuracy to verify results.

I realise some parts of W Yorks will often have rainfall or more sunshine than other parts, and due to such micros operating it is difficult to locate and forecast these within only one or two miles of each other, hence discrepancies often operating between my forecasting and localised weather micros throughout the region. Happily this is a rare perhaps once a month event, leaving an overall  reasonable reliability for our regional long range outcomes.
Introduction Summer 2013 UK W Yorks and Yonder

First of all I do have to write an explanation of why it is difficult delivering 100 per cent accurate forecasts for one region such as W Yorks. For 18th March, for example,  I had forecast it to be a fine start with hail before sunrise, but some mists and fogs to some localities. My locality had fogs, mists and continuous thin snow showers from very early am, clearly fulfilling the warning of fogs to some localities. I haven’t had time to see if anywhere in W Yorks got the fine start with hail, to test the fullness of the forecast. However, another forecast for 8th March was for a localised outbreak of hail and sleet, but sunshine and clear skies, cold temps and strong gusty winds. Instead we got thick cloud, gloomy, drizzly stuff with fogs later in the evening, so not a good forecast for my locality at all. HOWEVER, just a mile away, still in W Yorks going over to Otley the mists cleared to high visibility and finer weather conditions on this day, which is the locality for where my forecast was accurate. Otley and Addingham and other W Yorks towns, often deliver little micros that are difficult to pin down, and there is little I can do to prevent their weather often showing up stronger than that of other W Yorks regions on  around 10 per cent of occasions. This is one reason why I don’t promise 100 per cent accuracy for my outcomes.

Summer brings six planets to the northern hemisphere so summer should have some seasonally warm temps, but 2011 had some 6 planets in the north and that brought some colder conditions comparing it to 1993 which was very very cold with only three planets north. In August Venus moves south taking spring to their hemisphere early and perhaps auguring an earlier Autumn for us.

Junes seems to begin a cycle of flooding till 22nd July when it looks at this stage as if a heatwave arrives, but don’t raise your hopes too high! Nice temperatures look set to break out for the first part of July 8th-14th approximately depending on where in the UK you live.

So we seem to begin the summer with dangers of floods for the first half followed by either a heatwave or some hot summer temperatures bringing in cracking thunderstorms. I can guarantee the thunderstorms breaking out, but not for exact locations as they will be moving around quite rapidly on occasions.……..make sure your tent is waterproofed and earthed!  Mid July to end of August shows t/storms and lightening proliferating as temps get high and humid with a lot of static around.

22nd to 29th July looks a little tempestuous after some warm summer temps create a risk of static discharge and floods are likely to be in the news. This phase is reminiscent of April 2000 when rainfall was above average but Ireland got an unbeatable low of -8.2 degrees C. I don’t think we’ll be beating that temp, as this phase does look warmer than that! The eastern coast will be hit by scattered electrical outbursts from the start. Cumbria but mostly Eng/Welsh border does look vulnerable at this phase by 28-29th, so do some parts of Scotland, so I will be watching the news for outcomes. Also, we can expect news of some serious religious, financial and commercial discord at this time, with clergy and bankers as well as corporates under attack. News of more terrorist activity is also likelihood and I will be looking out for news of the sea–perhaps more piracy out there for this time of the year.
I took the following info about similar patterns for 3-4th July 2002 from the MET site to show you how this phase could pan out, as similar conditions prevail for this phase.
‘’Mean temperatures generally close to average across the whole of the UK. A very wet month across most parts, with some areas receiving three times their normal rainfall.

At Leuchars it was the wettest July since records began in 1922, with 145.8 mm. Temperatures touched 33 °C at Northolt on the 29th, with 83 mm at Marham, Norfolk on the 30th.

England and Wales diary of highlights

Unsettled and chilly first half followed by a warm dry spell, then more changeable. Hot and thundery later with some downpours and local flooding. Fresher closing days.

1st to 12th Unsettled and cool with frequent outbreaks of rain as low-pressure systems and their associated fronts traversed the region. Most days were decidedly wet especially in central and southern areas of England. The rain was often heavy and accompanied by thunder, the latter being reported on the 2nd, 3rd and 5th. Thundery showers also affected a number of places on the 10th to 12th.’’

 
Summer 2013 daily long range forecasts

 
16th-23rd June

This phase spans the solstice and with Glastonbury running this year, we normally expect mud baths and lots of wellies around to add to the fun of the festival……..I would have to spend a few hours with the special chart for Glastonbury to see whether it is likely to happen this way this year….though I haven’t looked up the date, though usually it occurs at the solstice. (Just took a look 26th-30th June…errmmmm looks like they got a proper forecast to help eliminate the usual solsticial mud bath then:-)
Certainly the weather is unsettled from 20th-22nd, and there is a high risk of mists and mugginess ruling off the west coast of Ireland and GB, and I hope this doesn’t spell more sea disasters to west of Ireland, as this chart I am looking at has echoes of November 2011 when a huge wave tipped over a boat off the coast, leaving six men in the water. This event could precede this weather during squalls of last phase, but better safe than sorry, as some strong gusty weather continues from last phase into 16th and 17th and some UK wide localised scattered thunderstorms could break out during this phase 16th-23rd, difficult to track as they will travel around.

Mistiness can break out over watery places in valleys and days around the solstice are likely candidates.

On a more positive note, temperatures look more summery for this time of the year as the sun makes a move into our hemisphere, but around 20th-22nd this produces unsettled weather

16th Sees temps rising but some very brisk gusty winds could keep things seasonally cool. Variable cloudiness, particularly over to the west of us, with a risk of heavy rainfall by very late evening. Some West NW gales or strong gusty conditions around some parts as well.

17th Temps warmer today, warmer still to eastern parts, with some nebulous wind spurts, and it looks like a dry day

18th Another dry day expected, variable cloud around but temps cooler than previous days.

19th Cloudy start likely but clearing to bring in a sunnier afternoon, this looks like a nice day with some nice blue skies to enjoy….

20th Unsettled weather today with a risk of early morning showers around and more risk of showers by evening, breezy outlook.

21st A lot more cloud around today, early and by evening, with light haze and mists to distant view and high ground and near watery places, some drizzly outbursts localised not for all areas W Yorks and yonder. To be honest I’m not ruling out a quick sleet or snow attempt either…

22nd High humidity likely trend, with quick outbursts of hard hitting precip very early am and near sunrise, cloud with sunshine expected.

23rd It looks rainy to far west of us before sunrise, and this could travel over to some parts of our region, and could even be a continuation of showery stuff from the night before, this looks like wafting in a cooler outlook, some sunshine could break out, but read on>>>>>>>>>>

23rd June -30th

High temperatures look likely to break out to the West of Ireland and Scotland’s West coast might benefit too for a change, helping them eliminate the gloomy conditions formerly reigning over there.

This could turn out to b a completely dry phase that sees off any bad weather, but I do see some precipitation arriving, but I can’t see heavy downpours arriving to bring floods, though it does look as if some parts of the UK could still be dealing with them at the outset due to rains of previous weeks.
Usually we can expect barbecue evenings during the Full Moon stage due to the Moon being high in the sky and warding off any rain attempts sunset to sunrise. I do, for the second half of this, see some seasonal highs arriving around second part of this phase, but some showery spells to keep you from getting too excited!

23rd as above

24th Risk of showers before sunset, but dry afterwards with some clouds, mists or haze around evening

Winds strong gusty and whipping at times NW in direction and varying speed over next few days.

25th Should be some rise in temps today but some static developing with a risk of lightening showers swarming around giving localised quick bursts. The outlook is unsettled with varying cloud cover but some sunshine expected.

26th Temps seasonally warm, some humidity, but should be a fair weather day. Risk of haziness by evening.

27th A bit unsettled but some higher temperatures built up with a risk of quick static localised showery outburst mid morning or just clouds, but temps rise again indicating a strong sunny arrival.

28th Same conditions as yesterday

29th A rainy outlook risk before sunrise continuing a risk to mid day, but after that some finer weather with refreshing air and good atmosphere to get some gardening done.

30th Quick sharp showers, similar to yesterday, around mid day but mostly clear and sunny.

 
30th June-8th July

At first this chart looked like a clearer, warmer phase, but under scrutiny it became more likely that some prolonged rain could arrive to spoil the nicer patterns, so I’m not ruling out higher precip to NE regions and perhaps others, but not as heavy to our region; this outpouring could put drains under stress and bring in some localised flooding around 1st and 2nd…but hopefully I get this completely wrong…

We will get some wet spells W Yorks and Yonder, but also some lovely outbreaks of nice warm summery weather, if not highs as well, for the second half of the phase.
30th As above with some gusty south westerlies around.

1st  Some sporadic sharp showery outbreaks here, but refreshing atmosphere even though dampness prevails, some leaden skies threatening to spoil things a little, with risk of a stormy outlook to NE of us with a risk of prolonged rain or showers keeping the outlook wet here as well. It could feel a little damp and chilly today as well. Showery outlook risks continuing into 2nd.

2nd Calmer outlook with some mists due to showers of yesterday, sultry conditions with potential for showers over higher areas such as the moors or just being surrounded by clouds (always a nice but spooky feeling up on the moors) cool but fresh atmospherics.

3rd Looks less wet, but mid day could see a risk of quick refreshing showery weather, some sun spells to brighten up the outlook.

4th Some cold pockets vying with warmer temps trying to break out, winds are erratic and keep things cool on high and in exposed regions, but there is also a warmer outlook growing stronger today with likelihood of sun spells.

5th NICE summery temps, blue skies and sunshine around, but a risk of quick showery outbursts for us, not sure abut the rest of the UK today though…

6th-8th Looks like the dry weather is more reliable with some nice temperatures and a brilliant atmosphere to enjoy good outdoor activity. 8th brings potential for some rainy stuff….but read on….

 
8th -16th July

I took some time out to look at important features for this chart and found 2 interesting record breaking incidents that wont occur during this phase…hopefully….

We have a similar chart to NM 22 June 1906 when record breaking high temperatures broke out, and though I do expect some nice seasonal highs for this phase, I don’t expect them to reach the same levels as then…..sadly, though we will get some nice warm temps hovering around–HURRAH.

I also took another look at the storm surge to Bristol and the Sun close to Mercury is supposed to bring strong winds, as in 1607, (and many times since then I might add) but I don’t see a similar storm surge, but I’m not ruling out very strong winds out to sea from 7th, and to our region on 9th. Saturn hovers around the west coast of GB from the start so it does look less sunny with lower temps there and winds look set to be strong for NW regions for the first few days, but then Silverdale in the NW can be a real wind tunnel any time of year………………………….

Photographers can expect some good visibility for the first few days as well, so get out your camera.

Temperature wise I expect seasonal highs to break out for the first part of this phase, with cooler temps after 13th
8th Sunshine around during the day with risk of quick scattered showers by evening. Temps should be warm today, the atmosphere should be clear, but cold pockets to exposed regions, and some strong gusty brisk westerlies could ward off the real highs. I do expect some sunshine today…..

9th Looks glorious for us with even higher temps ruling the day but some I’m afraid of a risk of very strong gusts and windy weather around, but this keeps things dry and hurries along any rain clouds that might try to spoil the UV count! Could be news of static outburst to west of us with mists or haze due to warming.

10th Cloudy if no0t gloomy start. More sunshine and some cloud likely but also blue skies around, some static could trigger localised sprays.

11th Temps still seasonally warm and rising, particularly south of us with perhaps lower pressure to the north, with risk of quick localised scattered cloudbursts

12th Things begin to unsettle a little today, temps still fair to moderately high, but could be cooler than previous days , Cloudy if not hazy early in the day and late at night, but fairer outlook during the day, some nebulous breezy conditions also.

13th Seismic conditions to East Asia, Japan regions today, I expect a sunny and warm outlook to prevail, but unsettled atmosphere with stronger N Westerlies

14th Risk of early showery stuff by mid day, but these look heavier to the west, sunny with isolated colder pockets for us in shady places, but less so by mid day.

15th Similar to yesterday with risk of quick sharp showery stuff if not hail by eve and potential for mist or haziness late evening. Breezy if not windy

16th A fair outlook, but very unsettled and lots of static forming, but winds to N West , could even be gales or stormy to highlands and news of thundery outbursts– late evening here>>>>>>>>>>>>>>read on for the next chapter in this weather story………………..

 
16th-22nd July

There are still some lovely almost tropical weather pockets around and Derry in Ireland looks likely to be where some of the good weather is, but so do John o Groats and Glucestershire regions, but this could turn around by 21/22nd when some cracking t/storms break out and some flash flooding is a risk.

I expect high levels of precipitation to arrive, and compete with records for July 2002 when three times the amount of average rainfall broke out and caused floods. I also expect a rash of higher than usual outbreaks of thunder and lightening storms

I’m not too happy with my forecast for this phase due to so many contradictory factors between highs and static outbursts travelling around and they are difficult to follow  demanding a lot of time and more charts which I don’t have time to do, so no promises…………….but for us I do expect heavy rain to hit by 21st but we also get some nice days to enjoy with some good temps, though not as high as previously, but still seasonally pleasant…The 18th-20th look like being more reliable for good weather outcomes

16th-17th Still appears lower temps could be NE, E Anglia looks well served with good weather, some warm weather around our parts creates risk of scattered migrating electrical outbursts overnight into 17th, heavy downpours accompany these, hopefully most of us will sleep through this, but some flash floods may result. Northern areas most prone to these outbreaks; including Scotland. 17th looks fine and sunny with warm temps around to keep us cheered up

18th -22nd Some cooling begins but 19th looks nice fair and sunny whilst 20th seems static with hazes forming, some muggy conditions around today and tomorrow. Some static lightening and thunder outbursts– highly probable over these days. 21st brings in high risk of downpours before or around mid day, these are very heavy as temps begin to rise again and some strong very gusty variable speed N Westerlies. Mid day 21st looks like the sun could shine through with a fine weather outlook for the afternoon, but the evening runs a risk of more heavy rain which could continue into 22nd cooling the atmosphere before sunrise, due to a very unsettled weather system breaking out warning of possible electrical outbursts accompanying rising temps, but the skies could clear easily leaving room for cloud but some sunshine and if you are resuming outdoor activity….take your brolly for these outbursts. Flash floods risk but some very warm trends also and should be a nice evening..read on

 
22nd July-29th July

In my dreams this is summer breaking out with at least barbecue evenings even if there is some cloud around during the day……..BUT, as I said this only happens in my dreams……

This weather phase left me exhausted, as if a tempest passed over! A lot of exciting weather to come.

This is the time of year when the sun is furtherest away from our planet and we often see a drop in temps and bad weather as if even the clouds above are grieving over the fact that school is out!

We do have a perigee on 21st, with Full Moon on 22nd so some of the warmer temps should be ruling both hemispheres. The East of England looks to be getting some fine summer sun with warm trends of summer temps (does it ever rain in Norfolk?) whilst the west is experiencing some low pressure with cooler temps, and this will change completely around by the end of this phase.

There is a risk of flash flooding due to risk of above average but torrential and quickly dispelled cloudbursts, the western regions from Keswick in a line down to Gloucestershire are most vulnerable towards the end of this phase, but Eastern coast of England down to Cambridge and beyond to Kent at the outset get hit by some spectacular lightening electrical storms.

Best headlines seem likely to come in from the West of us….
21-22 as already mentioned this appears to be when cloudburst break in between higher range of temperatures, the east from Whitby, Grimsby to Cambridgeshire and beyond looks the best region for these scattered outbursts, and down to Devon areas there does look to be some conflicting weather systems with electrical outbursts accompanying some lovely warm temps. Expect an unsettled outlook with localise warmth then sudden pockets of cooling after showers for these two days, with lightening showers, heavy at times but very heavy for some as soon as they begin and leaving clearer skies in their wake as they travel onwards. We wont be as badly affected in our region and we can expect some cloudburst but also some sunshine between the clouds, 22nd looks cooler for us, some sun spells expected and a finer evening so get ready for a good evening walk…or drinking al fresco

23rd looks better though some mistiness and hazes could prevail but some sunshine in between with clearer night skies. A risk of a quick spurt of showery stuff before sunrise warmer muggy trends today.

24th Similar to yesterday with shower risk more likely around mid afternoon but it could turn out to be just some cloud coming over. Temps moderate, getting warmth if you see the sun and some southerly flows of weather coming over, gusty breezes at times.

25th Risk of short but heavy showers after start of day and before sunrise but it could just be mists or haze I’m seeing. Milder to cool conditions for the daytime, should be sunshine but cloud around as well. Seems like some pathways could be getting muddy….

26th News of weather system hitting the west today/tomorrow– Cumbria down Welsh borders and up to West of Scotland likely to be facing up to the worst of the weather being seen on satellites, with a risk of some flash floods. Temps very muggy and tropical rains could be localised for some areas inland with easterlies around keeping things a bit broody, and news of mudslides a risk so don’t walk near muddy cliffs or take care on high ground where footpaths need careful scrutiny.

I expect fogs, mists and haze overnight, more predominant to west, after some fairer evening weather for us.

27th Risk of showers for us 5-8am temps more humid than cold,, sun with cloud expected by afternoon, clearer evening sky,some broody easterlies along with southerly flows still knocking around posing a risk of quick showery outbursts which could continue into the next day…

28th A dull start before sunrise. Humidity levels high some mist and haze to west and around watery places and coastal regions, strong winds for some quarters, fine and sunny and warm for the afternoon with sun spells for us, but a quick cloud burst could stop play around 3-6pm but it will leave things feeling fresher afterwards.

29th Sorry but this looks like even more rain increasing risk of flash flooding from west to east and our region. Very windy outlook as well, I can’t rule out some strong winds accompanying weather trends 28th-29th……..wet wet wet…….is the theme but it will clear up the muggy trends and leave the atmosphere refreshed and by late afternoon on 29th it does look like the rains are further east of us leaving us to a drier outlook for the afternoon and eve. Cool temps 29th and we could see some blue skies around with sunshine.

 
29th July- 8th August

Sorry to say my charts look like floods are likely to be continuing from last phase, with more heavy rain to add to the chaos for this phase. Hopefully I’m wrong, but astrologers have a rule, see a thing three times and positively predict,  and there are three signifiers for heavy rain and floods evident, but it could be they are already over by 30th…let’s see…..

29th looks showery adding to high levels already falling, heavier to the north travelling east and causing flash floods…Suffolk looks to be getting some rain today as well Wind activity is easterly so a bit broody weather to be expected.

30th A better outlook, cooler due to rain in previous days, but exhilarating atmosphere with coolness pervading it. Sun with cloud expected.

31st More scattered outbreaks, moderate temps, for the afternoon cloud and quick but heavy showers. Mists haze or cloud by evening some sun might break through.

1st Aug. Risk of showers by breakfast, very unsettled outlook, some muggy conditions and risk of static outbursts today and these may be around very early, milder by middle of day, but it does look like late evening has some lovely clear skies for stargazers such as myself. Some strong gusty N Westerlies around today to keep things drying out

2nd. Moderate temps getting warmer, risk of heavy showers by late evening and into following morning, potentially a fair weather outlook during the afternoon.

3rd Looks like better summer conditions today with any outbursts staying off till evening if they do arrive to your locality.

4th Wind speed increased to eastern parts, but some N Westerlies bring down cooler temps today cool but dry weather, electrical outburst to high regions and northern areas. The afternoon looks cool but with sun spells, cloudier later.

5th Slightly milder today, breezy though could turn out to be a dry fair day with some warmth from sun in the afternoon.

6th 6-8th look like similar to 5th. Fairer days, breezy southerlies around turning NW by 8th, some cooling on 7th but very unsettled outlook for 8th

6th-14th August

Could this be a nice phase???

Although I studied the chart for hours and researched some unusual features in it, I found the outcome so difficult to define and I do not have a lot of confidence in it at all.

When we have a New Moon we normally get the drier weather during the day and any precipitation at evening and overnight. I don’t see excess precipitation for this phase, but the temperatures are not reliable either, nor are reliable unbroken sunny days.

At first the chart looked sunny glorious and warm, and for sure the 10th looks the most likely for this, but there are some dangers of showery and misty weather spoiling continuously clear days or prolonged sunny conditions.

Apologies if this doesn’t work out the way I forecast at this stage long range on  February 20th 2013!

6th-8th look like fine days with some lovely weather to enjoy on 6th as mentioned in previous phase.

8th looks a little more unsettled with more warming around and southerlies

9th seems to have some risk of showery weather but more for the southern regions. Some good visibility around pm and evening with brisk westerlies combining with easterly flows, gusty at times continuing into tomorrow.

10th seems to be very warm and humid and a risk of hazes or mists near watery places and in valleys overnight tonight, temps mild but could be very warm if not very high, generally a fair outlook.

11th Mists and risk of muggy start today but developing into some fair conditions which sees some varying trends on cloud and temps, easterlies and some dull gloomy skies by late afternoon and evening.

12th Some mists or cloud still lingering and today sees high risk of showery weather, but skies clearer by the afternoon.

13th Another showery outlook for today around sunrise, mugginess around from early morning which looks to be quite warm, the afternoon looks better.

14th brings in some gusty westerlies combined with easterlies turning NW by 15th when they promise to get very strong, Sun with cloud expected… read on………….

14th August -21st

Mostly dry with some static outbursts of hail and sharp showers, some mists and some wind disturbances with sporadic static outbursts for 15-16th, these can be heavy to some localities, hail to others and accompanied with thunder and lightening for others. Weather will better to south England and cloudier to the north.

The worst of the weather hits the southern hemisphere for these days….

14th I’m expecting warmth in the sun, temps moderate but rising gently, fresh atmosphere, with fleecy clouds, but some unsettled winds begin to come in

15th Erratic and gusty if not high speed to north west, this can bring a sudden drop to bring in colder temps to high ground and exposed areas. Clearer skies by late evening, fresh atmosphere white fluffy clouds in blue sky, but a risk of localised and sporadic hail or sharp shower weather due to clash with warm and cold air as warned in the introduction.

16th Cooler outlook some scattered electrical showers, risk of high speed winds and or gales for some regions, acute and sharp cutting gusty westerlies along with scattered static outbursts.

17th similar to yesterday but winds less volatile, still some unsettled conditions but a cool sunny outlook could prevail with some gusty weather.

18th Similar to yesterday with some warmth from sun at mid day but a risk of a shower to freshen things up

19th and 20th localised showery outlook rising temps by 20th calm with potential for mists to form particularly likely early on 20th, due to high humidity, but by late evening on 20th some fair weather outlook some cloud around.

21st More winds likely, high speed to high locations, cool outlook though some warmth during the day, static sporadic outbursts can arrive to keep temps on the lower side, better outlook by evening read on

 
21st 28th August

Cooler temperatures begin to arrive, with some mizzles drizzles for us, as well as some mists and fogs. The whole of the UK sees rain moving around 21st-22nd and some strong winds are expected keeping temps low even if the sun does try to shine. East Anglia looks to get some of the highs that remain on a diagonal flow up to NW Scotland from the outset, and the NW region Cumbria could also see some of these but a risk of fogs and mists arises from this system following the trail of any warmth.

21st-22nd Rapid static outbursts of sleet and sharp showers, high velocity winds with rain heavier to southern areas, radio disturbances from previous days continue for a few more days accompanying static outbursts. Northerlies operate trying to ward off heavier downfalls and the evening on 21st looks like some sunshine gives us a pleasanter evening. Overall the outlook is cool with winds much stronger and erratic by 22nd onwards accompanying rainfall circulating the UK.

23rd Intermittent short sharp showers, hail to some localities short sharp and swift, cutting but some blue skies and sun spells likely but very cold temps for us.

24th Very cold pockets , similar to yesterday more cloud around by late evening, if not mists and fogs.

25th Humidity high, clouds and risk of fog, damp conditions with mizzles and drizzly outbursts, winds very strong gusty westerlies, sudden localised squalls break out along canal banks and river ways in valleys, localised but very strong and can last up to one or two hours before settling down. Patchy fog and mists likely especially by late evening when they can be thicker creating transport probs due to low visibility.

26th Cloudy dull with easterlies early in the morning looking broody, a cold outlook, but some fairer outlook by mid day, sun with cloud around, risk of a sudden outbursts of localised sleet and hailstorms late afternoon, cold evening and could be some frost to wake up to next day

27th The outlook is clearer for today fairer weather to the north, some cloud to start with but clearing and a fresher atmosphere but some unsettled if not stormy conditions to follow……….

 
28th August -5th September

I get to this stage realising I try so hard to find some glorious uninterrupted sunny spells that it would be nice to just ignore the bad bits and pretend the highs that appear in some of the charts this phase, will not be interrupted by anything windy or wet…….in your dreams..
East Anglia to Kent look set to get some lovely highs, but then they always do……the best of the temps for the ending of summer occur mid ocean half way between Hull and Rotterdam, so book your ferry now……..
Back here in W Yorks and yonder, a different picture emerges, but we do get some warm weather if not constantly sunny days to come and the 5th does look rather pleasant……

28th –30th have high humidity with likelihood of fogs by night, with mists and hazes hanging around threatening to obscure the sunshine by day. Some breeziness turning easterly and broody on 29th. The 30thwith winds turn strong, erratic and very speedy at times, and gusty turning westerly then northerly by late at night on 30th, fetching some coolness down from the north. Cloudiness forming during the day on 3oth, and a risk of rain coming in with the winds, the northerlies clear skies overnight into early start 31st producing some white woolly clouds and clearer skies for early morning 31st, and late at night promises better conditions for the south of our region, but cloudier the further north you get,

31st During the day looks like seeing a risk of static outbursts, sporadic potential for localised thunderstorms for some regions, these cloudbursts look sporadic for us during the day and late at night.

1st-5th Rain travelling south to east regions but we could see some heavy outbursts by late evening on 1st for W Yorks regions.

2nd onwards look like better days some mists and hazes could linger but temps set to still be summery and warm but humid 4th onwards, and a fine evening looks to break out on 4th. It looks breezier for this half with things cooling a little at night with air frosts likely overnight. 3rd is static hazy and humid with some darker clouds forming mid day, better weather by evening with a crisp and fresher outlook. 5th looks lovely at this stage….and from yesterday we could be in for those fine evenings when people sit out and enjoy convivial refreshment al fresco…..but read on>>>>>

 
5th-12th September

This looks like a drier phase with some sunshine around to remind us of summer. There are echoes of September 2011 when we had a heatwave for the last throes of summer, but don’t expect that on this occasion, and remember that there were some very strong winds around as well as rain as a result of that unusually warm weather.

Overall this phase looks drier until we get to the 10th when some precipitation looks likely to come in from the western parts hitting them worse than our region. Some strong winds could create problems for some regions for this phase also.

5th-6th Looks fair for us with some fine seasonally high temps on 5th, but there can also be sudden drops in temperatures so don’t take any warmth from the sun for granted, and if you are fell walking the drops will hit the tops first before descending downwards to valleys where areas in shadow will feel chilly. Cloudiness could set in from late evening on 6th

7th looks cloudy from the turn of the day but then it looks better from perhaps sunrise with some fair weather beckoning you into outdoor activity for the morning of the day and beyond with some warmth from the sunshine, but with some gusty outbursts.

8th A misty or cloudy start, lower temps and risk of some dullness but some sun spells expected for the afternoon, more cloudy possibly misty again by late evening.

9th A breezy outlook with some trends for more turbulent weather for some regions with strong gusty winds. Sun with cloud for the early part of the day, some warmth from sun, but clouds forming late evening warn of rain risk ahead.

10th-12th Strong, breezy if not windy, a fair start to the day on 10th but things getting duller as day progresses with a risk of rain arriving later in the afternoon and evening with more precipitation likely on following days. Some mists near waterways can be expected.

 
12th-19th September

The weather gets very busy for this phase and my satellite technology shows highs reigning across from Cornwall to the N E coast at Whitby, and anyone on that line across England can expect the best of a mini heatwave for a couple of days.

12th-13th Temperatures may be a little bit lower to the east to start with where some NW keep things cool, but some blue skies are left behind in their wake leaving a warm glow in the sunshine. I expect a little cloud to form by evening, but we should see some sunshine breaking out all over.

14th Today sees more highs but unsettled with likelihood of some quick static outbursts of hail and sleet in response to higher temps on previous days. It is calm misty/cloudy and sultry to begin the day, gusty North Westerlies rev up and can become strong for some regions in exposed areas to the west and north, mid day should be fine for us with a risk of showery outbreaks to high places. I’ll be looking to see if we get Fohn winds at this time of the phase, these are nice warm breezes that feel like someone left the hair drier on…..the hail storms are more likely late afternoon and evening. I do expect sunshine for daytime.

15th-16th is when the fun starts, but there should still be sunshine around the middle of the day on 15th. We can expect some static outbursts with scattered hailstorms late afternoon becoming strong overnight, with severe outbursts scattered, sporadic and intermittent, more intense to NW and Scotland as a cold front comes in to fight with the sultry conditions of previous days. Some strong gusty winds of varying speed with a breeding ground for localised tornadic outbursts, these storms can affect comms systems and air travel. There should be some blue skies around as well during the daytime.

17th shows very strong gusty westerlies, a mild start but much cooler by late afternoon with an unsettled outlook due to fast moving clouds which may prevent sun from getting through

18th-19th Stormy weather can be moving northwards, broody easterlies with risk of fogs and mists, and to be honest it does look like some heavy rain begins to fall late afternoon and evening on 18th, if it doesn’t then I’m just looking at some very dull leaden skies with risk of drizzle and mizzly stuff and cooler northerlies breaking out on 19th trying to clear things up. The NW looks to be worst hit by the precipitation on these days.